{"id":212318,"league_id":49,"league":"J1 League","kickoff":1794034800,"home":"Kashiwa Reysol","away":"Kawasaki Frontale","home_id":1945,"away_id":1944,"venue_id":1114,"rank":4,"status":"finished","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.668,"score":[2,1],"live_score":null,"lambda":[2,1.38],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.43529457266288873,"DRAW":0.24311097213360874,"AWAY":0.3215944552035023},"read":null,"top_pick":{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.13},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.105},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.079}],"prob":0.869,"lean":false},"pass":null,"confident":[{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2,"prob":0.869,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.13},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.105},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.079}],"lean":false,"caveat":false}],"flags":[{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"Kashiwa Reysol have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.2, and 2.25 a game at home."},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","note":"Local derby. Cards and both-teams-to-score are the reliable reads; total goals are not, since derbies run cagey about as often as they run open."}],"lambda_home":1.995356062312684,"lambda_away":1.3788344534601247,"corner_rate":9.03,"card_rate":0.128,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.641,"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":44555,"name":"Kengo Nagai","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.511},{"id":44546,"name":"Daiki Sugioka","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.684},{"id":44543,"name":"Taiyo Koga","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.753},{"id":44544,"name":"Seiya Baba","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.337},{"id":44549,"name":"Wataru Harada","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.455},{"id":44527,"name":"Koki Kumasaka","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.358},{"id":44532,"name":"Nobuteru Nakagawa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.819},{"id":44537,"name":"Sachiro Toshima","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.459},{"id":44521,"name":"Yoshio Koizumi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.758},{"id":44731,"name":"Shota Fujio","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.44},{"id":44525,"name":"Tojiro Kubo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.63},{"id":43677,"name":"Keita Endo","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.579},{"id":45323,"name":"Kenshin Yuba","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.448},{"id":44540,"name":"Yudai Konishi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.433},{"id":44552,"name":"Ryosuke Kojima","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.425},{"id":44535,"name":"Hinata Yamauchi","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.387},{"id":44550,"name":"Hiromu Mitsumaru","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.341},{"id":44529,"name":"Yusuke Segawa","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.325},{"id":44297,"name":"Tomoya Wakahara","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.32},{"id":44548,"name":"Tomoya Inukai","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.311},{"id":44528,"name":"Masaki Watai","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.281},{"id":45707,"name":"Makoto Mitsuta","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.242},{"id":44520,"name":"Mao Hosoya","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.237}],"confidence":0.641},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":44625,"name":"Svend Brodersen","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.784},{"id":44615,"name":"Sota Miura","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.686},{"id":17989,"name":"Pedro Romano","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.703},{"id":44614,"name":"Filip Uremović","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.584},{"id":44610,"name":"Reon Yamahara","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.602},{"id":44607,"name":"Kento Tachibanada","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.812},{"id":44605,"name":"Yuki Yamamoto","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.757},{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.766},{"id":44603,"name":"Yasuto Wakizaka","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.753},{"id":44600,"name":"Tatsuya Ito","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.744},{"id":4211,"name":"Derik Lacerda","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.662},{"id":44617,"name":"Asahi Sasaki","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.505},{"id":44618,"name":"Hiroto Taniguchi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.417},{"id":44601,"name":"Yuto Ozeki","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.365},{"id":44616,"name":"Yuichi Maruyama","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.345},{"id":44609,"name":"So Kawahara","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.298},{"id":44599,"name":"Kyosuke Mochiyama","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.272},{"id":44597,"name":"Kazuya Konno","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.241},{"id":44596,"name":"Yu Kobayashi","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.219},{"id":44604,"name":"Akihiro Ienaga","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.212},{"id":44612,"name":"Shuto Yamaichi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.201},{"id":44613,"name":"Ryuki Osa","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.162},{"id":44624,"name":"Louis Yamaguchi","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.045}],"confidence":0.859},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":44555,"name":"Kengo Nagai","side":"home"},{"id":44546,"name":"Daiki Sugioka","side":"home"},{"id":44543,"name":"Taiyo Koga","side":"home"},{"id":44544,"name":"Seiya Baba","side":"home"},{"id":44549,"name":"Wataru Harada","side":"home"},{"id":44527,"name":"Koki Kumasaka","side":"home"},{"id":44532,"name":"Nobuteru Nakagawa","side":"home"},{"id":44537,"name":"Sachiro Toshima","side":"home"},{"id":44521,"name":"Yoshio Koizumi","side":"home"},{"id":44731,"name":"Shota Fujio","side":"home"},{"id":44525,"name":"Tojiro Kubo","side":"home"},{"id":43677,"name":"Keita Endo","side":"home"},{"id":45323,"name":"Kenshin Yuba","side":"home"},{"id":44540,"name":"Yudai Konishi","side":"home"},{"id":44552,"name":"Ryosuke Kojima","side":"home"},{"id":44535,"name":"Hinata Yamauchi","side":"home"},{"id":44550,"name":"Hiromu Mitsumaru","side":"home"},{"id":44529,"name":"Yusuke Segawa","side":"home"},{"id":44297,"name":"Tomoya Wakahara","side":"home"},{"id":44548,"name":"Tomoya Inukai","side":"home"},{"id":44528,"name":"Masaki Watai","side":"home"},{"id":45707,"name":"Makoto Mitsuta","side":"home"},{"id":44520,"name":"Mao Hosoya","side":"home"},{"id":44684,"name":"Shogo Asada","side":"home"},{"id":44530,"name":"Kaiji Chonan","side":"home"},{"id":61216,"name":"Kanade Tsuneto","side":"home"},{"id":218530,"name":"Raku Sato","side":"home"},{"id":44523,"name":"Koya Yuruki","side":"home"},{"id":44522,"name":"Yuki Kakita","side":"home"},{"id":44554,"name":"Haruki Saruta","side":"home"},{"id":44553,"name":"Kenta Matsumoto","side":"home"},{"id":213333,"name":"Haruma Kaneko","side":"home"},{"id":44536,"name":"Yuto Yamada","side":"home"},{"id":44526,"name":"Tomoaki Okubo","side":"home"},{"id":44538,"name":"Kohei Tezuka","side":"home"},{"id":44531,"name":"Hayato Nakama","side":"home"},{"id":64703,"name":"Shusuke Furuya","side":"home"},{"id":44539,"name":"Yosei Yamauchi","side":"home"},{"id":125571,"name":"Sota Iwanaga","side":"home"},{"id":44534,"name":"Riki Harakawa","side":"home"},{"id":213331,"name":"Yuito Kamo","side":"home"},{"id":205851,"name":"Ryo Igarashi","side":"home"},{"id":44625,"name":"Svend Brodersen","side":"away"},{"id":44615,"name":"Sota Miura","side":"away"},{"id":17989,"name":"Pedro Romano","side":"away"},{"id":44614,"name":"Filip Uremović","side":"away"},{"id":44610,"name":"Reon Yamahara","side":"away"},{"id":44607,"name":"Kento Tachibanada","side":"away"},{"id":44605,"name":"Yuki Yamamoto","side":"away"},{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","side":"away"},{"id":44603,"name":"Yasuto Wakizaka","side":"away"},{"id":44600,"name":"Tatsuya Ito","side":"away"},{"id":4211,"name":"Derik Lacerda","side":"away"},{"id":44617,"name":"Asahi Sasaki","side":"away"},{"id":44618,"name":"Hiroto Taniguchi","side":"away"},{"id":44601,"name":"Yuto Ozeki","side":"away"},{"id":44616,"name":"Yuichi Maruyama","side":"away"},{"id":44609,"name":"So Kawahara","side":"away"},{"id":44599,"name":"Kyosuke Mochiyama","side":"away"},{"id":44597,"name":"Kazuya Konno","side":"away"},{"id":44596,"name":"Yu Kobayashi","side":"away"},{"id":44604,"name":"Akihiro Ienaga","side":"away"},{"id":44612,"name":"Shuto Yamaichi","side":"away"},{"id":44613,"name":"Ryuki Osa","side":"away"},{"id":44624,"name":"Louis Yamaguchi","side":"away"},{"id":44619,"name":"Yuto Matsunagane","side":"away"},{"id":44620,"name":"Hiroto Noda","side":"away"},{"id":44622,"name":"Noriharu Kan","side":"away"},{"id":44623,"name":"Shunsuke Hayashi","side":"away"},{"id":225393,"name":"Asuto Fujita","side":"away"},{"id":44594,"name":"Lazar Romanić","side":"away"},{"id":44598,"name":"Ten Miyagi","side":"away"},{"id":159931,"name":"Rin Homma","side":"away"},{"id":4357,"name":"Kayke","side":"away"},{"id":44627,"name":"Yuki Hayasaka","side":"away"},{"id":44626,"name":"Geun-hyeong Lee","side":"away"},{"id":44608,"name":"Ryota Oshima","side":"away"},{"id":44611,"name":"Kota Yui","side":"away"},{"id":225391,"name":"Hiroto Ogawa","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":44529,"name":"Yusuke Segawa","side":"home","team":"Kashiwa Reysol","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":0,"goals":7,"assists":2,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":3,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Machida Zelvia","kickoff":1789891200,"goals":2,"assists":1,"score":"4-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","in_form"],"importance":0.193,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":44521,"name":"Yoshio Koizumi","side":"home","team":"Kashiwa Reysol","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"AM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":13,"starts":12,"goals":4,"assists":5,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":13,"tracked_starts":12},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":3,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Urawa Red Diamonds","kickoff":1793430000,"goals":1,"assists":2,"score":"4-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_creator","best_performer","chance_creator","in_form"],"importance":0.276,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":44731,"name":"Shota Fujio","side":"home","team":"Kashiwa Reysol","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":6,"starts":3,"goals":1,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":3},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Vissel Kobe","kickoff":1791540000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"4-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.048,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","side":"away","team":"Kawasaki Frontale","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"LW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":13,"starts":9,"goals":8,"assists":3,"big_chances":3,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":13,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":2,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Shimizu S-Pulse","kickoff":1788688800,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer","in_form"],"importance":0.361,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":151,"country":0}},{"id":4211,"name":"Derik Lacerda","side":"away","team":"Kawasaki Frontale","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":9,"starts":7,"goals":2,"assists":3,"big_chances":3,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"JEF United Chiba","kickoff":1787997600,"goals":1,"assists":2,"score":"4-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.124,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":154,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":1945,"away":1944},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":0},"below":{"w":5,"d":0,"l":3}},"away":{"above":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":1},"below":{"w":5,"d":0,"l":2}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":1302,"name":"Ricardo Rodriguez","vs":{"w":1,"d":2,"l":1,"last":{"kickoff":1778396400,"score":"1-0","result":"W"}}},"away":{"id":1301,"name":"Shigetoshi Hasebe","vs":{"w":1,"d":2,"l":1,"last":{"kickoff":1778396400,"score":"0-1","result":"L"}}}},"best_xi":[{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","team_id":1944,"position":"M","matches":13,"goals":8,"assists":3}],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":44489,"name":"Léo Ceará","goals":12,"rank":1},{"id":45363,"name":"Akito Suzuki","goals":10,"rank":2},{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","goals":8,"rank":3},{"id":44495,"name":"Aleksandar Čavrić","goals":7,"rank":4},{"id":45485,"name":"Kaina Tanimura","goals":7,"rank":5},{"id":43668,"name":"Motoki Nagakura","goals":7,"rank":6},{"id":44659,"name":"Rafael Elias","goals":7,"rank":7},{"id":44529,"name":"Yusuke Segawa","goals":7,"rank":8},{"id":45714,"name":"Yuya Osako","goals":6,"rank":9},{"id":44810,"name":"Arata Watanabe","goals":5,"rank":10},{"id":43669,"name":"Marcelo Ryan","goals":5,"rank":11},{"id":45387,"name":"Matheus Sávio","goals":5,"rank":12},{"id":46382,"name":"Soma Anzai","goals":5,"rank":13},{"id":44733,"name":"Takuma Nishimura","goals":5,"rank":14},{"id":29057,"name":"Dani Gómez","goals":4,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 14","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":36,"home_wins":10,"draws":10,"away_wins":16,"home_goals":57,"away_goals":64,"avg_total_goals":3.361111111111111,"home_win_rate":0.2777777777777778,"away_win_rate":0.4444444444444444,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Kawasaki Frontale","date":"2026-05-10T07:00:00+00:00","home":"Kashiwa Reysol","score":"1-0","event_id":204880,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1944,"home_team_id":1945},{"away":"Kashiwa Reysol","date":"2026-02-08T06:00:00+00:00","home":"Kawasaki Frontale","score":"5-3","event_id":204731,"away_score":3,"home_score":5,"away_team_id":1945,"home_team_id":1944},{"away":"Kashiwa Reysol","date":"2025-09-28T10:00:00+00:00","home":"Kawasaki Frontale","score":"4-4","event_id":213356,"away_score":4,"home_score":4,"away_team_id":1945,"home_team_id":1944},{"away":"Kawasaki Frontale","date":"2025-02-22T05:00:00+00:00","home":"Kashiwa Reysol","score":"1-1","event_id":213047,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1944,"home_team_id":1945},{"away":"Kawasaki Frontale","date":"2024-07-20T10:00:00+00:00","home":"Kashiwa Reysol","score":"2-3","event_id":233818,"away_score":3,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1944,"home_team_id":1945},{"away":"Kashiwa Reysol","date":"2024-05-25T07:00:00+00:00","home":"Kawasaki Frontale","score":"1-1","event_id":233734,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1945,"home_team_id":1944},{"away":"Kashiwa Reysol","date":"2023-12-09T05:00:00+00:00","home":"Kawasaki Frontale","score":"0-0","event_id":242530,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1945,"home_team_id":1944},{"away":"Kawasaki Frontale","date":"2023-10-29T06:00:00+00:00","home":"Kashiwa Reysol","score":"1-1","event_id":243475,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1944,"home_team_id":1945},{"away":"Kashiwa Reysol","date":"2023-05-28T08:00:00+00:00","home":"Kawasaki Frontale","score":"2-0","event_id":243329,"away_score":0,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1945,"home_team_id":1944},{"away":"Kawasaki Frontale","date":"2022-09-17T10:00:00+00:00","home":"Kashiwa Reysol","score":"1-1","event_id":254640,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1944,"home_team_id":1945}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":1945,"position":4,"played":13,"points":28,"goal_diff":10,"team_name":"Kashiwa Reysol","won":9,"drawn":1,"lost":3,"goals_for":29,"goals_against":19,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1944,"position":7,"played":13,"points":22,"goal_diff":5,"team_name":"Kawasaki Frontale","won":6,"drawn":4,"lost":3,"goals_for":27,"goals_against":22,"group":null},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.17,"record":"4-1-1","goals_for":2.67,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"WWLDWW","venue_ppg":2.25},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":2,"record":"4-0-2","goals_for":2.17,"goals_against":1.67,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWWWL","venue_ppg":1.5}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kashiwa Reysol report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kawasaki Frontale report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.641,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.359,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kashiwa Reysol have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.2, and 2.25 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.17,"record":"4-1-1","goals_for":2.67,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"WWLDWW","venue_ppg":2.25},"strength":0.544,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kawasaki Frontale have taken 2.00 points a game from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.7, and 1.50 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":2,"record":"4-0-2","goals_for":2.17,"goals_against":1.67,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWWWL","venue_ppg":1.5},"strength":0.433,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":24,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":4,"points":28,"games_left":24,"gap_to_leader":2,"gap_to_safety":17,"gap_to_europe":-5},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":7,"points":22,"games_left":24,"gap_to_leader":8,"gap_to_safety":11,"gap_to_europe":1},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Local derby. Cards and both-teams-to-score are the reliable reads; total goals are not, since derbies run cagey about as often as they run open.","evidence":{"derby":true},"strength":0.6,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":13.5}]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 5-3, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":-2},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Ricardo Rodriguez has 36 matches in charge at Kashiwa Reysol, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Ricardo Rodriguez","matches_in_charge":36,"tenure_days":272,"ppm":1.58,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":2.4,"after_ppm":1,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Shigetoshi Hasebe has 36 matches in charge at Kawasaki Frontale, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Shigetoshi Hasebe","matches_in_charge":36,"tenure_days":272,"ppm":1.5,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.2,"after_ppm":1.2,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kashiwa Reysol come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":7},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kawasaki Frontale come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.125,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":6.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":0.206,"defence":0.048,"effective_matches":16.6,"shrunk":0.33},"away":{"attack":0.145,"defence":-0.081,"effective_matches":16.7,"shrunk":0.32}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":52.9,"shots":15.6,"xg_per_shot":0.113,"corners":5.5,"corners_per_shot":0.355,"finishing_vs_xg":0.41},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":49.5,"shots":14.9,"xg_per_shot":0.114,"corners":4.3,"corners_per_shot":0.291,"finishing_vs_xg":0.63},"possession_gap":3.4},"strength":0.136,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kashiwa Reysol have scored 5 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.41,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kawasaki Frontale have scored 8 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.63,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 41 km for Kawasaki Frontale.","evidence":{"travel_km":41},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":4.7,"temperature_c":17,"description":"clear"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.17963601695062079},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 7.1% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0709,"margin_pct":7.09,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Since opening, AWAY has drifted 5.9% since the market opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":-5.9,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":2.3,"direction":"SHORTENING"},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":-1.5,"direction":"DRIFTING"}]},"strength":0.293,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The sharp book and the wider market agree on this fixture.","evidence":{"sharp":{"HOME":0.4429,"DRAW":0.2419,"AWAY":0.3152},"consensus":{"HOME":0.4353,"DRAW":0.2431,"AWAY":0.3216},"largest_gap":{"outcome":"HOME","points":0.76},"sharp_overround":1.0322},"strength":0.096,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.5096,"DRAW":0.2345,"AWAY":0.2559},"book":{"HOME":0.4353,"DRAW":0.2431,"AWAY":0.3216},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.23,"bookmaker":"dafabet"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.97,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.07,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0709,"books":15,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4429,"DRAW":0.2419,"AWAY":0.3152}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4279,"DRAW":0.2414,"AWAY":0.3306}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"12":0.7655,"1X":0.7441,"X2":0.4904},"book":{"12":0.7569,"1X":0.6784,"X2":0.5647},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.26,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"1X":{"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"X2":{"odds":1.69,"bookmaker":"Sbo"}},"overround":1.0498,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7581,"1X":0.6848,"X2":0.5571}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7586,"1X":0.6694,"X2":0.5721}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.6657,"AWAY":0.3343},"book":{"HOME":0.5751,"AWAY":0.4249},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.667,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0788,"books":10,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.5843,"AWAY":0.4157}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.5641,"AWAY":0.4359}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"yes":0.6552,"no":0.3448},"book":{"yes":0.6685,"no":0.3315},"best":{"yes":{"odds":1.45,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"no":{"odds":2.88,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0779,"books":15,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.6835,"no":0.3165}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.6835,"no":0.3165}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.957,"under":0.043},"book":{"over":0.9656,"under":0.0344},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.01,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"under":{"odds":17,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0489,"books":1,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9656,"under":0.0344}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9656,"under":0.0344}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.859,"under":0.141},"book":{"over":0.8554,"under":0.1446},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.15,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":6,"bookmaker":"betfair"}},"overround":1.0523,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.8506,"under":0.1494}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.851,"under":0.149}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.6553,"under":0.3447},"book":{"over":0.6524,"under":0.3476},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.49,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2.71,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0592,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6511,"under":0.3489}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6529,"under":0.3471}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.436,"under":0.564},"book":{"over":0.431,"under":0.569},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.23,"bookmaker":"Sbo"},"under":{"odds":1.72,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0522,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4355,"under":0.5645}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4363,"under":0.5637}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.1449,"AWAY":0.8551},"book":{"HOME":0.1171,"AWAY":0.8829},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":7.23,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.1,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0882,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1171,"AWAY":0.8829}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.1719,"AWAY":0.8281},"book":{"HOME":0.1308,"AWAY":0.8692},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":6.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0713,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1308,"AWAY":0.8692}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.2422,"AWAY":0.7578},"book":{"HOME":0.1793,"AWAY":0.8207},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.7,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0705,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1793,"AWAY":0.8207}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.3016,"AWAY":0.6984},"book":{"HOME":0.2434,"AWAY":0.7566},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.8,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0723,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2434,"AWAY":0.7566}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.3366,"AWAY":0.6634},"book":{"HOME":0.264,"AWAY":0.736},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.6,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.35,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0684,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.264,"AWAY":0.736}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.3808,"AWAY":0.6192},"book":{"HOME":0.2966,"AWAY":0.7034},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.25,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0675,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2966,"AWAY":0.7034}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.4527,"AWAY":0.5473},"book":{"HOME":0.3762,"AWAY":0.6238},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.525,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0698,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3762,"AWAY":0.6238}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.5096,"AWAY":0.4904},"book":{"HOME":0.4294,"AWAY":0.5706},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.15,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.69,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.0741,"books":8,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4321,"AWAY":0.5679}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.5773,"AWAY":0.4227},"book":{"HOME":0.5008,"AWAY":0.4992},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.905,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.915,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0627,"books":7,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5008,"AWAY":0.4992}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.6657,"AWAY":0.3343},"book":{"HOME":0.5783,"AWAY":0.4217},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.656,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.256,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0652,"books":7,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5783,"AWAY":0.4217}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.7101,"AWAY":0.2899},"book":{"HOME":0.6397,"AWAY":0.3603},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.066,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6397,"AWAY":0.3603}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.7441,"AWAY":0.2559},"book":{"HOME":0.6835,"AWAY":0.3165},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.85,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"}},"overround":1.0688,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6835,"AWAY":0.3165}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.8005,"AWAY":0.1995},"book":{"HOME":0.7471,"AWAY":0.2529},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.29,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.55,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0649,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7471,"AWAY":0.2529}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.8662,"AWAY":0.1338},"book":{"HOME":0.8213,"AWAY":0.1787},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.175,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.835,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0719,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8208,"AWAY":0.1792}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.8764,"AWAY":0.1236},"book":{"HOME":0.8397,"AWAY":0.1603},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0632,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8397,"AWAY":0.1603}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.8851,"AWAY":0.1149},"book":{"HOME":0.8536,"AWAY":0.1464},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.75,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0696,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8536,"AWAY":0.1464}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.75,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"HOME":0.9195,"AWAY":0.0805},"book":{"HOME":0.9042,"AWAY":0.0958},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.056,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":7.22,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0855,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9042,"AWAY":0.0958}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":7.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.652,"under":0.348},"book":{"over":0.7529,"under":0.2471},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.25,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":3.4,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0941,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.7267,"under":0.2733}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":8.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.5327,"under":0.4673},"book":{"over":0.6377,"under":0.3623},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.48,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":2.52,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0759,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6394,"under":0.3606}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6394,"under":0.3606}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.4159,"under":0.5841},"book":{"over":0.5128,"under":0.4872},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.84,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.93,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0656,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5127,"under":0.4873}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5127,"under":0.4873}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.3105,"under":0.6895},"book":{"over":0.3963,"under":0.6037},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.31,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.56,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0766,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3959,"under":0.6041}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.3959,"under":0.6041}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":11.5,"confidence":0.668,"model":{"over":0.222,"under":0.778},"book":{"over":0.2993,"under":0.7007},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.9,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.34,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0911,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2338,"under":0.7662}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.535,"model":{"HOME":0.5682,"DRAW":0.116,"AWAY":0.3158},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.468,"model":{"yes":0.1199,"no":0.8801},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6657,"book_prob":0.5751,"edge":0.0906,"shrunk_edge":0.0644,"odds":1.667,"bookmaker":"William Hill","prices":[{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.667},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.66},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.66},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.66},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.65},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.65},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.64},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.62},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.615},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.615}],"kelly":0.0411,"confidence":0.668,"family":"result"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":8.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4673,"book_prob":0.3623,"edge":0.105,"shrunk_edge":0.0578,"odds":2.52,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.52},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.43}],"kelly":0.0292,"confidence":0.668,"family":"corners"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":7.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.348,"book_prob":0.2471,"edge":0.101,"shrunk_edge":0.0555,"odds":3.4,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.4}],"kelly":0.0191,"confidence":0.668,"family":"corners"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":9.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5841,"book_prob":0.4872,"edge":0.0968,"shrunk_edge":0.0533,"odds":1.93,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.93},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.9}],"kelly":0.0342,"confidence":0.668,"family":"corners"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5096,"book_prob":0.4353,"edge":0.0743,"shrunk_edge":0.0528,"odds":2.23,"bookmaker":"dafabet","prices":[{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":2.23},{"slug":"mansionbet","book":"MansionBet","odds":2.21},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.2},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.2},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.19},{"slug":"macauslot","book":"Macauslot","odds":2.17},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.15},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.15},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":2.15},{"slug":"coral","book":"coral","odds":2.15},{"slug":"ladbrokes","book":"ladbrokes","odds":2.15}],"kelly":0.0277,"confidence":0.668,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.6657,"book_prob":0.5783,"edge":0.0874,"shrunk_edge":0.0513,"odds":1.656,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.656},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.65},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.65},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.64},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.63},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.625},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.615}],"kelly":0.039,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.3808,"book_prob":0.2966,"edge":0.0842,"shrunk_edge":0.0494,"odds":3.25,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.25},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.1},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.1},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.04},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.95},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.75}],"kelly":0.0264,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":10.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6895,"book_prob":0.6037,"edge":0.0858,"shrunk_edge":0.0472,"odds":1.56,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.56},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.55}],"kelly":0.0337,"confidence":0.668,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.5096,"book_prob":0.4294,"edge":0.0802,"shrunk_edge":0.0471,"odds":2.15,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.15},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.15},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.15},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.1}],"kelly":0.0208,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7441,"book_prob":0.6784,"edge":0.0657,"shrunk_edge":0.0467,"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"William Hill","prices":[{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.4},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.4},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.39},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.36},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.32}],"kelly":0.0261,"confidence":0.668,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.4527,"book_prob":0.3762,"edge":0.0765,"shrunk_edge":0.0449,"odds":2.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.5},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.45},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.446},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.425},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.35}],"kelly":0.0219,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.5773,"book_prob":0.5008,"edge":0.0764,"shrunk_edge":0.0449,"odds":1.905,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.905},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.9},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.9},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.89},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.89},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.87},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.8}],"kelly":0.0275,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3366,"book_prob":0.264,"edge":0.0725,"shrunk_edge":0.0426,"odds":3.6,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.6},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.45},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.45},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.365},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.95}],"kelly":0.0204,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":11.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.778,"book_prob":0.7007,"edge":0.0773,"shrunk_edge":0.0425,"odds":1.34,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.34}],"kelly":0.0313,"confidence":0.668,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7101,"book_prob":0.6397,"edge":0.0704,"shrunk_edge":0.0413,"odds":1.5,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.5},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.492},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.49},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.48},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.475}],"kelly":0.0326,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.2422,"book_prob":0.1793,"edge":0.0629,"shrunk_edge":0.0369,"odds":4.7,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":4.7},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":4.65},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.635}],"kelly":0.0094,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.7441,"book_prob":0.6835,"edge":0.0605,"shrunk_edge":0.0355,"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.4},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.4},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.4},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.37}],"kelly":0.0261,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.3016,"book_prob":0.2434,"edge":0.0582,"shrunk_edge":0.0341,"odds":3.8,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.8},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.7},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.69},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":3.6},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.15}],"kelly":0.013,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8005,"book_prob":0.7471,"edge":0.0534,"shrunk_edge":0.0314,"odds":1.29,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.29},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.29},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.278},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.275}],"kelly":0.0282,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8662,"book_prob":0.8213,"edge":0.0449,"shrunk_edge":0.0264,"odds":1.175,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.175},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.17},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.169},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.15}],"kelly":0.0255,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.1719,"book_prob":0.1308,"edge":0.0411,"shrunk_edge":0.0241,"odds":6.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6.8},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.55},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":4.9}],"kelly":0.0073,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8764,"book_prob":0.8397,"edge":0.0367,"shrunk_edge":0.0215,"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.16},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.15},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.128}],"kelly":0.0259,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.8851,"book_prob":0.8536,"edge":0.0315,"shrunk_edge":0.0185,"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.14},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.13},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.118},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.11}],"kelly":0.0161,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-2.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.1449,"book_prob":0.1171,"edge":0.0279,"shrunk_edge":0.0163,"odds":7.23,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":7.23},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":5.5}],"kelly":0.0019,"confidence":0.668,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"no","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3448,"book_prob":0.3315,"edge":0.0133,"shrunk_edge":0.0112,"odds":2.88,"bookmaker":"betfair","prices":[{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":2.88},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.75},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.73},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.7},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.7},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.7},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.7},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.7},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":2.67},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.65},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.65},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.65}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.668,"family":"goals"}],"verdicts":[{"candidate":{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8692,"book_prob":0.8692,"edge":0,"shrunk_edge":0,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.13},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.105},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.079}],"kelly":0,"confidence":1,"family":"handicap"},"lean":false,"narrative":"Neither of these is in good shape underneath the results. Kashiwa Reysol are trending down: their last four games have been their poorest for the chances they make and allow. As for the other side, Kawasaki Frontale are trending down: their last four games have been their poorest for the chances they make and allow. The side that stops giving up the better chances first takes this one.","why":null,"drivers":[],"set_aside":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.641,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.359,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Local derby. Cards and both-teams-to-score are the reliable reads; total goals are not, since derbies run cagey about as often as they run open.","evidence":{"derby":true},"strength":0.6,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":13.5}]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kashiwa Reysol have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.2, and 2.25 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.17,"record":"4-1-1","goals_for":2.67,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":3,"streak":"none","sequence":"WWLDWW","venue_ppg":2.25},"strength":0.544,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Kawasaki Frontale have taken 2.00 points a game from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.7, and 1.50 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":2,"record":"4-0-2","goals_for":2.17,"goals_against":1.67,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WLWWWL","venue_ppg":1.5},"strength":0.433,"moves":[]}]}],"pass_reason":null,"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7169,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":212318,"event_date":"2026-11-07T07:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1945,"home_team":"Kashiwa Reysol","away_team_id":1944,"away_team":"Kawasaki Frontale","league_id":49,"league_name":"J1 League"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":42.7,"prob_draw":24.8,"prob_away":32.5,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":2.19,"away":1.47},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":83.9,"prob_over_25":64.5,"prob_over_35":44.5},"btts":{"prob_yes":65.5},"score":{"most_likely":"2-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":69.7},"corners":{"prob_over_85":58.3,"prob_over_95":46.5,"prob_over_105":34.7}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":42.7,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4271,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1794031547,"report":{"fetched_at":1794042624,"ht":[1,1],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"goal","minute":40,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"H. Yamauchi","player_id":44535,"assist":"D. Sugioka","kind":"regular","score":[1,0]},{"t":"goal","minute":44,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"P. Romano","player_id":17989,"assist":"R. Yamahara","kind":"regular","score":[1,1]},{"t":"card","minute":50,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"K. Tachibanada","player_id":44607,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"goal","minute":52,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"H. Yamauchi","player_id":44535,"assist":"S. Toshima","kind":"regular","score":[2,1]},{"t":"sub","minute":61,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"Y. Yamamoto","in_id":44605,"out":"Y. Ozeki","out_id":44601},{"t":"sub","minute":61,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"S. Kawahara","in_id":44609,"out":"K. Tachibanada","out_id":44607},{"t":"sub","minute":63,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"R. Harakawa","in_id":44534,"out":"S. Toshima","out_id":44537},{"t":"sub","minute":63,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"M. Hosoya","in_id":44520,"out":"Y. Kakita","out_id":44522},{"t":"sub","minute":71,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"S. Miura","in_id":44615,"out":"R. Yamahara","out_id":44610},{"t":"sub","minute":71,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"S. Yamaichi","in_id":44612,"out":"K. Mochiyama","out_id":44599},{"t":"sub","minute":72,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"T. Kubo","in_id":44525,"out":"K. Endo","out_id":43677},{"t":"sub","minute":72,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"Y. Segawa","in_id":44529,"out":"H. Yamauchi","out_id":44535},{"t":"sub","minute":81,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"Y. Kobayashi","in_id":44596,"out":"Y. Wakizaka","out_id":44603}],"players":[{"id":44625,"team_id":1944,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":7,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44602,"team_id":1944,"minutes":90,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":44600,"team_id":1944,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":44617,"team_id":1944,"minutes":90,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":2,"key_passes":0},{"id":44616,"team_id":1944,"minutes":90,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":17989,"team_id":1944,"minutes":90,"rating":6.4,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":44603,"team_id":1944,"minutes":81,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":44599,"team_id":1944,"minutes":71,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44610,"team_id":1944,"minutes":71,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":44607,"team_id":1944,"minutes":61,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44601,"team_id":1944,"minutes":61,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44605,"team_id":1944,"minutes":29,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44609,"team_id":1944,"minutes":29,"rating":7.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":44612,"team_id":1944,"minutes":19,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44615,"team_id":1944,"minutes":19,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44596,"team_id":1944,"minutes":9,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44613,"team_id":1944,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44619,"team_id":1944,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44624,"team_id":1944,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44614,"team_id":1944,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44532,"team_id":1945,"minutes":90,"rating":8.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":5,"on_target":2,"key_passes":1},{"id":44555,"team_id":1945,"minutes":90,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":2,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44549,"team_id":1945,"minutes":90,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":3},{"id":44543,"team_id":1945,"minutes":90,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":44546,"team_id":1945,"minutes":90,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":45323,"team_id":1945,"minutes":90,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":3},{"id":44521,"team_id":1945,"minutes":90,"rating":7.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":0,"key_passes":4},{"id":43677,"team_id":1945,"minutes":72,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":1,"key_passes":2},{"id":44535,"team_id":1945,"minutes":72,"rating":9.4,"goals":2,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":5,"on_target":3,"key_passes":2},{"id":44522,"team_id":1945,"minutes":63,"rating":5.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":44537,"team_id":1945,"minutes":63,"rating":6.8,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":44534,"team_id":1945,"minutes":27,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44520,"team_id":1945,"minutes":27,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":44525,"team_id":1945,"minutes":18,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44529,"team_id":1945,"minutes":18,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":45707,"team_id":1945,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44552,"team_id":1945,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44550,"team_id":1945,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":64703,"team_id":1945,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44539,"team_id":1945,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":47,"shots":22,"on_target":9,"corners":4,"fouls":5,"yellow":0,"red":0,"big_chances":4,"passes":549,"pass_pct":84.5,"offsides":1,"saves":2},"away":{"possession":53,"shots":9,"on_target":3,"corners":2,"fouls":12,"yellow":1,"red":0,"big_chances":1,"passes":621,"pass_pct":85,"offsides":0,"saves":7}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":44555,"name":"Kengo Nagai","position":"G","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44549,"name":"Wataru Harada","position":"D","number":42,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44543,"name":"Taiyo Koga","position":"D","number":4,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":44546,"name":"Daiki Sugioka","position":"D","number":26,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45323,"name":"Kenshin Yuba","position":"M","number":44,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44532,"name":"Nobuteru Nakagawa","position":"M","number":39,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44537,"name":"Sachiro Toshima","position":"M","number":28,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43677,"name":"Keita Endo","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44521,"name":"Yoshio Koizumi","position":"F","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44535,"name":"Hinata Yamauchi","position":"F","number":87,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44522,"name":"Yuki Kakita","position":"F","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44534,"name":"Riki Harakawa","position":"M","number":40,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44520,"name":"Mao Hosoya","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44525,"name":"Tojiro Kubo","position":"M","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44529,"name":"Yusuke Segawa","position":"M","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44552,"name":"Ryosuke Kojima","position":"G","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44550,"name":"Hiromu Mitsumaru","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":64703,"name":"Shusuke Furuya","position":"M","number":30,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44539,"name":"Yosei Yamauchi","position":"D","number":32,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":45707,"name":"Makoto Mitsuta","position":"F","number":51,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":44625,"name":"Svend Brodersen","position":"G","number":49,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44610,"name":"Reon Yamahara","position":"D","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":17989,"name":"Pedro Romano","position":"D","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44616,"name":"Yuichi Maruyama","position":"D","number":28,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44617,"name":"Asahi Sasaki","position":"D","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44607,"name":"Kento Tachibanada","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44601,"name":"Yuto Ozeki","position":"M","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44600,"name":"Tatsuya Ito","position":"M","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44603,"name":"Yasuto Wakizaka","position":"M","number":14,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","position":"M","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44599,"name":"Kyosuke Mochiyama","position":"F","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44605,"name":"Yuki Yamamoto","position":"M","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44609,"name":"So Kawahara","position":"M","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44615,"name":"Sota Miura","position":"D","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44612,"name":"Shuto Yamaichi","position":"M","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44596,"name":"Yu Kobayashi","position":"F","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44624,"name":"Louis Yamaguchi","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44619,"name":"Yuto Matsunagane","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44614,"name":"Filip Uremović","position":"D","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44613,"name":"Ryuki Osa","position":"M","number":34,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#ecd718","away":"#3ea5db"},"venue":{"name":"Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium","city":"Kashiwa","capacity":15349},"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"fonbet","model_prob":0.8691983297556996,"narrative":"Neither of these is in good shape underneath the results. Kashiwa Reysol are trending down: their last four games have been their poorest for the chances they make and allow. As for the other side, Kawasaki Frontale are trending down: their last four games have been their poorest for the chances they make and allow. The side that stops giving up the better chances first takes this one.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":"as we read it","expected_total":3.38,"actual_total":3,"market":"held","opening_odds":1.13,"closing_odds":1.13,"line":"One goal the other way and it was gone. Right, with nothing to spare.","decided":[]}}]}