{"id": 212643, "h2h": {"draws": 1, "away_wins": 2, "home_wins": 3, "away_goals": 5, "home_goals": 7, "away_win_rate": 0.3333333333333333, "home_win_rate": 0.5, "total_matches": 6, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Moldova", "date": "2022-03-29T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Kazakhstan", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 284962, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 673, "home_team_id": 2209}, {"away": "Kazakhstan", "date": "2022-03-24T17:00:00+00:00", "home": "Moldova", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 284960, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2209, "home_team_id": 673}, {"away": "Moldova", "date": "2019-02-21T14:00:00+00:00", "home": "Kazakhstan", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 290113, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 673, "home_team_id": 2209}, {"away": "Kazakhstan", "date": "2015-02-18T16:00:00+00:00", "home": "Moldova", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 380459, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2209, "home_team_id": 673}, {"away": "Kazakhstan", "date": "2013-02-06T15:00:00+00:00", "home": "Moldova", "score": "1-3", "event_id": 410848, "away_score": 3, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2209, "home_team_id": 673}, {"away": "Kazakhstan", "date": "2010-03-03T17:30:00+00:00", "home": "Moldova", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 452210, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2209, "home_team_id": 673}], "avg_total_goals": 2}, "away": "Moldova", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 0.5, "record": "0-3-3", "streak": "winless 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LLDDLD", "goals_for": 1, "venue_ppg": 0.33, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 1.83}, "home": {"ppg": 0.5, "record": "0-3-3", "streak": "winless 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DLDLDL", "goals_for": 0.83, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 1.5}}, "home": "Kazakhstan", "pass": "Passing on Kazakhstan v Moldova. It is too close to call with any conviction.", "rank": 3, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Kazakhstan to edge it"}, "flags": [{"id": "form.home", "note": "Kazakhstan have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5.", "section": "§2.1"}, {"id": "form.away", "note": "Moldova have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.8, and 0.33 a game on the road.", "section": "§2.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Astana", "name": "Astana Arena", "capacity": 30000}, "colors": {"away": "#d82312", "home": "#0e9eb2"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 0}, "below": null}, "home": {"above": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 0}, "below": null}}, "teams": {"away": 673, "home": 2209}, "best_xi": [], "players": {"16437": {"caps": 5, "goals": 0, "signed": null, "country": "Moldova"}}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 50, "vs": null, "name": "Lilian Popescu"}, "home": {"id": 3560, "vs": null, "name": "John van 't Schip"}}}, "lambda": [0.9, 1.33], "league": "UEFA Nations League", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Kazakhstan report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Moldova report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.527, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.473}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "John van 't Schip is 3 games into the job at Kazakhstan. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.67, "manager": "John van 't Schip", "tenure_days": 119, "matches_in_charge": 3, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.5, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.35}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Lilian Popescu is 5 games into the job at Moldova. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 0.7, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.6, "manager": "Lilian Popescu", "tenure_days": 187, "matches_in_charge": 5, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.6, "before_ppm": 0.1}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form. — though 1.99641473361222 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.044, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": -0.026, "effective_matches": 2}, "home": {"attack": -0.101, "shrunk": 0.8, "defence": -0.049, "effective_matches": 2}, "sample": 1.99641473361222, "required": 6}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": -3, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 8.9, "corners": 2.7, "matches": 12, "possession": 39.6, "xg_per_shot": 0.082, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.1, "corners_per_shot": 0.304}, "home": {"shots": 11.3, "corners": 4.4, "matches": 12, "possession": 39.3, "xg_per_shot": 0.078, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.03, "corners_per_shot": 0.392}, "possession_gap": -0.3}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Kazakhstan are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.03}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Moldova are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "163 yellow cards in this referee's last 38 games, where 155 would be usual in this league, and 8 reds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§13", "evidence": {"matches": 38, "red_ratio": 0.99, "yellow_ratio": 1.05, "reds_per_match": 0.211, "yellows_per_match": 4.29, "league_reds_per_match": 0.213, "league_yellows_per_match": 4.09}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 13.3, "description": "unknown", "temperature_c": 13}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": -0.304451477725764}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 3577, "name": "Temirlan Anarbekov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54227, "name": "Yan Vorogovskiy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 30103, "name": "Nuraly Alip", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13462, "name": "Alibek Kasym", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3578, "name": "Aleksandr Mrynskiy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54233, "name": "Dinmukhamed Karaman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54228, "name": "Ramazan Orazov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54230, "name": "Galymzhan Kenzhebek", "side": "home"}, {"id": 56353, "name": "Bauyrzhan Islamkhan", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54229, "name": "Maksim Samorodov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 60644, "name": "Zhasulan Amir", "side": "home"}, {"id": 8531, "name": "Islam Chesnokov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 22542, "name": "Temirlan Yerlanov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54236, "name": "Sergey Maliy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13014, "name": "Stas Pokatilov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 56759, "name": "Ramazan Karimov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54232, "name": "Arsen Ashirbek", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54237, "name": "Nauryzbek Zhagorov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 54453, "name": "Islambek Kuat", "side": "home"}, {"id": 76757, "name": "Stanislav Basmanov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3582, "name": "Damir Kasabulat", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3581, "name": "Erkin Tapalov", "side": "home"}, {"id": 13137, "name": "Artur Shushenachev", "side": "home"}, {"id": 16446, "name": "Andrei Cojuhar", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12143, "name": "Mihail Gherasimencov", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16433, "name": "Vladislav Baboglo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 6719, "name": "Iurie Iovu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 12914, "name": "Danila Forov", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16448, "name": "Catalin Cucos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 11071, "name": "Vadim Rață", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4863, "name": "Sergiu Perciun", "side": "away"}, {"id": 11228, "name": "Ştefan Bodişteanu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16437, "name": "Petru Popescu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16439, "name": "Vladimir Fratea", "side": "away"}, {"id": 27617, "name": "Oleg Reabciuk", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54419, "name": "Dumitru Celeadnic", "side": "away"}, {"id": 13402, "name": "Emil Tîmbur", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16444, "name": "Victor Stina", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16442, "name": "Mihail Stefan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 54903, "name": "Nikita Motpan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 10738, "name": "Virgiliu Postolachi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16445, "name": "Cristian Avram", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16434, "name": "Ioan-Calin Revenco", "side": "away"}, {"id": 11998, "name": "Daniel Dumbrăvanu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16432, "name": "Ion Borș", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16449, "name": "Victor Bogaciuc", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 673, "home_id": 2209, "kickoff": 1790949600, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 16446, "name": "Andrei Cojuhar", "ai_score": 0.367, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 12143, "name": "Mihail Gherasimencov", "ai_score": 0.498, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 16433, "name": "Vladislav Baboglo", "ai_score": 0.478, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 6719, "name": "Iurie Iovu", "ai_score": 0.368, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 12914, "name": "Danila Forov", "ai_score": 0.424, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16448, "name": "Catalin Cucos", "ai_score": 0.344, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 11071, "name": "Vadim Rață", "ai_score": 0.463, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 4863, "name": "Sergiu Perciun", "ai_score": 0.315, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 11228, "name": "Ştefan Bodişteanu", "ai_score": 0.287, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 16437, "name": "Petru Popescu", "ai_score": 0.326, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 16439, "name": "Vladimir Fratea", "ai_score": 0.333, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 27617, "name": "Oleg Reabciuk", "ai_score": 0.488, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54419, "name": "Dumitru Celeadnic", "ai_score": 0.33, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 13402, "name": "Emil Tîmbur", "ai_score": 0.297, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 16444, "name": "Victor Stina", "ai_score": 0.296, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 16442, "name": "Mihail Stefan", "ai_score": 0.261, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54903, "name": "Nikita Motpan", "ai_score": 0.259, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 10738, "name": "Virgiliu Postolachi", "ai_score": 0.257, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 16445, "name": "Cristian Avram", "ai_score": 0.256, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 16434, "name": "Ioan-Calin Revenco", "ai_score": 0.253, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 11998, "name": "Daniel Dumbrăvanu", "ai_score": 0.248, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 16432, "name": "Ion Borș", "ai_score": 0.228, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 16449, "name": "Victor Bogaciuc", "ai_score": 0.228, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "3-5-1-1", "confidence": 0.527}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 3577, "name": "Temirlan Anarbekov", "ai_score": 0.419, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 54227, "name": "Yan Vorogovskiy", "ai_score": 0.647, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 30103, "name": "Nuraly Alip", "ai_score": 0.748, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 13462, "name": "Alibek Kasym", "ai_score": 0.528, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 3578, "name": "Aleksandr Mrynskiy", "ai_score": 0.332, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 54233, "name": "Dinmukhamed Karaman", "ai_score": 0.514, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 54228, "name": "Ramazan Orazov", "ai_score": 0.462, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 54230, "name": "Galymzhan Kenzhebek", "ai_score": 0.505, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 56353, "name": "Bauyrzhan Islamkhan", "ai_score": 0.277, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 54229, "name": "Maksim Samorodov", "ai_score": 0.507, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 60644, "name": "Zhasulan Amir", "ai_score": 0.326, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 8531, "name": "Islam Chesnokov", "ai_score": 0.4, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 22542, "name": "Temirlan Yerlanov", "ai_score": 0.391, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 54236, "name": "Sergey Maliy", "ai_score": 0.36, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 13014, "name": "Stas Pokatilov", "ai_score": 0.349, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 56759, "name": "Ramazan Karimov", "ai_score": 0.304, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 54232, "name": "Arsen Ashirbek", "ai_score": 0.279, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54237, "name": "Nauryzbek Zhagorov", "ai_score": 0.279, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 54453, "name": "Islambek Kuat", "ai_score": 0.27, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 76757, "name": "Stanislav Basmanov", "ai_score": 0.237, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 3582, "name": "Damir Kasabulat", "ai_score": 0.232, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 3581, "name": "Erkin Tapalov", "ai_score": 0.228, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 13137, "name": "Artur Shushenachev", "ai_score": 0.218, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.555}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.527, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 852, "name": "Erling Haaland", "rank": 1, "goals": 3}, {"id": 28704, "name": "Joel Pohjanpalo", "rank": 2, "goals": 3}, {"id": 745, "name": "Lamine Yamal", "rank": 3, "goals": 3}, {"id": 22868, "name": "Zeki Amdouni", "rank": 4, "goals": 3}, {"id": 6450, "name": "Andri Guðjohnsen", "rank": 5, "goals": 2}, {"id": 711, "name": "Anthony Gordon", "rank": 6, "goals": 2}, {"id": 2466, "name": "Harry Kane", "rank": 7, "goals": 2}, {"id": 7881, "name": "João Félix", "rank": 8, "goals": 2}, {"id": 8996, "name": "Leo Walta", "rank": 9, "goals": 2}, {"id": 5591, "name": "Mexx Meerdink", "rank": 10, "goals": 2}, {"id": 1311, "name": "Nikola Krstović", "rank": 11, "goals": 2}, {"id": 456, "name": "Viktor Gyökeres", "rank": 12, "goals": 2}, {"id": 6537, "name": "Adam Idah", "rank": 13, "goals": 1}, {"id": 1117, "name": "Adam Karabec", "rank": 14, "goals": 1}, {"id": 12738, "name": "Adrian Svanback", "rank": 15, "goals": 1}], "players": [{"id": 16437, "club": "FC Petrocub Hîncesti", "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 180}, "name": "Petru Popescu", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Moldova", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": null, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Moldova", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 0}, "assists": 0, "tournament": null}, "position": "ST", "standout": null, "strengths": [], "importance": 0, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4073, "event": {"id": 212643, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Moldova", "home_team": "Kazakhstan", "league_id": 64, "event_date": "2026-10-02T14:00:00Z", "league_name": "UEFA Nations League", "away_team_id": 673, "home_team_id": 2209}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.5491}, "created_at": "2026-09-26T02:15:26Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 54.9}}}, "venue_id": 1140, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.215, "league_id": 64, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 0, "lost": 1, "drawn": 1, "group": "League C, Group 3", "played": 2, "points": 1, "team_id": 673, "position": 4, "goal_diff": -2, "goals_for": 1, "team_name": "Moldova", "goals_against": 3}, "home": {"won": 0, "lost": 1, "drawn": 1, "group": "League C, Group 3", "played": 2, "points": 1, "team_id": 2209, "position": 3, "goal_diff": -1, "goals_for": 2, "team_name": "Kazakhstan", "goals_against": 3}, "size": 54}, "confidence": 0.404, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871253, "corner_rate": 8.25, "lambda_away": 1.3308777506598397, "lambda_home": 0.9007165124006262, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was away draw-no-bet at 3.50, where the model confidence of 40% is below the threshold.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "League C, Group 3 · Matchday 3", "lineup_status": "predicted"}