{"id": 212661, "h2h": {"draws": 2, "away_wins": 0, "home_wins": 0, "away_goals": 1, "home_goals": 1, "away_win_rate": 0, "home_win_rate": 0, "total_matches": 2, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Azerbaijan", "date": "2026-09-27T13:00:00+00:00", "home": "Lithuania", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 212609, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2092, "home_team_id": 674}, {"away": "Lithuania", "date": "2019-03-25T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Azerbaijan", "score": "0-0", "event_id": 290095, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 674, "home_team_id": 2092}], "avg_total_goals": 1}, "away": "Lithuania", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.67, "record": "3-1-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LWLWDW", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 2, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 1.17}, "home": {"ppg": 1.17, "record": "2-1-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLLWWD", "goals_for": 0.83, "venue_ppg": 0.75, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.5}}, "home": "Azerbaijan", "pass": "No call on Azerbaijan against Lithuania. No bookmaker is pricing it yet.", "rank": 3, "read": null, "flags": [], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Baku", "name": "Neftçi Arena", "capacity": 11000}, "colors": {"away": "#0a764f", "home": "#ed2b3a"}, "extras": null, "lambda": [0.87, 1.38], "league": "UEFA Nations League", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Azerbaijan report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Lithuania report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.555, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.445}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 1-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 0}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Aykhan Abbasov is 4 games into the job at Azerbaijan. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 2.1, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.75, "manager": "Aykhan Abbasov", "tenure_days": 122, "matches_in_charge": 4, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.75, "before_ppm": 0.2}}, "strength": 0.233}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Edgaras Jankauskas is 5 games into the job at Lithuania. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 0.7, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 2, "manager": "Edgaras Jankauskas", "tenure_days": 193, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 2, "before_ppm": 0.4}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Lithuania come in on 4 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 3.875, "days_rest": 3.9, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 3}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.03225034416955 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.017, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": 0.107, "effective_matches": 2}, "home": {"attack": -0.025, "shrunk": 0.89, "defence": 0.004, "effective_matches": 1}, "sample": 1.03225034416955, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Lithuania average 9 points more possession than Azerbaijan, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it; Azerbaijan work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 1.8, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": -1.8, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 9.5, "corners": 3.6, "matches": 12, "possession": 46.9, "xg_per_shot": 0.093, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.11, "corners_per_shot": 0.374}, "home": {"shots": 4.7, "corners": 2.8, "matches": 12, "possession": 38.1, "xg_per_shot": 0.114, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.13, "corners_per_shot": 0.589}, "possession_gap": -8.8}, "strength": 0.351}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Azerbaijan are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.13}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Lithuania are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.11}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "No weather reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": -0.304451477725764}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 3645, "name": "Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54205, "name": "Elvin Badalov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 43308, "name": "Anton Kryvotsiuk", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13015, "name": "Rahman Dashdamirov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3633, "name": "Elvin Cafarquliyev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54206, "name": "Qismet Aliyev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3642, "name": "Toral Bayramov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13022, "name": "Abdulakh Khaybulaev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54207, "name": "Emin Mahmudov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54214, "name": "Rufat Abdullazada", "side": "home"}, {"id": 26278, "name": "Mahir Emreli", "side": "home"}, {"id": 14068, "name": "Renat Dadaşov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3644, "name": "Nariman Akhundzade", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54213, "name": "Rüfat Abbasov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13020, "name": "Khayal Aliyev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54209, "name": "Aydin Bayramov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3647, "name": "Bədavi Hüseynov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 24321, "name": "Aleksey Isayev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 60609, "name": "Emil Balayev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54210, "name": "Sabuhi Abdullazada", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13033, "name": "Tellur Mutallimov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54794, "name": "Rahil Mammadov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13019, "name": "Anatoliy Nuriev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54140, "name": "Džiugas Bartkus", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12925, "name": "Artemijus Tutyškinas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16451, "name": "Vilius Armalas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 7252, "name": "Edgaras Utkus", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12462, "name": "Justas Lasickas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12512, "name": "Artur Dolznikov", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16458, "name": "Lukas Michelbrink", "side": "away"}, {"id": 1841, "name": "Gvidas Gineitis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16453, "name": "Modestas Vorobjovas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4319, "name": "Adrian Lickunas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16456, "name": "Armandas Kučys", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16463, "name": "Tomas Švedkauskas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55596, "name": "Kipras Kazukolovas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54141, "name": "Rokas Lekiatas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 45314, "name": "Vykintas Slivka", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16457, "name": "Motiejus Burba", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54695, "name": "Eligijus Jankauskas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 59637, "name": "Domantas Šluta", "side": "away"}, {"id": 59636, "name": "Ignas Venckus", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16452, "name": "Zygimantas Baltrunas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 55598, "name": "Manfredas Ruzgis", "side": "away"}, {"id": 81462, "name": "Deividas Malžinskas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 81850, "name": "Faustas Steponavičius", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 674, "home_id": 2092, "kickoff": 1791118800, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 54140, "name": "Džiugas Bartkus", "ai_score": 0.325, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 12925, "name": "Artemijus Tutyškinas", "ai_score": 0.574, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 16451, "name": "Vilius Armalas", "ai_score": 0.555, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 7252, "name": "Edgaras Utkus", "ai_score": 0.494, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 12462, "name": "Justas Lasickas", "ai_score": 0.632, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 12512, "name": "Artur Dolznikov", "ai_score": 0.378, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16458, "name": "Lukas Michelbrink", "ai_score": 0.38, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 1841, "name": "Gvidas Gineitis", "ai_score": 0.662, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16453, "name": "Modestas Vorobjovas", "ai_score": 0.351, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 4319, "name": "Adrian Lickunas", "ai_score": 0.236, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16456, "name": "Armandas Kučys", "ai_score": 0.316, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 16463, "name": "Tomas Švedkauskas", "ai_score": 0.317, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 55596, "name": "Kipras Kazukolovas", "ai_score": 0.268, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54141, "name": "Rokas Lekiatas", "ai_score": 0.258, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 45314, "name": "Vykintas Slivka", "ai_score": 0.255, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 16457, "name": "Motiejus Burba", "ai_score": 0.239, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 54695, "name": "Eligijus Jankauskas", "ai_score": 0.235, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 59637, "name": "Domantas Šluta", "ai_score": 0.21, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 59636, "name": "Ignas Venckus", "ai_score": 0.192, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 16452, "name": "Zygimantas Baltrunas", "ai_score": 0.188, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 55598, "name": "Manfredas Ruzgis", "ai_score": 0.128, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 81462, "name": "Deividas Malžinskas", "ai_score": 0.01, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 81850, "name": "Faustas Steponavičius", "ai_score": 0.01, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "5-4-1", "confidence": 0.555}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 3645, "name": "Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev", "ai_score": 0.45, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 54205, "name": "Elvin Badalov", "ai_score": 0.539, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 43308, "name": "Anton Kryvotsiuk", "ai_score": 0.527, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 13015, "name": "Rahman Dashdamirov", "ai_score": 0.336, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 3633, "name": "Elvin Cafarquliyev", "ai_score": 0.439, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 54206, "name": "Qismet Aliyev", "ai_score": 0.362, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 3642, "name": "Toral Bayramov", "ai_score": 0.376, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 13022, "name": "Abdulakh Khaybulaev", "ai_score": 0.59, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 54207, "name": "Emin Mahmudov", "ai_score": 0.568, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 54214, "name": "Rufat Abdullazada", "ai_score": 0.231, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 26278, "name": "Mahir Emreli", "ai_score": 0.45, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 14068, "name": "Renat Dadaşov", "ai_score": 0.376, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 3644, "name": "Nariman Akhundzade", "ai_score": 0.36, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 54213, "name": "Rüfat Abbasov", "ai_score": 0.303, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 13020, "name": "Khayal Aliyev", "ai_score": 0.29, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 54209, "name": "Aydin Bayramov", "ai_score": 0.285, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 3647, "name": "Bədavi Hüseynov", "ai_score": 0.278, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 24321, "name": "Aleksey Isayev", "ai_score": 0.27, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 60609, "name": "Emil Balayev", "ai_score": 0.255, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 54210, "name": "Sabuhi Abdullazada", "ai_score": 0.253, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 13033, "name": "Tellur Mutallimov", "ai_score": 0.251, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54794, "name": "Rahil Mammadov", "ai_score": 0.24, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 13019, "name": "Anatoliy Nuriev", "ai_score": 0.232, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "5-4-1", "confidence": 0.595}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.555, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 852, "name": "Erling Haaland", "rank": 1, "goals": 3}, {"id": 28704, "name": "Joel Pohjanpalo", "rank": 2, "goals": 3}, {"id": 745, "name": "Lamine Yamal", "rank": 3, "goals": 3}, {"id": 22868, "name": "Zeki Amdouni", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 6450, "name": "Andri Guðjohnsen", "rank": 5, "goals": 2}, {"id": 711, "name": "Anthony Gordon", "rank": 6, "goals": 2}, {"id": 2466, "name": "Harry Kane", "rank": 7, "goals": 2}, {"id": 7881, "name": "João Félix", "rank": 8, "goals": 2}, {"id": 8996, "name": "Leo Walta", "rank": 9, "goals": 2}, {"id": 5591, "name": "Mexx Meerdink", "rank": 10, "goals": 2}, {"id": 1311, "name": "Nikola Krstović", "rank": 11, "goals": 2}, {"id": 456, "name": "Viktor Gyökeres", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 6537, "name": "Adam Idah", "rank": 13, "goals": 1}, {"id": 1117, "name": "Adam Karabec", "rank": 14, "goals": 1}, {"id": 12738, "name": "Adrian Svanback", "rank": 15, "goals": 1}], "players": [{"id": 26278, "club": "Raków Częstochowa", "load": {"games": 1, "country": 1, "minutes": 90}, "name": "Mahir Emreli", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Azerbaijan", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 1, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 10, "goals": 4, "starts": 9, "assists": 1, "team_games": 20, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 1, "tracked_apps": 10, "tracked_starts": 9}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 1, "team": "Azerbaijan", "goals": 1, "lately": {"apps": 1, "goals": 1, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1785684600, "opponent": "Śląsk Wrocław"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.085, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 16456, "club": "NK Celje", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 150}, "name": "Armandas Kučys", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Lithuania", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 1, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 3, "goals": 0, "starts": 1, "assists": 0, "team_games": 10, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 3, "tracked_starts": 1}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Lithuania", "goals": 1, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 1, "assists": 1}, "assists": 1, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.001, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4206, "event": {"id": 212661, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Lithuania", "home_team": "Azerbaijan", "league_id": 64, "event_date": "2026-10-04T13:00:00Z", "league_name": "UEFA Nations League", "away_team_id": 674, "home_team_id": 2092}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4853}, "created_at": "2026-09-28T02:15:27Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "A", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 48.5}}}, "venue_id": 1363, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.211, "league_id": 64, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 1, "lost": 0, "drawn": 1, "group": "League D, Group 2", "played": 2, "points": 4, "team_id": 674, "position": 1, "goal_diff": 2, "goals_for": 3, "team_name": "Lithuania", "goals_against": 1}, "home": {"won": 0, "lost": 0, "drawn": 1, "group": "League D, Group 2", "played": 1, "points": 1, "team_id": 2092, "position": 2, "goal_diff": 0, "goals_for": 1, "team_name": "Azerbaijan", "goals_against": 1}, "size": 54}, "confidence": 0.381, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871747, "corner_rate": 6.4, "lambda_away": 1.3847382060715592, "lambda_home": 0.8678439265996506, "pass_reason": "No market is priced for this fixture yet.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "League D, Group 2 · Matchday 4", "lineup_status": "predicted"}