{"id":212301,"league_id":49,"league":"J1 League","kickoff":1792821600,"home":"Tokyo Verdy","away":"Avispa Fukuoka","home_id":1946,"away_id":1940,"venue_id":1104,"rank":4,"status":"notstarted","provisional":false,"lineup_status":"confirmed","confidence":0.785,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.12,1.15],"read":{"text":"Too close to call. A draw is live","side":null},"pass":"Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka is one to leave alone. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Tokyo Verdy have made four changes from the side expected, with Kaito Suzuki, Inoue Ryota and Yuya Fukuda out of the eleven. Avispa Fukuoka have made five changes from the side expected, with Daiki Fukazawa, Yuma Tsujioka and Kaoru Yamawaki out of the eleven."},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"Tokyo Verdy have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0, and 0.33 a game at home."},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","note":"Avispa Fukuoka have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5, and 0.00 a game on the road."},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","note":"Since opening, HOME has shortened 10.1% since the market opened."}],"lambda_home":1.1248781545994015,"lambda_away":1.1524547485887662,"corner_rate":8.22,"card_rate":0.175,"lineups":{"status":"confirmed","confidence":null,"home":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":45883,"name":"Matheus Vidotto","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45880,"name":"Yosuke Uchida","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45328,"name":"Naoki Hayashi","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":17040,"name":"Yu-min Cho","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44514,"name":"Shuhei Mizoguchi","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":6921,"name":"Kanya Fujimoto","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45342,"name":"Kosuke Saito","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45334,"name":"Rei Hirakawa","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45599,"name":"Yuta Arai","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43407,"name":"Kazunari Ichimi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45337,"name":"Issei Kumatoriya","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45325,"name":"Yuya Nagasawa","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45882,"name":"Maaya Sako","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45327,"name":"Kaito Suzuki","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45383,"name":"Kai Shibato","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45341,"name":"Yuan Matsuhashi","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45332,"name":"Koki Morita","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45340,"name":"Shimon Teranuma","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":45877,"name":"Goki Yamada","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":44595,"name":"Soma Kanda","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"away":{"formation":"3-4-2-1","players":[{"id":43015,"name":"Yuma Obata","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43002,"name":"Teppei Oka","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43008,"name":"Tashiro Masaya","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43003,"name":"Daiki Miya","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43006,"name":"Yu Hashimoto","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":42995,"name":"Keiya Shiihashi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":42992,"name":"Tomoya Miki","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":43007,"name":"Yota Maejima","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":42997,"name":"Masato Shigemi","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":42986,"name":"Yuji Kitajima","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":44494,"name":"Shu Morooka","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":null},{"id":45871,"name":"Takumi Nagaishi","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43005,"name":"Takumi Kamijima","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43010,"name":"Yuma Tsujioka","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":42999,"name":"Hiroki Akino","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43001,"name":"Shohei Takemoto","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":42998,"name":"Masato Yuzawa","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":42983,"name":"Shintaro Nago","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":43404,"name":"Werik Popó","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null},{"id":42987,"name":"Ichika Maeda","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":null}],"confidence":null},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":45883,"name":"Matheus Vidotto","side":"home"},{"id":45880,"name":"Yosuke Uchida","side":"home"},{"id":45328,"name":"Naoki Hayashi","side":"home"},{"id":17040,"name":"Yu-min Cho","side":"home"},{"id":44514,"name":"Shuhei Mizoguchi","side":"home"},{"id":6921,"name":"Kanya Fujimoto","side":"home"},{"id":45342,"name":"Kosuke Saito","side":"home"},{"id":45334,"name":"Rei Hirakawa","side":"home"},{"id":45599,"name":"Yuta Arai","side":"home"},{"id":43407,"name":"Kazunari Ichimi","side":"home"},{"id":45337,"name":"Issei Kumatoriya","side":"home"},{"id":45325,"name":"Yuya Nagasawa","side":"home"},{"id":45882,"name":"Maaya Sako","side":"home"},{"id":45327,"name":"Kaito Suzuki","side":"home"},{"id":45383,"name":"Kai Shibato","side":"home"},{"id":45341,"name":"Yuan Matsuhashi","side":"home"},{"id":45332,"name":"Koki Morita","side":"home"},{"id":45340,"name":"Shimon Teranuma","side":"home"},{"id":45877,"name":"Goki Yamada","side":"home"},{"id":44595,"name":"Soma Kanda","side":"home"},{"id":45329,"name":"Inoue Ryota","side":"home"},{"id":45596,"name":"Kazuya Miyahara","side":"home"},{"id":45350,"name":"Shuto Tanabe","side":"home"},{"id":45348,"name":"Riku Matsuda","side":"home"},{"id":211450,"name":"Haruki Watanabe","side":"home"},{"id":45335,"name":"Taiju Yoshida","side":"home"},{"id":45600,"name":"Itsuki Someno","side":"home"},{"id":45353,"name":"Hiroto Yamami","side":"home"},{"id":45338,"name":"Yuya Fukuda","side":"home"},{"id":44996,"name":"Kim Hyun-Woo","side":"home"},{"id":45875,"name":"Shion Nakayama","side":"home"},{"id":45345,"name":"Ryosuke Shirai","side":"home"},{"id":45879,"name":"Gakuto Kawamura","side":"home"},{"id":45876,"name":"Sota Ofuji","side":"home"},{"id":45878,"name":"Hayato Hirao","side":"home"},{"id":45347,"name":"Hiroki Mawatari","side":"home"},{"id":45884,"name":"Keisuke Nakamura","side":"home"},{"id":221241,"name":"Koki Takahashi","side":"home"},{"id":214176,"name":"Takeru Takai","side":"home"},{"id":45815,"name":"Soma Meshino","side":"home"},{"id":45352,"name":"Joi Yamamoto","side":"home"},{"id":45881,"name":"Kento Imai","side":"home"},{"id":43015,"name":"Yuma Obata","side":"away"},{"id":43002,"name":"Teppei Oka","side":"away"},{"id":43008,"name":"Tashiro Masaya","side":"away"},{"id":43003,"name":"Daiki Miya","side":"away"},{"id":43006,"name":"Yu Hashimoto","side":"away"},{"id":42995,"name":"Keiya Shiihashi","side":"away"},{"id":42992,"name":"Tomoya Miki","side":"away"},{"id":43007,"name":"Yota Maejima","side":"away"},{"id":42997,"name":"Masato Shigemi","side":"away"},{"id":42986,"name":"Yuji Kitajima","side":"away"},{"id":44494,"name":"Shu Morooka","side":"away"},{"id":45871,"name":"Takumi Nagaishi","side":"away"},{"id":43005,"name":"Takumi Kamijima","side":"away"},{"id":43010,"name":"Yuma Tsujioka","side":"away"},{"id":42999,"name":"Hiroki Akino","side":"away"},{"id":43001,"name":"Shohei Takemoto","side":"away"},{"id":42998,"name":"Masato Yuzawa","side":"away"},{"id":42983,"name":"Shintaro Nago","side":"away"},{"id":43404,"name":"Werik Popó","side":"away"},{"id":42987,"name":"Ichika Maeda","side":"away"},{"id":44919,"name":"Kennedy Egbus Mikuni","side":"away"},{"id":43011,"name":"Kaoru Yamawaki","side":"away"},{"id":64693,"name":"Takezo Fujikawa","side":"away"},{"id":42984,"name":"Shosei Usui","side":"away"},{"id":42991,"name":"Hisashi Jogo","side":"away"},{"id":42990,"name":"Sonosuke Sato","side":"away"},{"id":42988,"name":"Reiju Tsuruno","side":"away"},{"id":42985,"name":"Abdel Hanan Sani Brown","side":"away"},{"id":43016,"name":"Kazuki Fujita","side":"away"},{"id":43014,"name":"Powell Obinna Obi","side":"away"},{"id":42994,"name":"Kohei Okuno","side":"away"},{"id":6415,"name":"Oriol Romeu","side":"away"},{"id":42993,"name":"Kazuki Fujimoto","side":"away"},{"id":45331,"name":"Daiki Fukazawa","side":"away"},{"id":43000,"name":"Kazuki Fukushima","side":"away"},{"id":42996,"name":"Kokoro Maeda","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":45328,"name":"Naoki Hayashi","side":"home","team":"Tokyo Verdy","club":null,"role":"DEF","position":"CB","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":10,"starts":9,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":13,"tracked_apps":10,"tracked_starts":9},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"JEF United Chiba","kickoff":1789290000,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"1-1","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["defensive_rock"],"importance":0.158,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":278,"country":0}},{"id":43407,"name":"Kazunari Ichimi","side":"home","team":"Tokyo Verdy","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":5,"starts":0,"goals":0,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":13,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":1,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Urawa Red Diamonds","kickoff":1789810200,"goals":0,"assists":1,"score":"1-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.044,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":118,"country":0}},{"id":45337,"name":"Issei Kumatoriya","side":"home","team":"Tokyo Verdy","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"AM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":10,"starts":2,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":13,"tracked_apps":10,"tracked_starts":2},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.005,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":168,"country":0}},{"id":44494,"name":"Shu Morooka","side":"away","team":"Avispa Fukuoka","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"RW","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":10,"goals":3,"assists":1,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":10},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Urawa Red Diamonds","kickoff":1788343200,"goals":1,"assists":1,"score":"2-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.229,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":266,"country":0}},{"id":42997,"name":"Masato Shigemi","side":"away","team":"Avispa Fukuoka","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"CM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":11,"starts":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":11,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.015,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":220,"country":0}},{"id":42986,"name":"Yuji Kitajima","side":"away","team":"Avispa Fukuoka","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"LM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":4,"starts":1,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":15,"tracked_apps":4,"tracked_starts":1},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.002,"country":null,"load":{"games":3,"minutes":136,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":1946,"away":1940},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":0,"d":4,"l":6},"below":null},"away":{"above":{"w":2,"d":1,"l":7},"below":null}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":4263,"name":"Naoki Soma","vs":null},"away":{"id":1297,"name":"Shinya Tsukahara","vs":{"w":0,"d":2,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1762578000,"score":"0-0","result":"D"}}}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":44489,"name":"Léo Ceará","goals":12,"rank":1},{"id":45363,"name":"Akito Suzuki","goals":8,"rank":2},{"id":44602,"name":"Marcinho","goals":7,"rank":3},{"id":43668,"name":"Motoki Nagakura","goals":7,"rank":4},{"id":44529,"name":"Yusuke Segawa","goals":7,"rank":5},{"id":45485,"name":"Kaina Tanimura","goals":6,"rank":6},{"id":45714,"name":"Yuya Osako","goals":6,"rank":7},{"id":44495,"name":"Aleksandar Čavrić","goals":5,"rank":8},{"id":44810,"name":"Arata Watanabe","goals":5,"rank":9},{"id":44659,"name":"Rafael Elias","goals":5,"rank":10},{"id":44733,"name":"Takuma Nishimura","goals":5,"rank":11},{"id":43891,"name":"Harumi Minamino","goals":4,"rank":12},{"id":63286,"name":"Kenshin Yasuda","goals":4,"rank":13},{"id":5458,"name":"Koki Ogawa","goals":4,"rank":14},{"id":43669,"name":"Marcelo Ryan","goals":4,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 12","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":4,"home_wins":1,"draws":3,"away_wins":0,"home_goals":1,"away_goals":0,"avg_total_goals":0.25,"home_win_rate":0.25,"away_win_rate":0,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Avispa Fukuoka","date":"2025-11-08T05:00:00+00:00","home":"Tokyo Verdy","score":"0-0","event_id":213388,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1940,"home_team_id":1946},{"away":"Tokyo Verdy","date":"2025-05-31T05:00:00+00:00","home":"Avispa Fukuoka","score":"0-0","event_id":213217,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1946,"home_team_id":1940},{"away":"Tokyo Verdy","date":"2024-07-20T10:00:00+00:00","home":"Avispa Fukuoka","score":"0-1","event_id":233814,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1946,"home_team_id":1940},{"away":"Avispa Fukuoka","date":"2024-04-28T05:00:00+00:00","home":"Tokyo Verdy","score":"0-0","event_id":233676,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":1940,"home_team_id":1946}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":1946,"position":20,"played":11,"points":5,"goal_diff":-14,"team_name":"Tokyo Verdy","won":0,"drawn":5,"lost":6,"goals_for":6,"goals_against":20,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":1940,"position":18,"played":11,"points":7,"goal_diff":-6,"team_name":"Avispa Fukuoka","won":2,"drawn":1,"lost":8,"goals_for":12,"goals_against":18,"group":null},"size":20},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.5,"record":"0-3-3","goals_for":0.67,"goals_against":2,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 6","sequence":"DLDLLD","venue_ppg":0.33},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.5,"record":"1-0-5","goals_for":0.5,"goals_against":1.5,"clean_sheets":0,"streak":"none","sequence":"LLLWLL","venue_ppg":0}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tokyo Verdy report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Avispa Fukuoka report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.lineup_confirmed","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The starting elevens are confirmed. Tokyo Verdy have made four changes from the side expected, with Kaito Suzuki, Inoue Ryota and Yuya Fukuda out of the eleven. Avispa Fukuoka have made five changes from the side expected, with Daiki Fukazawa, Yuma Tsujioka and Kaoru Yamawaki out of the eleven.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"confirmed","changes":{"home":{"n":4,"out":["Kaito Suzuki","Inoue Ryota","Yuya Fukuda","Itsuki Someno"],"in":["Yosuke Uchida","Yu-min Cho","Kazunari Ichimi","Issei Kumatoriya"]},"away":{"n":5,"out":["Daiki Fukazawa","Yuma Tsujioka","Kaoru Yamawaki","Kokoro Maeda","Werik Popó"],"in":["Tashiro Masaya","Daiki Miya","Yu Hashimoto","Keiya Shiihashi","Yuji Kitajima"]}}},"strength":0.8,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":26,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":20,"points":5,"games_left":26,"gap_to_leader":21,"gap_to_safety":-4,"gap_to_europe":15},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":18,"points":7,"games_left":26,"gap_to_leader":19,"gap_to_safety":-2,"gap_to_europe":13},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 0-0, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Naoki Soma is 3 games into the job at Tokyo Verdy. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Naoki Soma","matches_in_charge":3,"tenure_days":13,"ppm":0.33,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":0.8,"after_ppm":0.33,"delta":null}},"strength":0.35,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":3.2}]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Shinya Tsukahara has 36 matches in charge at Avispa Fukuoka, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Shinya Tsukahara","matches_in_charge":36,"tenure_days":258,"ppm":0.92,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.2,"after_ppm":0.7,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.286,"defence":-0.088,"effective_matches":16.2,"shrunk":0.33},"away":{"attack":-0.146,"defence":-0.05,"effective_matches":16.1,"shrunk":0.33}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Tokyo Verdy work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":44.1,"shots":8.3,"xg_per_shot":0.091,"corners":4,"corners_per_shot":0.482,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.01},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":43.9,"shots":12.8,"xg_per_shot":0.1,"corners":4.7,"corners_per_shot":0.365,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.28},"possession_gap":0.2},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tokyo Verdy are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.01,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Avispa Fukuoka have scored 3 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.28,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"15 yellow cards in this referee's last 11 games, where 28 would be usual in this league, and 2 reds. — though 11 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":11,"yellows_per_match":1.36,"reds_per_match":0.182,"league_yellows_per_match":2.56,"league_reds_per_match":0.144,"yellow_ratio":0.53,"red_ratio":1.26,"sample":11,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Avispa Fukuoka travel 863 km for this fixture.","evidence":{"travel_km":863},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-0.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-0.1}]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Conditions: 25 km/h wind.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":25.4,"temperature_c":20,"description":"clear"},"strength":0.08,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"both","pct":-0.6},{"channel":"corners","side":"both","pct":0.6}]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.12175664392793745},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Neither of these is in good shape underneath the results. Avispa Fukuoka are trending down: their last four games have been their poorest for the chances they make and allow. Meanwhile, Tokyo Verdy have been out-created in five of their last eight games. On top of that, at home, they have been out-created in four of their last five home games. The side that stops giving up the better chances first takes this one.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5854,"created_at":"2026-10-18T02:15:33Z","event":{"id":212301,"event_date":"2026-10-24T06:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":1946,"home_team":"Tokyo Verdy","away_team_id":1940,"away_team":"Avispa Fukuoka","league_id":49,"league_name":"J1 League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":39,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3903,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792821373,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#0a7642","away":"#0c7a96"},"venue":{"name":"Ajinomoto Stadium","city":"Tokyo","capacity":49970},"pulled":[],"published":[]}