{"id":212305,"league_id":49,"league":"J1 League","kickoff":1793509200,"home":"JEF United Chiba","away":"Avispa Fukuoka","home_id":1934,"away_id":1940,"venue_id":1103,"rank":4,"status":"finished","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.669,"score":[3,0],"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.51,1.24],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.3078192063359283,"DRAW":0.28500588343685546,"AWAY":0.40717491022721625},"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"top_pick":null,"pass":"JEF United Chiba v Avispa Fukuoka is one to leave alone. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","confident":[],"flags":[{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"JEF United Chiba have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5, and 1.00 a game at home."},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","note":"Avispa Fukuoka have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.8, and 0.00 a game on the road."},{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","note":"Yoshiyuki Kobayashi is 0 games into the job at JEF United Chiba. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six."}],"lambda_home":1.5071987350841904,"lambda_away":1.2438534584889305,"corner_rate":8.57,"card_rate":0.089,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.65,"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":44296,"name":"José Aurelio Suárez","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.79},{"id":44292,"name":"Masaru Hidaka","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.742},{"id":45716,"name":"Boniface Nduka","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.524},{"id":64702,"name":"Daniel Hall","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.52},{"id":44289,"name":"Takayuki Mae","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.338},{"id":44271,"name":"Takumi Tsukui","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.709},{"id":17388,"name":"Indio","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.524},{"id":44272,"name":"Eduardo","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.501},{"id":44277,"name":"Kazuki Tanaka","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.425},{"id":43733,"name":"Ken Yamura","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.652},{"id":44593,"name":"Erison","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.606},{"id":44267,"name":"Daichi Ishikawa","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.549},{"id":44288,"name":"Takashi Kawano","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.517},{"id":44276,"name":"Naohiro Sugiyama","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.474},{"id":44273,"name":"Takuya Yasui","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.427},{"id":44281,"name":"Yusuke Kobayashi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.406},{"id":44290,"name":"Rikuto Ishio","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.402},{"id":44270,"name":"Makoto Himeno","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.335},{"id":44833,"name":"Takahiro Iida","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.315},{"id":44285,"name":"Koji Toriumi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.314},{"id":44286,"name":"Daisuke Suzuki","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.31},{"id":44279,"name":"Taishi Taguchi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.307},{"id":43189,"name":"Hinata Kida","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.287}],"confidence":0.65},"away":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":43015,"name":"Yuma Obata","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.609},{"id":45331,"name":"Daiki Fukazawa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.337},{"id":43002,"name":"Teppei Oka","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.688},{"id":43008,"name":"Tashiro Masaya","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.667},{"id":43011,"name":"Kaoru Yamawaki","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.218},{"id":42996,"name":"Kokoro Maeda","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.489},{"id":42992,"name":"Tomoya Miki","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.677},{"id":42997,"name":"Masato Shigemi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.618},{"id":43007,"name":"Yota Maejima","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.688},{"id":43404,"name":"Werik Popó","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.413},{"id":44494,"name":"Shu Morooka","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.782},{"id":43010,"name":"Yuma Tsujioka","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.658},{"id":43006,"name":"Yu Hashimoto","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.552},{"id":42995,"name":"Keiya Shiihashi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.523},{"id":42998,"name":"Masato Yuzawa","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.385},{"id":42986,"name":"Yuji Kitajima","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.375},{"id":43003,"name":"Daiki Miya","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.343},{"id":43005,"name":"Takumi Kamijima","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.324},{"id":43016,"name":"Kazuki Fujita","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.321},{"id":42984,"name":"Shosei Usui","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.256},{"id":42983,"name":"Shintaro Nago","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.254},{"id":43001,"name":"Shohei Takemoto","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.239},{"id":45871,"name":"Takumi Nagaishi","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.217}],"confidence":0.65},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":44296,"name":"José Aurelio Suárez","side":"home"},{"id":44292,"name":"Masaru Hidaka","side":"home"},{"id":45716,"name":"Boniface Nduka","side":"home"},{"id":64702,"name":"Daniel Hall","side":"home"},{"id":44289,"name":"Takayuki Mae","side":"home"},{"id":44271,"name":"Takumi Tsukui","side":"home"},{"id":17388,"name":"Indio","side":"home"},{"id":44272,"name":"Eduardo","side":"home"},{"id":44277,"name":"Kazuki Tanaka","side":"home"},{"id":43733,"name":"Ken Yamura","side":"home"},{"id":44593,"name":"Erison","side":"home"},{"id":44267,"name":"Daichi Ishikawa","side":"home"},{"id":44288,"name":"Takashi Kawano","side":"home"},{"id":44276,"name":"Naohiro Sugiyama","side":"home"},{"id":44273,"name":"Takuya Yasui","side":"home"},{"id":44281,"name":"Yusuke Kobayashi","side":"home"},{"id":44290,"name":"Rikuto Ishio","side":"home"},{"id":44270,"name":"Makoto Himeno","side":"home"},{"id":44833,"name":"Takahiro Iida","side":"home"},{"id":44285,"name":"Koji Toriumi","side":"home"},{"id":44286,"name":"Daisuke Suzuki","side":"home"},{"id":44279,"name":"Taishi Taguchi","side":"home"},{"id":43189,"name":"Hinata Kida","side":"home"},{"id":44293,"name":"Ryota Kuboniwa","side":"home"},{"id":44295,"name":"Koki Yonekura","side":"home"},{"id":44287,"name":"Yuta Ueda","side":"home"},{"id":44268,"name":"Hiroto Goya","side":"home"},{"id":44269,"name":"Takumi Matsumura","side":"home"},{"id":13997,"name":"Leonardo Rocha","side":"home"},{"id":44299,"name":"Haruto Usui","side":"home"},{"id":44298,"name":"Ryota Suzuki","side":"home"},{"id":61798,"name":"Michiya Okamoto","side":"home"},{"id":44274,"name":"Naoki Tsubaki","side":"home"},{"id":44283,"name":"Taiki Amagasa","side":"home"},{"id":44280,"name":"Zain Issaka","side":"home"},{"id":44275,"name":"Manato Shinada","side":"home"},{"id":43015,"name":"Yuma Obata","side":"away"},{"id":45331,"name":"Daiki Fukazawa","side":"away"},{"id":43002,"name":"Teppei Oka","side":"away"},{"id":43008,"name":"Tashiro Masaya","side":"away"},{"id":43011,"name":"Kaoru Yamawaki","side":"away"},{"id":42996,"name":"Kokoro Maeda","side":"away"},{"id":42992,"name":"Tomoya Miki","side":"away"},{"id":42997,"name":"Masato Shigemi","side":"away"},{"id":43007,"name":"Yota Maejima","side":"away"},{"id":43404,"name":"Werik Popó","side":"away"},{"id":44494,"name":"Shu Morooka","side":"away"},{"id":43010,"name":"Yuma Tsujioka","side":"away"},{"id":43006,"name":"Yu Hashimoto","side":"away"},{"id":42995,"name":"Keiya Shiihashi","side":"away"},{"id":42998,"name":"Masato Yuzawa","side":"away"},{"id":42986,"name":"Yuji Kitajima","side":"away"},{"id":43003,"name":"Daiki Miya","side":"away"},{"id":43005,"name":"Takumi Kamijima","side":"away"},{"id":43016,"name":"Kazuki Fujita","side":"away"},{"id":42984,"name":"Shosei Usui","side":"away"},{"id":42983,"name":"Shintaro Nago","side":"away"},{"id":43001,"name":"Shohei Takemoto","side":"away"},{"id":45871,"name":"Takumi Nagaishi","side":"away"},{"id":44919,"name":"Kennedy Egbus Mikuni","side":"away"},{"id":43012,"name":"Yuhi Sakai","side":"away"},{"id":64693,"name":"Takezo Fujikawa","side":"away"},{"id":42991,"name":"Hisashi Jogo","side":"away"},{"id":42990,"name":"Sonosuke Sato","side":"away"},{"id":42988,"name":"Reiju Tsuruno","side":"away"},{"id":42985,"name":"Abdel Hanan Sani Brown","side":"away"},{"id":42987,"name":"Ichika Maeda","side":"away"},{"id":42989,"name":"Hikaru Maeda","side":"away"},{"id":61215,"name":"Ryusei Kitahama","side":"away"},{"id":43014,"name":"Powell Obinna Obi","side":"away"},{"id":42994,"name":"Kohei Okuno","side":"away"},{"id":42999,"name":"Hiroki Akino","side":"away"},{"id":6415,"name":"Oriol Romeu","side":"away"},{"id":42993,"name":"Kazuki Fujimoto","side":"away"},{"id":43000,"name":"Kazuki Fukushima","side":"away"},{"id":216493,"name":"Tomas Matusik","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":44277,"name":"Kazuki Tanaka","side":"home","team":"JEF United Chiba","club":null,"role":"MID","position":"RM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":9,"starts":5,"goals":3,"assists":0,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":9,"tracked_starts":5},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Kawasaki Frontale","kickoff":1787997600,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"2-4","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.235,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":96,"country":0}},{"id":43733,"name":"Ken Yamura","side":"home","team":"JEF United Chiba","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":7,"goals":1,"assists":0,"big_chances":1,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Gamba Osaka","kickoff":1788685200,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.086,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":102,"country":0}},{"id":44593,"name":"Erison","side":"home","team":"JEF United Chiba","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":10,"starts":9,"goals":2,"assists":2,"big_chances":2,"clean_sheets":3,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":10,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":2,"scoredIn":1,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Cerezo Osaka","kickoff":1792908000,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"2-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["in_form"],"importance":0.248,"country":null,"load":{"games":2,"minutes":164,"country":0}},{"id":44494,"name":"Shu Morooka","side":"away","team":"Avispa Fukuoka","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":11,"goals":3,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":11},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Urawa Red Diamonds","kickoff":1788343200,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"2-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.212,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":266,"country":0}},{"id":42997,"name":"Masato Shigemi","side":"away","team":"Avispa Fukuoka","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"CM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":12,"starts":8,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":12,"tracked_starts":8},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.016,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":240,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":1934,"away":1940},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":4,"l":5},"below":null},"away":{"above":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":8},"below":null}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":3768,"name":"Yoshiyuki Kobayashi","vs":null},"away":{"id":1297,"name":"Shinya Tsukahara","vs":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1780722000,"score":"2-1","result":"W"}}}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":44489,"name":"Léo Ceará","goals":12,"rank":1},{"id":45363,"name":"Akito Suzuki","goals":10,"rank":2},{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","goals":8,"rank":3},{"id":43668,"name":"Motoki Nagakura","goals":7,"rank":4},{"id":44659,"name":"Rafael Elias","goals":7,"rank":5},{"id":44529,"name":"Yusuke Segawa","goals":7,"rank":6},{"id":44495,"name":"Aleksandar Čavrić","goals":6,"rank":7},{"id":45485,"name":"Kaina Tanimura","goals":6,"rank":8},{"id":45714,"name":"Yuya Osako","goals":6,"rank":9},{"id":44810,"name":"Arata Watanabe","goals":5,"rank":10},{"id":43669,"name":"Marcelo Ryan","goals":5,"rank":11},{"id":45387,"name":"Matheus Sávio","goals":5,"rank":12},{"id":46382,"name":"Soma Anzai","goals":5,"rank":13},{"id":44733,"name":"Takuma Nishimura","goals":5,"rank":14},{"id":29057,"name":"Dani Gómez","goals":4,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 13","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":2,"home_wins":0,"draws":1,"away_wins":1,"home_goals":3,"away_goals":4,"avg_total_goals":3.5,"home_win_rate":0,"away_win_rate":0.5,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Avispa Fukuoka","date":"2026-06-06T05:00:00+00:00","home":"JEF United Chiba","score":"1-2","event_id":207919,"away_score":2,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":1940,"home_team_id":1934},{"away":"JEF United Chiba","date":"2026-05-30T07:00:00+00:00","home":"Avispa Fukuoka","score":"2-2","event_id":207912,"away_score":2,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":1934,"home_team_id":1940}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":1934,"position":20,"played":12,"points":7,"goal_diff":-12,"team_name":"JEF United Chiba","won":1,"drawn":4,"lost":7,"goals_for":12,"goals_against":24,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1940,"position":19,"played":12,"points":7,"goal_diff":-8,"team_name":"Avispa Fukuoka","won":2,"drawn":1,"lost":9,"goals_for":13,"goals_against":21,"group":null},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.5,"record":"0-3-3","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 6","sequence":"LLDDLD","venue_ppg":1},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.5,"record":"1-0-5","goals_for":0.67,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"lost 3","sequence":"LLWLLL","venue_ppg":0}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JEF United Chiba report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Avispa Fukuoka report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.65,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.35,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JEF United Chiba have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5, and 1.00 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.5,"record":"0-3-3","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 6","sequence":"LLDDLD","venue_ppg":1},"strength":0.567,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Avispa Fukuoka have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.8, and 0.00 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.5,"record":"1-0-5","goals_for":0.67,"goals_against":1.83,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"lost 3","sequence":"LLWLLL","venue_ppg":0},"strength":0.567,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":25,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":20,"points":7,"games_left":25,"gap_to_leader":23,"gap_to_safety":-2,"gap_to_europe":15},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":19,"points":7,"games_left":25,"gap_to_leader":23,"gap_to_safety":-2,"gap_to_europe":15},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 2-2, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Yoshiyuki Kobayashi is 0 games into the job at JEF United Chiba. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Yoshiyuki Kobayashi","matches_in_charge":0,"tenure_days":274,"ppm":null,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.4,"after_ppm":0.8,"delta":null}},"strength":0.7,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":6.3}]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Shinya Tsukahara has 37 matches in charge at Avispa Fukuoka, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Shinya Tsukahara","matches_in_charge":37,"tenure_days":266,"ppm":0.89,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.2,"after_ppm":0.7,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JEF United Chiba come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6.958333333333333,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":2,"days_rest":7},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Avispa Fukuoka come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":7.958333333333333,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":8},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.13,"defence":-0.151,"effective_matches":14.5,"shrunk":0.36},"away":{"attack":-0.156,"defence":-0.082,"effective_matches":16.2,"shrunk":0.33}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":44.8,"shots":12,"xg_per_shot":0.098,"corners":3.8,"corners_per_shot":0.313,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.18},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":45.3,"shots":12.5,"xg_per_shot":0.1,"corners":4.8,"corners_per_shot":0.38,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.42},"possession_gap":-0.4},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"JEF United Chiba are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.18,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Avispa Fukuoka have scored 5 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.42,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"72 yellow cards in this referee's last 36 games, where 93 would be usual in this league, and 2 reds.","evidence":{"matches":36,"yellows_per_match":2,"reds_per_match":0.056,"league_yellows_per_match":2.58,"league_reds_per_match":0.149,"yellow_ratio":0.77,"red_ratio":0.37},"strength":0.203,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":-5.1}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Avispa Fukuoka travel 913 km for this fixture.","evidence":{"travel_km":913},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.2},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.2}]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":7.4,"temperature_c":21,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.17206022082457378},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 7.5% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0751,"margin_pct":7.51,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Since opening, AWAY has drifted 4.5% since the market opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":-4.5,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":2.6,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":-0.9,"direction":"DRIFTING"}]},"strength":0.227,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The sharp book and the wider market agree on this fixture.","evidence":{"sharp":{"HOME":0.3143,"DRAW":0.2847,"AWAY":0.401},"consensus":{"HOME":0.3078,"DRAW":0.285,"AWAY":0.4072},"largest_gap":{"outcome":"HOME","points":0.65},"sharp_overround":1.0348},"strength":0.081,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.423,"DRAW":0.2741,"AWAY":0.303},"book":{"HOME":0.3078,"DRAW":0.285,"AWAY":0.4072},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.38,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.42,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0751,"books":15,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.3143,"DRAW":0.2847,"AWAY":0.401}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.3016,"DRAW":0.2828,"AWAY":0.4156}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"12":0.7259,"1X":0.697,"X2":0.577},"book":{"12":0.715,"1X":0.5928,"X2":0.6922},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.33,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"1X":{"odds":1.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"X2":{"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0534,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7153,"1X":0.599,"X2":0.6857}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7172,"1X":0.5844,"X2":0.6984}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.5827,"AWAY":0.4173},"book":{"HOME":0.4305,"AWAY":0.5695},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.667,"bookmaker":"Betway"}},"overround":1.0765,"books":12,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4394,"AWAY":0.5606}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4205,"AWAY":0.5795}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"yes":0.5647,"no":0.4353},"book":{"yes":0.5063,"no":0.4937},"best":{"yes":{"odds":1.9,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"no":{"odds":1.95,"bookmaker":"888Sport"}},"overround":1.0751,"books":17,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5042,"no":0.4958}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.5042,"no":0.4958}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.9255,"under":0.0745},"book":{"over":0.9192,"under":0.0808},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.06,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"under":{"odds":11.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0606,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9161,"under":0.0839}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9161,"under":0.0839}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.7711,"under":0.2289},"book":{"over":0.7039,"under":0.2961},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":3.16,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0595,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7067,"under":0.2933}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.7146,"under":0.2854}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.5188,"under":0.4812},"book":{"over":0.4384,"under":0.5616},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.19,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.74,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0554,"books":6,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4376,"under":0.5624}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4485,"under":0.5515}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.2972,"under":0.7028},"book":{"over":0.2286,"under":0.7714},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.94,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.26,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.059,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.2301,"under":0.7699}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.2396,"under":0.7604}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.1595,"AWAY":0.8405},"book":{"HOME":0.0436,"AWAY":0.9564},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":11.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.001,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0852,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0436,"AWAY":0.9564}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.2141,"AWAY":0.7859},"book":{"HOME":0.117,"AWAY":0.883},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":6.88,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0733,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1174,"AWAY":0.8826}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.239,"AWAY":0.761},"book":{"HOME":0.1281,"AWAY":0.8719},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":6.39,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0642,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1286,"AWAY":0.8714}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.2706,"AWAY":0.7294},"book":{"HOME":0.1443,"AWAY":0.8557},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":5.83,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.14,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0688,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1454,"AWAY":0.8546}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.3557,"AWAY":0.6443},"book":{"HOME":0.2308,"AWAY":0.7692},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.26,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0668,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2337,"AWAY":0.7663}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.423,"AWAY":0.577},"book":{"HOME":0.3015,"AWAY":0.6985},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.375,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0663,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3028,"AWAY":0.6972}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.4902,"AWAY":0.5098},"book":{"HOME":0.3554,"AWAY":0.6446},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.48,"bookmaker":"Unibet"}},"overround":1.0663,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3581,"AWAY":0.6419}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.5827,"AWAY":0.4173},"book":{"HOME":0.4273,"AWAY":0.5727},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.207,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.683,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0636,"books":8,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.429,"AWAY":0.571}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.6489,"AWAY":0.3511},"book":{"HOME":0.5213,"AWAY":0.4787},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.844,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0618,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5236,"AWAY":0.4764}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.697,"AWAY":0.303},"book":{"HOME":0.5916,"AWAY":0.4084},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.3,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"}},"overround":1.0738,"books":9,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5925,"AWAY":0.4075}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.762,"AWAY":0.238},"book":{"HOME":0.6688,"AWAY":0.3312},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.45,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.8,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.066,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6721,"AWAY":0.3279}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.8404,"AWAY":0.1596},"book":{"HOME":0.7652,"AWAY":0.2348},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.27,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.8,"bookmaker":"Unibet"}},"overround":1.0718,"books":6,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7674,"AWAY":0.2326}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.8553,"AWAY":0.1447},"book":{"HOME":0.7943,"AWAY":0.2057},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.22,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.255,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0667,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7961,"AWAY":0.2039}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.8676,"AWAY":0.1324},"book":{"HOME":0.82,"AWAY":0.18},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.19,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.74,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0717,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8219,"AWAY":0.1781}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.75,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.9078,"AWAY":0.0922},"book":{"HOME":0.8695,"AWAY":0.1305},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":6.26,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0648,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8712,"AWAY":0.1288}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":2,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.9518,"AWAY":0.0482},"book":{"HOME":0.93,"AWAY":0.07},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.031,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":9.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0798,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.93,"AWAY":0.07}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":2.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"HOME":0.9561,"AWAY":0.0439},"book":{"HOME":0.9564,"AWAY":0.0436},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.001,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":11.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0852,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9564,"AWAY":0.0436}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":7.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.5992,"under":0.4008},"book":{"over":0.7076,"under":0.2924},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.32,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":2.92,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.6804,"under":0.3196}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":8.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.4771,"under":0.5229},"book":{"over":0.5814,"under":0.4186},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2.21,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0736,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5824,"under":0.4176}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5824,"under":0.4176}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.3624,"under":0.6376},"book":{"over":0.4607,"under":0.5393},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.01,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.76,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0736,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4647,"under":0.5353}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4647,"under":0.5353}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.263,"under":0.737},"book":{"over":0.323,"under":0.677},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.66,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1059,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.321,"under":0.679}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":11.5,"confidence":0.669,"model":{"over":0.1827,"under":0.8173},"book":{"over":0.2547,"under":0.7453},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.3,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.26,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0967,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2291,"under":0.7709}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.535,"model":{"HOME":0.3402,"DRAW":0.1213,"AWAY":0.5385},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.468,"model":{"yes":0.0851,"no":0.9149},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5827,"book_prob":0.4305,"edge":0.1522,"shrunk_edge":0.1111,"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.18},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":2.15},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.15},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.15},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.15},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":2.1},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.1},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.1}],"kelly":0.0587,"confidence":0.669,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.5827,"book_prob":0.4273,"edge":0.1553,"shrunk_edge":0.1013,"odds":2.207,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.207},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.2},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.18},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.15},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.15},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.15}],"kelly":0.0592,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.4902,"book_prob":0.3554,"edge":0.1348,"shrunk_edge":0.0879,"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.6},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.6},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.6},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.6},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.594},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.45}],"kelly":0.0429,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.423,"book_prob":0.3078,"edge":0.1152,"shrunk_edge":0.0841,"odds":3.2,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.2},{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":3.15},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.1},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.1},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":3.1},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":3.07},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":3.05},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":3},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":3},{"slug":"mansionbet","book":"MansionBet","odds":2.99},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.9},{"slug":"coral","book":"coral","odds":2.9}],"kelly":0.0402,"confidence":0.669,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.6489,"book_prob":0.5213,"edge":0.1276,"shrunk_edge":0.0832,"odds":1.844,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.844},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.83},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.82},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.81},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.8},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.769}],"kelly":0.0582,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.2706,"book_prob":0.1443,"edge":0.1263,"shrunk_edge":0.0824,"odds":5.83,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":5.83},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.75},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":5.6},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":5.5},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":5.3}],"kelly":0.0299,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3557,"book_prob":0.2308,"edge":0.1249,"shrunk_edge":0.0814,"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.9},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.805},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3.8},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.75},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.7}],"kelly":0.0334,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.423,"book_prob":0.3015,"edge":0.1215,"shrunk_edge":0.0792,"odds":3,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":3},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.95}],"kelly":0.0336,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.697,"book_prob":0.5928,"edge":0.1042,"shrunk_edge":0.0761,"odds":1.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.57},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.57},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.53},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.52}],"kelly":0.048,"confidence":0.669,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.1595,"book_prob":0.0436,"edge":0.1159,"shrunk_edge":0.0756,"odds":11.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":11.6}],"kelly":0.02,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.239,"book_prob":0.1281,"edge":0.1109,"shrunk_edge":0.0723,"odds":6.39,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.39},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6.25},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":6.1}],"kelly":0.0245,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.697,"book_prob":0.5916,"edge":0.1055,"shrunk_edge":0.0688,"odds":1.62,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.62},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.61},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.6},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.6},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.6},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.58},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.58},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.58},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.55}],"kelly":0.0521,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"over","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5188,"book_prob":0.4384,"edge":0.0804,"shrunk_edge":0.0683,"odds":2.19,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.19},{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":2.19},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":2.15},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.12},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.1},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.05}],"kelly":0.0286,"confidence":0.669,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.2141,"book_prob":0.117,"edge":0.0971,"shrunk_edge":0.0633,"odds":6.88,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.88},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":6.6},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":6.1}],"kelly":0.0201,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.762,"book_prob":0.6688,"edge":0.0932,"shrunk_edge":0.0608,"odds":1.45,"bookmaker":"Unibet","prices":[{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.45},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.44},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.432},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.425},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.38}],"kelly":0.0583,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":7.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.4008,"book_prob":0.2924,"edge":0.1083,"shrunk_edge":0.0596,"odds":2.92,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.92}],"kelly":0.0222,"confidence":0.669,"family":"corners"},{"market":"over_under_35","outcome":"over","line":3.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2972,"book_prob":0.2286,"edge":0.0686,"shrunk_edge":0.0583,"odds":3.94,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":3.94},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":3.9},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.8},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":3.8}],"kelly":0.0145,"confidence":0.669,"family":"goals"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":8.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5229,"book_prob":0.4186,"edge":0.1043,"shrunk_edge":0.0574,"odds":2.21,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.21},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.15}],"kelly":0.0322,"confidence":0.669,"family":"corners"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.7711,"book_prob":0.7039,"edge":0.0672,"shrunk_edge":0.0571,"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.37},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.37},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.36},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.34}],"kelly":0.0381,"confidence":0.669,"family":"goals"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":9.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6376,"book_prob":0.5393,"edge":0.0983,"shrunk_edge":0.0541,"odds":1.76,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.76},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.66}],"kelly":0.0402,"confidence":0.669,"family":"corners"},{"market":"btts","outcome":"yes","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5647,"book_prob":0.5063,"edge":0.0583,"shrunk_edge":0.0496,"odds":1.9,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.9},{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":1.875},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.87},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.87},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.85},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.85},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.83},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":1.83},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":1.83},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.83},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":1.83},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":1.82}],"kelly":0.0202,"confidence":0.669,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.8404,"book_prob":0.7652,"edge":0.0752,"shrunk_edge":0.049,"odds":1.27,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.27},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.26},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.26},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.25},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.25},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.2}],"kelly":0.0623,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"HOME","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8553,"book_prob":0.7943,"edge":0.0609,"shrunk_edge":0.0398,"odds":1.22,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.22},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.22},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.188}],"kelly":0.0493,"confidence":0.669,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":11.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.8173,"book_prob":0.7453,"edge":0.072,"shrunk_edge":0.0396,"odds":1.26,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.26}],"kelly":0.0286,"confidence":0.669,"family":"corners"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"under","line":10.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.737,"book_prob":0.677,"edge":0.06,"shrunk_edge":0.033,"odds":1.37,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.37}],"kelly":0.0065,"confidence":0.669,"family":"corners"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6644,"created_at":"2026-10-26T02:15:18Z","event":{"id":212305,"event_date":"2026-11-01T05:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1934,"home_team":"JEF United Chiba","away_team_id":1940,"away_team":"Avispa Fukuoka","league_id":49,"league_name":"J1 League"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":30.9,"prob_draw":28.7,"prob_away":40.4,"predicted":"A"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.52,"away":1.58},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":70.1,"prob_over_25":45.2,"prob_over_35":27.3},"btts":{"prob_yes":51.4},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":47.8},"corners":{"prob_over_85":54.9,"prob_over_95":43.1,"prob_over_105":31.2}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":40.4,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4041,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793505811,"report":{"fetched_at":1793517027,"ht":[1,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[{"t":"goal","minute":25,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"M. Himeno","player_id":44270,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[1,0]},{"t":"card","minute":29,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"T. Oka","player_id":43002,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"card","minute":39,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"M. Himeno","player_id":44270,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":57,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"Y. Hashimoto","in_id":43006,"out":"T. Oka","out_id":43002},{"t":"goal","minute":65,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"T. Mae","player_id":44289,"assist":null,"kind":"regular","score":[2,0]},{"t":"sub","minute":71,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"Y. Kitajima","in_id":42986,"out":"M. Shigemi","out_id":42997},{"t":"sub","minute":71,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"K. Yamawaki","in_id":43011,"out":"Y. Masato","out_id":42998},{"t":"sub","minute":78,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"D. Ishikawa","in_id":44267,"out":"M. Himeno","out_id":44270},{"t":"sub","minute":80,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"A. Sani Brown","in_id":42985,"out":"M. Yota","out_id":43007},{"t":"sub","minute":81,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"S. Takemoto","in_id":43001,"out":"K. Shiihashi","out_id":42995},{"t":"sub","minute":82,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"H. Goya","in_id":44268,"out":"K. Yamura","out_id":43733},{"t":"sub","minute":82,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"Y. Kobayashi","in_id":44281,"out":"T. Yasui","out_id":44273},{"t":"sub","minute":82,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"T. Tsukui","in_id":44271,"out":"K. Tanaka","out_id":44277},{"t":"card","minute":88,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"D. Suzuki","player_id":44286,"card":"yellow","reason":"Foul"},{"t":"sub","minute":90,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"L. Rocha","in_id":13997,"out":"Erison","out_id":44593},{"t":"goal","minute":90,"added":5,"side":"home","player":"H. Goya","player_id":44268,"assist":"D. Ishikawa","kind":"regular","score":[3,0]}],"players":[{"id":44272,"team_id":1934,"minutes":100,"rating":7.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44289,"team_id":1934,"minutes":100,"rating":7.3,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":3,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":44286,"team_id":1934,"minutes":100,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":45716,"team_id":1934,"minutes":100,"rating":7.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44292,"team_id":1934,"minutes":100,"rating":7.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44296,"team_id":1934,"minutes":100,"rating":7.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":3,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44593,"team_id":1934,"minutes":90,"rating":6.2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44273,"team_id":1934,"minutes":82,"rating":8.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":2,"on_target":1,"key_passes":2},{"id":44277,"team_id":1934,"minutes":82,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":2},{"id":43733,"team_id":1934,"minutes":82,"rating":6.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44270,"team_id":1934,"minutes":78,"rating":7.2,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":44267,"team_id":1934,"minutes":22,"rating":7.5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":44271,"team_id":1934,"minutes":18,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":44281,"team_id":1934,"minutes":18,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44268,"team_id":1934,"minutes":18,"rating":7.4,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":13997,"team_id":1934,"minutes":10,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44276,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44290,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44298,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44285,"team_id":1934,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43015,"team_id":1940,"minutes":100,"rating":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":1,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44919,"team_id":1940,"minutes":100,"rating":6.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43005,"team_id":1940,"minutes":100,"rating":6.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":42992,"team_id":1940,"minutes":100,"rating":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":44494,"team_id":1940,"minutes":100,"rating":6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43404,"team_id":1940,"minutes":100,"rating":7.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":1},{"id":42995,"team_id":1940,"minutes":81,"rating":6.7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43007,"team_id":1940,"minutes":80,"rating":6.1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":42997,"team_id":1940,"minutes":71,"rating":5.9,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":42998,"team_id":1940,"minutes":71,"rating":6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":1,"key_passes":0},{"id":43002,"team_id":1940,"minutes":57,"rating":6.3,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43006,"team_id":1940,"minutes":43,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":1},{"id":43011,"team_id":1940,"minutes":29,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":42986,"team_id":1940,"minutes":29,"rating":6.5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":42985,"team_id":1940,"minutes":20,"rating":6.6,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":1,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43001,"team_id":1940,"minutes":19,"rating":6.4,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43003,"team_id":1940,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":43008,"team_id":1940,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":45871,"team_id":1940,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":42999,"team_id":1940,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":55,"shots":13,"on_target":4,"corners":4,"fouls":12,"yellow":2,"red":0,"big_chances":5,"passes":436,"pass_pct":80,"offsides":1,"saves":3},"away":{"possession":45,"shots":4,"on_target":2,"corners":1,"fouls":14,"yellow":1,"red":0,"big_chances":0,"passes":367,"pass_pct":73.6,"offsides":1,"saves":1}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":44296,"name":"José Aurelio Suárez","position":"G","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44289,"name":"Takayuki Mae","position":"D","number":15,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44286,"name":"Daisuke Suzuki","position":"D","number":13,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":45716,"name":"Boniface Nduka","position":"D","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44293,"name":"Ryota Kuboniwa","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44277,"name":"Kazuki Tanaka","position":"M","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44272,"name":"Eduardo","position":"M","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44273,"name":"Takuya Yasui","position":"M","number":41,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44270,"name":"Makoto Himeno","position":"M","number":37,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44593,"name":"Erison","position":"F","number":99,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43733,"name":"Ken Yamura","position":"F","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44298,"name":"Ryota Suzuki","position":"G","number":23,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44290,"name":"Rikuto Ishio","position":"D","number":39,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44285,"name":"Koji Toriumi","position":"D","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44276,"name":"Naohiro Sugiyama","position":"M","number":18,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44271,"name":"Takumi Tsukui","position":"M","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44281,"name":"Yusuke Kobayashi","position":"M","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44267,"name":"Daichi Ishikawa","position":"F","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":13997,"name":"Leonardo Rocha","position":"F","number":45,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":44268,"name":"Hiroto Goya","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":43015,"name":"Yuma Obata","position":"G","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43002,"name":"Teppei Oka","position":"D","number":16,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43005,"name":"Takumi Kamijima","position":"D","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44919,"name":"Kennedy Egbus Mikuni","position":"D","number":20,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":42998,"name":"Masato Yuzawa","position":"M","number":2,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":42995,"name":"Keiya Shiihashi","position":"M","number":34,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":42992,"name":"Tomoya Miki","position":"M","number":11,"captain":true,"starting":true},{"id":43007,"name":"Yota Maejima","position":"M","number":29,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":44494,"name":"Shu Morooka","position":"F","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":42997,"name":"Masato Shigemi","position":"F","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":43404,"name":"Werik Popó","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":45871,"name":"Takumi Nagaishi","position":"G","number":1,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43011,"name":"Kaoru Yamawaki","position":"D","number":33,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43008,"name":"Tashiro Masaya","position":"D","number":37,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43003,"name":"Daiki Miya","position":"D","number":38,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":42999,"name":"Hiroki Akino","position":"M","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43006,"name":"Yu Hashimoto","position":"D","number":47,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":43001,"name":"Shohei Takemoto","position":"M","number":52,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":42985,"name":"Abdel Hanan Sani Brown","position":"F","number":32,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":42986,"name":"Yuji Kitajima","position":"M","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#0a7635","away":"#0c7a96"},"venue":{"name":"Fukuda Denshi Arena","city":"Chiba","capacity":19781},"pulled":[],"published":[]}