{"id":212323,"league_id":49,"league":"J1 League","kickoff":1794114000,"home":"Vissel Kobe","away":"Urawa Red Diamonds","home_id":1931,"away_id":1935,"venue_id":1120,"rank":4,"status":"finished","provisional":false,"lineup_status":"confirmed","confidence":0.801,"score":[2,2],"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.78,1.17],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.44320003020311355,"DRAW":0.2661157062879586,"AWAY":0.2906842635089277},"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"top_pick":null,"pass":"Nothing to take on Vissel Kobe against Urawa Red Diamonds. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","confident":[],"flags":[{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Vissel Kobe have made three changes from the side expected, with Yuta Goke, Yuya Kuwasaki and Jean Patric out of the eleven. Urawa Red Diamonds have made six changes from the side expected, with Yoichi Naganuma, Yuta Miyamoto and Miki Yamane out of the eleven."}],"lambda_home":1.7821128679569398,"lambda_away":1.1715351023440839,"corner_rate":9.95,"card_rate":0.141,"lineups":{"status":"confirmed","confidence":null,"home":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":45715,"name":"Shuichi Gonda","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45697,"name":"Gotoku Sakai","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45698,"name":"Tetsushi Yamakawa","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45699,"name":"Thuler","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":46150,"name":"Diego","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45705,"name":"Yosuke Ideguchi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":114279,"name":"Yuan Iwamoto","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45708,"name":"Daiju Sasaki","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44730,"name":"Erik","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45714,"name":"Yuya Osako","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45712,"name":"Yoshinori Muto","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":46201,"name":"Shota Arai","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":46193,"name":"Takuya Iwanami","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45710,"name":"Katsuya Nagato","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45718,"name":"Nanasei Iino","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45702,"name":"Yuta Goke","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45482,"name":"Kota Watanabe","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":46164,"name":"Yuya Kuwasaki","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":46178,"name":"Ren Komatsu","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45713,"name":"Jean Patric","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"away":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":45374,"name":"Shusaku Nishikawa","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44740,"name":"Kotaro Hayashi","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45929,"name":"Danilo Boza","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45378,"name":"Kenta Nemoto","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43577,"name":"Shuta Sasa","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45381,"name":"Kaito Yasui","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":46015,"name":"Samuel Gustafson","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45385,"name":"Ryoma Watanabe","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45384,"name":"Takuro Kaneko","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":46012,"name":"Hiiro Komori","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45387,"name":"Matheus Sávio","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44760,"name":"Yoshiaki Arai","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45377,"name":"Yuta Miyamoto","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43428,"name":"Kota Kudo","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45592,"name":"Eiichi Katayama","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45390,"name":"Ueki Hayate","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45399,"name":"Jumpei Hayakawa","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":6059,"name":"Tatsuki Seko","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45389,"name":"Renji Hidano","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43891,"name":"Harumi Minamino","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":4942,"name":"Ado Onaiwu","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":45715,"name":"Shuichi Gonda","side":"home"},{"id":45697,"name":"Gotoku Sakai","side":"home"},{"id":45698,"name":"Tetsushi Yamakawa","side":"home"},{"id":45699,"name":"Thuler","side":"home"},{"id":46150,"name":"Diego","side":"home"},{"id":45705,"name":"Yosuke Ideguchi","side":"home"},{"id":114279,"name":"Yuan Iwamoto","side":"home"},{"id":45708,"name":"Daiju Sasaki","side":"home"},{"id":44730,"name":"Erik","side":"home"},{"id":45714,"name":"Yuya Osako","side":"home"},{"id":45712,"name":"Yoshinori Muto","side":"home"},{"id":46201,"name":"Shota Arai","side":"home"},{"id":46193,"name":"Takuya Iwanami","side":"home"},{"id":45710,"name":"Katsuya Nagato","side":"home"},{"id":45718,"name":"Nanasei Iino","side":"home"},{"id":45702,"name":"Yuta Goke","side":"home"},{"id":45482,"name":"Kota Watanabe","side":"home"},{"id":46164,"name":"Yuya Kuwasaki","side":"home"},{"id":46178,"name":"Ren Komatsu","side":"home"},{"id":45713,"name":"Jean Patric","side":"home"},{"id":45701,"name":"Caetano","side":"home"},{"id":44291,"name":"Issei Takahashi","side":"home"},{"id":46196,"name":"Justin Homma","side":"home"},{"id":46157,"name":"Kaito Yamada","side":"home"},{"id":44422,"name":"Ryosuke Irie","side":"home"},{"id":64708,"name":"Anderson Lopes","side":"home"},{"id":46179,"name":"Niina Tominaga","side":"home"},{"id":46182,"name":"Sota Ito","side":"home"},{"id":46180,"name":"Hayato Watanabe","side":"home"},{"id":46181,"name":"Yuta Miyahara","side":"home"},{"id":61219,"name":"Hyoei Kawabata","side":"home"},{"id":45696,"name":"Daiya Maekawa","side":"home"},{"id":46200,"name":"Richard Ubong","side":"home"},{"id":46202,"name":"Shioki Takayama","side":"home"},{"id":45704,"name":"Takahiro Ogihara","side":"home"},{"id":46188,"name":"Haruya Ide","side":"home"},{"id":46160,"name":"Kento Hamasaki","side":"home"},{"id":46184,"name":"Rikuto Hashimoto","side":"home"},{"id":46187,"name":"Juzo Ura","side":"home"},{"id":45711,"name":"Mitsuki Hidaka","side":"home"},{"id":46190,"name":"Sota Onishi","side":"home"},{"id":209728,"name":"Ryotaro Iuchi","side":"home"},{"id":45374,"name":"Shusaku Nishikawa","side":"away"},{"id":44740,"name":"Kotaro Hayashi","side":"away"},{"id":45929,"name":"Danilo Boza","side":"away"},{"id":45378,"name":"Kenta Nemoto","side":"away"},{"id":43577,"name":"Shuta Sasa","side":"away"},{"id":45381,"name":"Kaito Yasui","side":"away"},{"id":46015,"name":"Samuel Gustafson","side":"away"},{"id":45385,"name":"Ryoma Watanabe","side":"away"},{"id":45384,"name":"Takuro Kaneko","side":"away"},{"id":46012,"name":"Hiiro Komori","side":"away"},{"id":45387,"name":"Matheus Sávio","side":"away"},{"id":44760,"name":"Yoshiaki Arai","side":"away"},{"id":45377,"name":"Yuta Miyamoto","side":"away"},{"id":43428,"name":"Kota Kudo","side":"away"},{"id":45592,"name":"Eiichi Katayama","side":"away"},{"id":45390,"name":"Ueki Hayate","side":"away"},{"id":45399,"name":"Jumpei Hayakawa","side":"away"},{"id":6059,"name":"Tatsuki Seko","side":"away"},{"id":45389,"name":"Renji Hidano","side":"away"},{"id":43891,"name":"Harumi Minamino","side":"away"},{"id":4942,"name":"Ado Onaiwu","side":"away"},{"id":9447,"name":"Miki Yamane","side":"away"},{"id":149040,"name":"Atsushi Inagaki","side":"away"},{"id":210755,"name":"Reon Tanaka","side":"away"},{"id":46020,"name":"Luka Didulica","side":"away"},{"id":46019,"name":"Yoshitaka Tanaka","side":"away"},{"id":45380,"name":"Yoichi Naganuma","side":"away"},{"id":43202,"name":"Koki Fukui","side":"away"},{"id":59334,"name":"Alex Malcolm","side":"away"},{"id":64706,"name":"Kota Mizunuma","side":"away"},{"id":64707,"name":"Yota Horiuchi","side":"away"},{"id":46017,"name":"Takeshi Wada","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":45714,"name":"Yuya Osako","side":"home","team":"Vissel Kobe","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":10,"goals":6,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":6,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":10},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":3,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Fagiano Okayama","kickoff":1792299300,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer"],"importance":0.228,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":89,"country":0}},{"id":44730,"name":"Erik","side":"home","team":"Vissel Kobe","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":6,"starts":4,"goals":1,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":17,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":4},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":2,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Gamba Osaka","kickoff":1789891200,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.089,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":45387,"name":"Matheus Sávio","side":"away","team":"Urawa Red Diamonds","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":10,"goals":5,"assists":1,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":10},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Tokyo Verdy","kickoff":1789810200,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer","chance_creator"],"importance":0.192,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":154,"country":0}},{"id":45384,"name":"Takuro Kaneko","side":"away","team":"Urawa Red Diamonds","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":12,"goals":2,"assists":6,"big_chances":9,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":12},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Gamba Osaka","kickoff":1786098600,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"3-4","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_creator","best_performer","chance_creator"],"importance":0.236,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":171,"country":0}},{"id":46012,"name":"Hiiro Komori","side":"away","team":"Urawa Red Diamonds","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":13,"starts":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":18,"tracked_apps":13,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Gamba Osaka","kickoff":1786098600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"3-4","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.029,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":71,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":1931,"away":1935},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":1},"below":{"w":7,"d":0,"l":1}},"away":{"above":{"w":2,"d":0,"l":2},"below":{"w":5,"d":0,"l":1}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":1288,"name":"Michael Skibbe","vs":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":1,"last":{"kickoff":1759564800,"score":"0-1","result":"L"}}},"away":{"id":1287,"name":"Gwi-jae Jo","vs":{"w":0,"d":1,"l":1,"last":{"kickoff":1778666400,"score":"0-1","result":"L"}}}},"best_xi":[{"id":46150,"name":"Diego","team_id":1931,"position":"D","matches":13,"goals":1,"assists":2},{"id":45384,"name":"Takuro Kaneko","team_id":1935,"position":"M","matches":12,"goals":2,"assists":6}],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":44489,"name":"Léo Ceará","goals":12,"rank":1},{"id":45363,"name":"Akito Suzuki","goals":10,"rank":2},{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","goals":8,"rank":3},{"id":43668,"name":"Motoki Nagakura","goals":8,"rank":4},{"id":44495,"name":"Aleksandar Čavrić","goals":7,"rank":5},{"id":45485,"name":"Kaina Tanimura","goals":7,"rank":6},{"id":44659,"name":"Rafael Elias","goals":7,"rank":7},{"id":44529,"name":"Yusuke Segawa","goals":7,"rank":8},{"id":45714,"name":"Yuya Osako","goals":6,"rank":9},{"id":44810,"name":"Arata Watanabe","goals":5,"rank":10},{"id":29057,"name":"Dani Gómez","goals":5,"rank":11},{"id":44535,"name":"Hinata Yamauchi","goals":5,"rank":12},{"id":63286,"name":"Kenshin Yasuda","goals":5,"rank":13},{"id":43669,"name":"Marcelo Ryan","goals":5,"rank":14},{"id":45387,"name":"Matheus Sávio","goals":5,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 14","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":35,"home_wins":14,"draws":7,"away_wins":14,"home_goals":46,"away_goals":49,"avg_total_goals":2.7142857142857144,"home_win_rate":0.4,"away_win_rate":0.4,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Vissel Kobe","date":"2025-10-04T08:00:00+00:00","home":"Urawa Red Diamonds","score":"1-0","event_id":213363,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1931,"home_team_id":1935},{"away":"Urawa Red Diamonds","date":"2025-02-15T05:00:00+00:00","home":"Vissel Kobe","score":"0-0","event_id":213040,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1935,"home_team_id":1931},{"away":"Urawa Red Diamonds","date":"2024-09-28T10:00:00+00:00","home":"Vissel Kobe","score":"1-0","event_id":233902,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1935,"home_team_id":1931},{"away":"Vissel Kobe","date":"2024-06-01T07:00:00+00:00","home":"Urawa Red Diamonds","score":"1-1","event_id":233747,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1931,"home_team_id":1935},{"away":"Vissel Kobe","date":"2023-11-12T06:00:00+00:00","home":"Urawa Red Diamonds","score":"1-2","event_id":243484,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1931,"home_team_id":1935},{"away":"Urawa Red Diamonds","date":"2023-03-11T05:00:00+00:00","home":"Vissel Kobe","score":"0-1","event_id":243223,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1935,"home_team_id":1931},{"away":"Urawa Red Diamonds","date":"2022-06-26T09:00:00+00:00","home":"Vissel Kobe","score":"0-1","event_id":254529,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1935,"home_team_id":1931},{"away":"Vissel Kobe","date":"2022-02-23T07:00:00+00:00","home":"Urawa Red Diamonds","score":"2-2","event_id":254442,"away_score":2,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1931,"home_team_id":1935},{"away":"Urawa Red Diamonds","date":"2021-10-02T06:00:00+00:00","home":"Vissel Kobe","score":"5-1","event_id":267636,"away_score":1,"home_score":5,"away_team_id":1935,"home_team_id":1931},{"away":"Vissel Kobe","date":"2021-05-22T07:00:00+00:00","home":"Urawa Red Diamonds","score":"2-0","event_id":267474,"away_score":0,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1931,"home_team_id":1935}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":1931,"position":5,"played":13,"points":26,"goal_diff":9,"team_name":"Vissel Kobe","won":8,"drawn":2,"lost":3,"goals_for":21,"goals_against":12,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1935,"position":9,"played":13,"points":21,"goal_diff":-6,"team_name":"Urawa Red Diamonds","won":7,"drawn":0,"lost":6,"goals_for":21,"goals_against":27,"group":null},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":1.67,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWLDW","venue_ppg":2.33},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":2,"record":"4-0-2","goals_for":1.33,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWWWL","venue_ppg":1}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vissel Kobe report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Urawa Red Diamonds report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Vissel Kobe have made three changes from the side expected, with Yuta Goke, Yuya Kuwasaki and Jean Patric out of the eleven. Urawa Red Diamonds have made six changes from the side expected, with Yoichi Naganuma, Yuta Miyamoto and Miki Yamane out of the eleven.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":{"home":{"n":3,"out":["Yuta Goke","Yuya Kuwasaki","Jean Patric"],"in":["Yuan Iwamoto","Daiju Sasaki","Erik"]},"away":{"n":6,"out":["Yoichi Naganuma","Yuta Miyamoto","Miki Yamane","Ueki Hayate","Tatsuki Seko","Ado Onaiwu"],"in":["Kotaro Hayashi","Danilo Boza","Shuta Sasa","Samuel Gustafson","Ryoma Watanabe","Hiiro Komori"]}}},"strength":0.8,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vissel Kobe have taken 1.67 points a game from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2, and 2.33 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.67,"record":"3-1-2","goals_for":1.67,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWLDW","venue_ppg":2.33},"strength":0.211,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Urawa Red Diamonds have taken 2.00 points a game from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8, and 1.00 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":2,"record":"4-0-2","goals_for":1.33,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWWWL","venue_ppg":1},"strength":0.433,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":24,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":5,"points":26,"games_left":24,"gap_to_leader":7,"gap_to_safety":14,"gap_to_europe":-3},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":9,"points":21,"games_left":24,"gap_to_leader":12,"gap_to_safety":9,"gap_to_europe":2},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 1-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":-1},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Michael Skibbe has 37 matches in charge at Vissel Kobe, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Michael Skibbe","matches_in_charge":37,"tenure_days":275,"ppm":1.95,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.3,"after_ppm":2.1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Gwi-jae Jo has 17 matches in charge at Urawa Red Diamonds, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Gwi-jae Jo","matches_in_charge":17,"tenure_days":110,"ppm":1.82,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.4,"after_ppm":1.6,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vissel Kobe come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.958333333333333,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Urawa Red Diamonds come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.916666666666667,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7.9},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.136,"defence":0.125,"effective_matches":16.5,"shrunk":0.33},"away":{"attack":0.064,"defence":-0.053,"effective_matches":16.5,"shrunk":0.33}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":50.4,"shots":13.8,"xg_per_shot":0.126,"corners":4.9,"corners_per_shot":0.356,"finishing_vs_xg":0.01},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":55.7,"shots":16.3,"xg_per_shot":0.097,"corners":5.8,"corners_per_shot":0.358,"finishing_vs_xg":0.25},"possession_gap":-5.3},"strength":0.21,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Vissel Kobe are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.01,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Urawa Red Diamonds are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.25,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 436 km for Urawa Red Diamonds.","evidence":{"travel_km":436},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":8.4,"temperature_c":14,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.1694793763912698},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 7.1% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0708,"margin_pct":7.08,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The line has barely moved since it opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":-3.9,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":-0.9,"direction":"SHORTENING"},{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":-0.3,"direction":"DRIFTING"}]},"strength":0.193,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The sharp book and the wider market agree on this fixture.","evidence":{"sharp":{"HOME":0.4436,"DRAW":0.2659,"AWAY":0.2905},"consensus":{"HOME":0.4432,"DRAW":0.2661,"AWAY":0.2907},"largest_gap":{"outcome":"HOME","points":0.04},"sharp_overround":1.0303},"strength":0.005,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.5063,"DRAW":0.2539,"AWAY":0.2398},"book":{"HOME":0.4432,"DRAW":0.2661,"AWAY":0.2907},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.25,"bookmaker":"dafabet"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.63,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.35,"bookmaker":"Unibet"}},"overround":1.0708,"books":15,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4436,"DRAW":0.2659,"AWAY":0.2905}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.442,"DRAW":0.2718,"AWAY":0.2863}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"12":0.7461,"1X":0.7602,"X2":0.4937},"book":{"12":0.7339,"1X":0.7093,"X2":0.5568},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"1X":{"odds":1.33,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"X2":{"odds":1.7,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0547,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7341,"1X":0.7095,"X2":0.5564}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7282,"1X":0.7137,"X2":0.558}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.6786,"AWAY":0.3214},"book":{"HOME":0.6039,"AWAY":0.3961},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.61,"bookmaker":"Betsson"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.375,"bookmaker":"888Sport"}},"overround":1.0769,"books":12,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.6043,"AWAY":0.3957}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.6069,"AWAY":0.3931}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"yes":0.5845,"no":0.4155},"book":{"yes":0.5764,"no":0.4236},"best":{"yes":{"odds":1.67,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"no":{"odds":2.25,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0804,"books":17,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5962,"no":0.4038}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5864,"no":0.4136}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.9374,"under":0.0626},"book":{"over":0.9473,"under":0.0527},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.02,"bookmaker":"BetVictor"},"under":{"odds":11.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0792,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9496,"under":0.0504}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9438,"under":0.0562}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.8043,"under":0.1957},"book":{"over":0.7813,"under":0.2187},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":4.14,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0625,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7792,"under":0.2208}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7711,"under":0.2289}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.5663,"under":0.4337},"book":{"over":0.5351,"under":0.4649},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.83,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":2.07,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0563,"books":6,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5347,"under":0.4653}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5217,"under":0.4783}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.3424,"under":0.6576},"book":{"over":0.3106,"under":0.6894},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.99,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.41,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0646,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3126,"under":0.6874}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3032,"under":0.6968}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.1288,"AWAY":0.8712},"book":{"HOME":0.0821,"AWAY":0.9179},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":8.65,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.05,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0856,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0779,"AWAY":0.9221}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.25,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.1398,"AWAY":0.8602},"book":{"HOME":0.0793,"AWAY":0.9207},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":8.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.038,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0853,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0793,"AWAY":0.9207}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.1529,"AWAY":0.8471},"book":{"HOME":0.0974,"AWAY":0.9026},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":7.75,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.06,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0893,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0956,"AWAY":0.9044}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.2254,"AWAY":0.7746},"book":{"HOME":0.161,"AWAY":0.839},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0642,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1607,"AWAY":0.8393}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.2865,"AWAY":0.7135},"book":{"HOME":0.2199,"AWAY":0.7801},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.05,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.24,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.074,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2185,"AWAY":0.7815}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.3219,"AWAY":0.6781},"book":{"HOME":0.2466,"AWAY":0.7534},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0665,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2446,"AWAY":0.7554}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.3673,"AWAY":0.6327},"book":{"HOME":0.2798,"AWAY":0.7202},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.35,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0705,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2789,"AWAY":0.7211}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.4454,"AWAY":0.5546},"book":{"HOME":0.3697,"AWAY":0.6303},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.528,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0666,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3697,"AWAY":0.6303}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.5063,"AWAY":0.4937},"book":{"HOME":0.4401,"AWAY":0.5599},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.7,"bookmaker":"888Sport"}},"overround":1.0729,"books":9,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4401,"AWAY":0.5599}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.5799,"AWAY":0.4201},"book":{"HOME":0.5068,"AWAY":0.4932},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.9,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.958,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.063,"books":7,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.51,"AWAY":0.49}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.6786,"AWAY":0.3214},"book":{"HOME":0.5961,"AWAY":0.4039},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.412,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0643,"books":7,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5985,"AWAY":0.4015}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.7253,"AWAY":0.2747},"book":{"HOME":0.661,"AWAY":0.339},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.48,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.762,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0646,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6621,"AWAY":0.3379}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.7602,"AWAY":0.2398},"book":{"HOME":0.704,"AWAY":0.296},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.1,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0659,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7034,"AWAY":0.2966}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.8178,"AWAY":0.1822},"book":{"HOME":0.7772,"AWAY":0.2228},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.04,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0651,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7772,"AWAY":0.2228}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.8848,"AWAY":0.1152},"book":{"HOME":0.8557,"AWAY":0.1443},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.14,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0672,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8575,"AWAY":0.1425}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.8936,"AWAY":0.1064},"book":{"HOME":0.8738,"AWAY":0.1262},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.57,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0657,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8738,"AWAY":0.1262}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"HOME":0.9011,"AWAY":0.0989},"book":{"HOME":0.8818,"AWAY":0.1182},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":7.13,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0734,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.884,"AWAY":0.116}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":7.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.7438,"under":0.2562},"book":{"over":0.7636,"under":0.2364},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.23,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0987,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.7736,"under":0.2264}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":8.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.6364,"under":0.3636},"book":{"over":0.6496,"under":0.3504},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.45,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":2.58,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0801,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.651,"under":0.349}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6495,"under":0.3505}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.5225,"under":0.4775},"book":{"over":0.5302,"under":0.4698},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.78,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0662,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5309,"under":0.4691}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5293,"under":0.4707}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.4113,"under":0.5887},"book":{"over":0.416,"under":0.584},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.21,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0739,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4176,"under":0.5824}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4137,"under":0.5863}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":11.5,"confidence":0.801,"model":{"over":0.3106,"under":0.6894},"book":{"over":0.3136,"under":0.6864},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.8,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0871,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2948,"under":0.7052}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.641,"model":{"HOME":0.4529,"DRAW":0.116,"AWAY":0.4311},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.561,"model":{"yes":0.1319,"no":0.8681},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6786,"book_prob":0.6039,"edge":0.0747,"shrunk_edge":0.0522,"odds":1.61,"bookmaker":"Betsson","prices":[{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.61},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.58},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":1.571},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.571},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.57},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.533},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.533},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.53},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.53},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.53}],"kelly":0.0379,"confidence":0.801,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.3673,"book_prob":0.2798,"edge":0.0874,"shrunk_edge":0.0502,"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.5},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.25},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":3.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.175},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.1},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.9}],"kelly":0.0285,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.6786,"book_prob":0.5961,"edge":0.0824,"shrunk_edge":0.0473,"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.62},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.6},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.59},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.581},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.58},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.575}],"kelly":0.04,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5063,"book_prob":0.4432,"edge":0.0631,"shrunk_edge":0.0441,"odds":2.25,"bookmaker":"dafabet","prices":[{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":2.25},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.2},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.2},{"slug":"mansionbet","book":"MansionBet","odds":2.19},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.15},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.15},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":2.14},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.1},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.1},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":2.1},{"slug":"melbet","book":"MelBet","odds":2.06}],"kelly":0.0278,"confidence":0.801,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.4454,"book_prob":0.3697,"edge":0.0756,"shrunk_edge":0.0434,"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.6},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.453},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.45},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.425}],"kelly":0.0247,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3219,"book_prob":0.2466,"edge":0.0753,"shrunk_edge":0.0432,"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.9},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.65},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.585},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.55},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.25}],"kelly":0.022,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.5799,"book_prob":0.5068,"edge":0.0732,"shrunk_edge":0.042,"odds":1.9,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.9},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.89},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.87},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.87},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.864},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.85},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.77}],"kelly":0.0283,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.2865,"book_prob":0.2199,"edge":0.0667,"shrunk_edge":0.0382,"odds":4.05,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":4.05},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.02},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":4},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.9},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.55}],"kelly":0.0132,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.5063,"book_prob":0.4401,"edge":0.0662,"shrunk_edge":0.038,"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"Interwetten","prices":[{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.2},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.1},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.05},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.05},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.05},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.05},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.05}],"kelly":0.0237,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.2254,"book_prob":0.161,"edge":0.0644,"shrunk_edge":0.0369,"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.25},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5.16},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.1}],"kelly":0.0108,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7253,"book_prob":0.661,"edge":0.0644,"shrunk_edge":0.0369,"odds":1.48,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.48},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.45},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.44},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.425},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.422}],"kelly":0.0383,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7602,"book_prob":0.7093,"edge":0.0509,"shrunk_edge":0.0356,"odds":1.33,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.33},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.33},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.33},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.33},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.27}],"kelly":0.0084,"confidence":0.801,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1398,"book_prob":0.0793,"edge":0.0605,"shrunk_edge":0.0347,"odds":8.2,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":8.2}],"kelly":0.0051,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.7602,"book_prob":0.704,"edge":0.0562,"shrunk_edge":0.0322,"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.37},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.36},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.35},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.35}],"kelly":0.028,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.1529,"book_prob":0.0974,"edge":0.0555,"shrunk_edge":0.0318,"odds":7.75,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":7.75},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":6.5}],"kelly":0.0069,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"over","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3424,"book_prob":0.3106,"edge":0.0318,"shrunk_edge":0.0269,"odds":2.99,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.99},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.98},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":2.88},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.73}],"kelly":0.003,"confidence":0.801,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.1288,"book_prob":0.0821,"edge":0.0467,"shrunk_edge":0.0268,"odds":8.65,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":8.65},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":7.5}],"kelly":0.0037,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"over","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5663,"book_prob":0.5351,"edge":0.0313,"shrunk_edge":0.0265,"odds":1.83,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.83},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.81},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.8},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.75},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.73},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.73}],"kelly":0.011,"confidence":0.801,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8178,"book_prob":0.7772,"edge":0.0405,"shrunk_edge":0.0233,"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.25},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.24},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.24},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.206}],"kelly":0.0222,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8043,"book_prob":0.7813,"edge":0.023,"shrunk_edge":0.0195,"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.25},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.25},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.22},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.2}],"kelly":0.0054,"confidence":0.801,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8848,"book_prob":0.8557,"edge":0.0292,"shrunk_edge":0.0167,"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.14},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.13},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.12},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.102}],"kelly":0.0156,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8936,"book_prob":0.8738,"edge":0.0198,"shrunk_edge":0.0113,"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.12},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.11},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.072}],"kelly":0.0016,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.9011,"book_prob":0.8818,"edge":0.0192,"shrunk_edge":0.011,"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.11},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.09},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.058}],"kelly":0.0004,"confidence":0.801,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":7.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2562,"book_prob":0.2364,"edge":0.0198,"shrunk_edge":0.0109,"odds":3.5,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.5}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.801,"family":"corners"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"12","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7461,"book_prob":0.7339,"edge":0.0122,"shrunk_edge":0.0086,"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.3},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.3},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.29},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.25},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.23}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.801,"family":"result"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"The results here are not telling the whole story. Vissel Kobe have conceded only 9 in their last nine when the chances they allowed would usually cost about 14. Their goalkeeper and their luck have carried them. As for the other side, Urawa Red Diamonds are trending up: in their last four games they have made clearly better chances than in the games before. And they shoot plenty but from poor positions: 22 on target from 101 shots in their last six. Whoever makes the better chances on the day takes this one.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7403,"created_at":"2026-11-02T02:15:26Z","event":{"id":212323,"event_date":"2026-11-08T05:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1931,"home_team":"Vissel Kobe","away_team_id":1935,"away_team":"Urawa Red Diamonds","league_id":49,"league_name":"J1 League"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":43.3,"prob_draw":27,"prob_away":29.6,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.99,"away":1.19},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":76.7,"prob_over_25":53.4,"prob_over_35":33.9},"btts":{"prob_yes":57},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":73.7},"corners":{"prob_over_85":61.3,"prob_over_95":49.6,"prob_over_105":38}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":43.3,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4333,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1794113633,"report":{"fetched_at":1794121025,"ht":[1,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"goal","minute":43,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"Y. Muto","player_id":45712,"assist":"D. Sasaki","kind":"regular","score":[1,0]},{"t":"sub","minute":58,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"T. Seko","in_id":6059,"out":"S. Gustafson","out_id":46015},{"t":"sub","minute":66,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"H. Ueki","in_id":45390,"out":"K. Yasui","out_id":45381},{"t":"goal","minute":69,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"R. Watanabe","player_id":45385,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[1,1]},{"t":"sub","minute":72,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"J. Patric","in_id":45713,"out":"D. Sasaki","out_id":45708},{"t":"sub","minute":82,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"Y. Kuwasaki","in_id":46164,"out":"Y. Iwamoto","out_id":114279},{"t":"sub","minute":88,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"H. Minamino","in_id":43891,"out":"H. Komori","out_id":46012},{"t":"sub","minute":88,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"K. Kudo","in_id":43428,"out":"S. Sasa","out_id":43577},{"t":"goal","minute":90,"added":1,"side":"away","player":"T. Kaneko","player_id":45384,"assist":"K. Hayashi","kind":"regular","score":[1,2]},{"t":"sub","minute":90,"added":3,"side":"home","in":"K. Nagato","in_id":45710,"out":"T. Yamakawa","out_id":45698},{"t":"sub","minute":90,"added":3,"side":"home","in":"R. Komatsu","in_id":46178,"out":"Y. Ideguchi","out_id":45705},{"t":"goal","minute":90,"added":4,"side":"home","player":"Y. Muto","player_id":45712,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[2,2]}],"players":[],"stats":{"home":{"possession":43,"shots":19,"on_target":5,"corners":2,"fouls":6,"yellow":0,"red":0,"big_chances":1,"passes":380,"pass_pct":70,"offsides":2,"saves":7},"away":{"possession":57,"shots":20,"on_target":9,"corners":5,"fouls":7,"yellow":0,"red":0,"big_chances":1,"passes":489,"pass_pct":77.7,"offsides":1,"saves":3}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":45715,"name":"Shuichi Gonda","position":"G","number":71,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":45697,"name":"Gotoku Sakai","position":"D","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45698,"name":"Tetsushi Yamakawa","position":"D","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45699,"name":"Thuler","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":46150,"name":"Diego","position":"D","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45705,"name":"Yosuke Ideguchi","position":"M","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":114279,"name":"Yuan Iwamoto","position":"M","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45708,"name":"Daiju Sasaki","position":"M","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44730,"name":"Erik","position":"F","number":94,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45714,"name":"Yuya Osako","position":"F","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45712,"name":"Yoshinori Muto","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":46201,"name":"Shota Arai","position":"G","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":46193,"name":"Takuya Iwanami","position":"D","number":31,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45710,"name":"Katsuya Nagato","position":"D","number":41,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45718,"name":"Nanasei Iino","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45702,"name":"Yuta Goke","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45482,"name":"Kota Watanabe","position":"M","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":46164,"name":"Yuya Kuwasaki","position":"M","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":46178,"name":"Ren Komatsu","position":"F","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45713,"name":"Jean Patric","position":"F","number":26,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-3-3","players":[{"id":45374,"name":"Shusaku Nishikawa","position":"G","number":1,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":44740,"name":"Kotaro Hayashi","position":"D","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45929,"name":"Danilo Boza","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45378,"name":"Kenta Nemoto","position":"D","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43577,"name":"Shuta Sasa","position":"D","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45381,"name":"Kaito Yasui","position":"M","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":46015,"name":"Samuel Gustafson","position":"M","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45385,"name":"Ryoma Watanabe","position":"M","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45384,"name":"Takuro Kaneko","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":46012,"name":"Hiiro Komori","position":"F","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45387,"name":"Matheus Sávio","position":"F","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44760,"name":"Yoshiaki Arai","position":"G","number":44,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45377,"name":"Yuta Miyamoto","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43428,"name":"Kota Kudo","position":"D","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45592,"name":"Eiichi Katayama","position":"D","number":32,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45390,"name":"Ueki Hayate","position":"M","number":37,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45399,"name":"Jumpei Hayakawa","position":"M","number":39,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":6059,"name":"Tatsuki Seko","position":"M","number":12,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45389,"name":"Renji Hidano","position":"F","number":36,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43891,"name":"Harumi Minamino","position":"F","number":42,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":4942,"name":"Ado Onaiwu","position":"F","number":45,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#9e9496","away":"#ed2141"},"venue":{"name":"National Olympic Stadium","city":"Tokyo","capacity":null},"pulled":[],"published":[]}