{"id":211744,"league_id":22,"league":"Parva Liga","kickoff":1793631600,"home":"Cherno More Varna","away":"Botev Vratsa","home_id":342,"away_id":347,"venue_id":322,"rank":5,"status":"finished","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.636,"score":[1,0],"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.28,0.97],"odds_1x2":{"HOME":0.4796171166218605,"DRAW":0.283490783715504,"AWAY":0.23689209966263544},"read":{"text":"Cherno More Varna to edge it","side":"home"},"top_pick":null,"pass":"Passing on Cherno More Varna v Botev Vratsa. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","confident":[],"flags":[],"lambda_home":1.2764774231551332,"lambda_away":0.965959564481186,"corner_rate":8.95,"card_rate":0.24,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.65,"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":11365,"name":"Kristian Tomov","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.387},{"id":11025,"name":"Ventsislav Kerchev","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.526},{"id":62159,"name":"Luciano Squadrone","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.528},{"id":11345,"name":"Zhivko Atanasov","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.463},{"id":11343,"name":"Ertan Tombak","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.392},{"id":11364,"name":"David Teles","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.529},{"id":11355,"name":"Vasil Panayotov","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.529},{"id":11363,"name":"Georgi Lazarov","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.472},{"id":40743,"name":"Mohamed Achi","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.393},{"id":63751,"name":"Miguel Barandas","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.211},{"id":11360,"name":"Celso Sidney","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.479},{"id":11357,"name":"Asen Donchev","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.388},{"id":65754,"name":"Idris Bounaas","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.281},{"id":3324,"name":"Damyan Hristov","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.191},{"id":23044,"name":"Georgi Ventsislavov","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.123},{"id":11361,"name":"Jorge Padilla","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.09},{"id":11780,"name":"Ivan Tasev","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.082},{"id":11353,"name":"Berk Beyhan","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.075},{"id":11366,"name":"João Bandaro","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.075},{"id":11393,"name":"Petar Andreev","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.071},{"id":11392,"name":"Aleksandar Todorov","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05},{"id":11369,"name":"Nikolay Petrov  Kostadinov","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.04},{"id":11490,"name":"Emanuil Nyagolov","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.035}],"confidence":0.673},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":11284,"name":"Marin Orlinov","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.334},{"id":11293,"name":"Sainey Sanyang","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.529},{"id":11289,"name":"Milen Stoev","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.526},{"id":11291,"name":"Ivan Goranov","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.526},{"id":122086,"name":"Aleksandar Buchkov","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.357},{"id":11295,"name":"Iliya Yurukov","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.531},{"id":65721,"name":"Abdullah Kichukov","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.2},{"id":11303,"name":"José Gallegos","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.472},{"id":11418,"name":"Martin Smolenski","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.34},{"id":11311,"name":"Kassim Hadji","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.273},{"id":11305,"name":"Martin Petkov","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.531},{"id":11301,"name":"Radoslav Tsonev","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.42},{"id":11298,"name":"Vladislav Naydenov","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.37},{"id":28438,"name":"Preslav Borukov","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.274},{"id":11315,"name":"Lyubomir Vasilev","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.233},{"id":11309,"name":"Antoan Stoyanov","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.127},{"id":142085,"name":"Martin Dimitrov","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.125},{"id":11945,"name":"Filip Gigov","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.096},{"id":11307,"name":"Daniel Genov","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.088},{"id":11319,"name":"Lazar Boyanov","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.055},{"id":74055,"name":"Samuil Mechev","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.055},{"id":11825,"name":"Martin Achkov","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.05},{"id":53458,"name":"Luboslav Stoyanov","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.025}],"confidence":0.65},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":11365,"name":"Kristian Tomov","side":"home"},{"id":11025,"name":"Ventsislav Kerchev","side":"home"},{"id":62159,"name":"Luciano Squadrone","side":"home"},{"id":11345,"name":"Zhivko Atanasov","side":"home"},{"id":11343,"name":"Ertan Tombak","side":"home"},{"id":11364,"name":"David Teles","side":"home"},{"id":11355,"name":"Vasil Panayotov","side":"home"},{"id":11363,"name":"Georgi Lazarov","side":"home"},{"id":40743,"name":"Mohamed Achi","side":"home"},{"id":63751,"name":"Miguel Barandas","side":"home"},{"id":11360,"name":"Celso Sidney","side":"home"},{"id":11357,"name":"Asen Donchev","side":"home"},{"id":65754,"name":"Idris Bounaas","side":"home"},{"id":3324,"name":"Damyan Hristov","side":"home"},{"id":23044,"name":"Georgi Ventsislavov","side":"home"},{"id":11361,"name":"Jorge Padilla","side":"home"},{"id":11780,"name":"Ivan Tasev","side":"home"},{"id":11353,"name":"Berk Beyhan","side":"home"},{"id":11366,"name":"João Bandaro","side":"home"},{"id":11393,"name":"Petar Andreev","side":"home"},{"id":11392,"name":"Aleksandar Todorov","side":"home"},{"id":11369,"name":"Nikolay Petrov  Kostadinov","side":"home"},{"id":11490,"name":"Emanuil Nyagolov","side":"home"},{"id":48322,"name":"Georgi Paskov","side":"home"},{"id":217781,"name":"Nestorly Lumbu","side":"home"},{"id":52293,"name":"Dimitar Kichukov","side":"home"},{"id":50413,"name":"Aleksandar Kolev","side":"home"},{"id":12039,"name":"Kristiyan Mihaylov","side":"home"},{"id":11489,"name":"Antoan Manasiev","side":"home"},{"id":62158,"name":"Martin Banev","side":"home"},{"id":11370,"name":"Petar Hristov Marinov","side":"home"},{"id":11284,"name":"Marin Orlinov","side":"away"},{"id":11293,"name":"Sainey Sanyang","side":"away"},{"id":11289,"name":"Milen Stoev","side":"away"},{"id":11291,"name":"Ivan Goranov","side":"away"},{"id":122086,"name":"Aleksandar Buchkov","side":"away"},{"id":11295,"name":"Iliya Yurukov","side":"away"},{"id":65721,"name":"Abdullah Kichukov","side":"away"},{"id":11303,"name":"José Gallegos","side":"away"},{"id":11418,"name":"Martin Smolenski","side":"away"},{"id":11311,"name":"Kassim Hadji","side":"away"},{"id":11305,"name":"Martin Petkov","side":"away"},{"id":11301,"name":"Radoslav Tsonev","side":"away"},{"id":11298,"name":"Vladislav Naydenov","side":"away"},{"id":28438,"name":"Preslav Borukov","side":"away"},{"id":11315,"name":"Lyubomir Vasilev","side":"away"},{"id":11309,"name":"Antoan Stoyanov","side":"away"},{"id":142085,"name":"Martin Dimitrov","side":"away"},{"id":11945,"name":"Filip Gigov","side":"away"},{"id":11307,"name":"Daniel Genov","side":"away"},{"id":11319,"name":"Lazar Boyanov","side":"away"},{"id":74055,"name":"Samuil Mechev","side":"away"},{"id":11825,"name":"Martin Achkov","side":"away"},{"id":53458,"name":"Luboslav Stoyanov","side":"away"},{"id":13517,"name":"Đorđe Jovičić","side":"away"},{"id":57572,"name":"David Tchétchao","side":"away"},{"id":13606,"name":"Miroslav Tsonev","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":11360,"name":"Celso Sidney","side":"home","team":"Cherno More Varna","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":7,"starts":6,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":19,"tracked_apps":7,"tracked_starts":6},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":1,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Lokomotiv Sofia","kickoff":1789149600,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-2","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.107,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":75,"country":0}},{"id":11363,"name":"Georgi Lazarov","side":"home","team":"Cherno More Varna","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":6,"starts":6,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":1,"team_games":19,"tracked_apps":6,"tracked_starts":6},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":2,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"FK Septemvri Sofia","kickoff":1793113200,"goals":1,"assists":0,"score":"2-0","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.107,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":90,"country":0}},{"id":11945,"name":"Filip Gigov","side":"away","team":"Botev Vratsa","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":5,"starts":0,"goals":2,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":0,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":5,"tracked_starts":0},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":2,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"FK Septemvri Sofia","kickoff":1788537600,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-2","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.113,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":6,"country":0}},{"id":11305,"name":"Martin Petkov","side":"away","team":"Botev Vratsa","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":7,"starts":7,"goals":0,"assists":0,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":16,"tracked_apps":7,"tracked_starts":7},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":null,"strengths":[],"tags":[],"importance":0.018,"country":null,"load":{"games":1,"minutes":84,"country":0}}],"extras":{"teams":{"home":342,"away":347},"split":{"home":{"above":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":5},"below":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":1}},"away":{"above":{"w":1,"d":2,"l":5},"below":{"w":1,"d":1,"l":0}}},"referee":null,"managers":{"home":{"id":365,"name":"Ilian Iliev","vs":{"w":0,"d":2,"l":1,"last":{"kickoff":1784478600,"score":"1-1","result":"D"}}},"away":{"id":459,"name":"Todor Simov","vs":{"w":1,"d":2,"l":0,"last":{"kickoff":1784478600,"score":"1-1","result":"D"}}}},"best_xi":[],"players":{}},"notable":[{"id":64804,"name":"Alexander Valino Navasal","goals":4,"rank":1},{"id":10759,"name":"Atanas Iliev","goals":4,"rank":2},{"id":10786,"name":"Ioannis Pittas","goals":4,"rank":3},{"id":7870,"name":"Armstrong Oko-Flex","goals":3,"rank":4},{"id":11359,"name":"Asen Chandarov","goals":3,"rank":5},{"id":3328,"name":"Bernard Tekpetey","goals":3,"rank":6},{"id":10877,"name":"Caue Caruzo Alves","goals":3,"rank":7},{"id":10746,"name":"Elias Franco","goals":3,"rank":8},{"id":10920,"name":"Franklin Mascote","goals":3,"rank":9},{"id":13695,"name":"Frantzety Herard","goals":3,"rank":10},{"id":3319,"name":"Ivajlo Chochev","goals":3,"rank":11},{"id":10923,"name":"Samuel Kalu","goals":3,"rank":12},{"id":10954,"name":"Alberto Salido","goals":2,"rank":13},{"id":64226,"name":"André Liberal","goals":2,"rank":14},{"id":10655,"name":"Antonio Vutov","goals":2,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 14","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":21,"home_wins":13,"draws":5,"away_wins":3,"home_goals":32,"away_goals":15,"avg_total_goals":2.238095238095238,"home_win_rate":0.6190476190476191,"away_win_rate":0.14285714285714285,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Cherno More Varna","date":"2026-07-19T16:30:00+00:00","home":"Botev Vratsa","score":"1-1","event_id":211652,"away_score":1,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":342,"home_team_id":347},{"away":"Botev Vratsa","date":"2026-02-20T15:45:00+00:00","home":"Cherno More Varna","score":"0-0","event_id":6491,"away_score":0,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":347,"home_team_id":342},{"away":"Cherno More Varna","date":"2025-08-29T16:45:00+00:00","home":"Botev Vratsa","score":"1-0","event_id":6371,"away_score":0,"home_score":1,"away_team_id":342,"home_team_id":347},{"away":"Cherno More Varna","date":"2024-12-07T13:00:00+00:00","home":"Botev Vratsa","score":"2-3","event_id":306501,"away_score":3,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":342,"home_team_id":347},{"away":"Botev Vratsa","date":"2024-08-12T18:15:00+00:00","home":"Cherno More Varna","score":"2-1","event_id":306384,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":347,"home_team_id":342},{"away":"Botev Vratsa","date":"2024-03-01T15:30:00+00:00","home":"Cherno More Varna","score":"2-1","event_id":312057,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":347,"home_team_id":342},{"away":"Cherno More Varna","date":"2023-09-01T16:15:00+00:00","home":"Botev Vratsa","score":"0-1","event_id":311935,"away_score":1,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":342,"home_team_id":347},{"away":"Cherno More Varna","date":"2023-04-21T13:15:00+00:00","home":"Botev Vratsa","score":"0-2","event_id":258484,"away_score":2,"home_score":0,"away_team_id":342,"home_team_id":347},{"away":"Botev Vratsa","date":"2022-09-30T14:00:00+00:00","home":"Cherno More Varna","score":"2-1","event_id":258357,"away_score":1,"home_score":2,"away_team_id":347,"home_team_id":342},{"away":"Botev Vratsa","date":"2022-04-04T14:30:00+00:00","home":"Cherno More Varna","score":"5-0","event_id":271903,"away_score":0,"home_score":5,"away_team_id":347,"home_team_id":342}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":342,"position":11,"played":12,"points":9,"goal_diff":-9,"team_name":"Cherno More Varna","won":2,"drawn":3,"lost":7,"goals_for":13,"goals_against":22,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":347,"position":10,"played":12,"points":10,"goal_diff":-11,"team_name":"Botev Vratsa","won":2,"drawn":4,"lost":6,"goals_for":10,"goals_against":21,"group":null},"size":14},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.33,"record":"2-2-2","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.67,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DDWLLW","venue_ppg":1.75},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"1-3-2","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 5","sequence":"WDDLLD","venue_ppg":1.67}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Cherno More Varna report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Botev Vratsa report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.65,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.35,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Cherno More Varna have taken 1.33 points a game from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7, and 1.75 a game at home.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1.33,"record":"2-2-2","goals_for":1,"goals_against":1.67,"clean_sheets":2,"streak":"none","sequence":"DDWLLW","venue_ppg":1.75},"strength":0.15,"moves":[]},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Botev Vratsa have taken 1.00 points a game from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3, and 1.67 a game on the road.","evidence":{"matches":6,"ppg":1,"record":"1-3-2","goals_for":1.17,"goals_against":1.33,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 5","sequence":"WDDLLD","venue_ppg":1.67},"strength":0.233,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing much riding on this one for either side yet.","evidence":{"games_left":12,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":11,"points":9,"games_left":12,"gap_to_leader":23,"gap_to_safety":0,"gap_to_europe":19},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":10,"points":10,"games_left":12,"gap_to_leader":22,"gap_to_safety":1,"gap_to_europe":18},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 1-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Ilian Iliev has 29 matches in charge at Cherno More Varna, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Ilian Iliev","matches_in_charge":29,"tenure_days":212,"ppm":1.21,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.6,"after_ppm":1.4,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.away.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Todor Simov has 27 matches in charge at Botev Vratsa, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Todor Simov","matches_in_charge":27,"tenure_days":211,"ppm":1.37,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.1,"after_ppm":1.9,"delta":null}},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Cherno More Varna come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":6},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Botev Vratsa come in on 9 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.","evidence":{"daysRest":9.0625,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":1,"days_rest":9.1},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.072,"defence":-0.044,"effective_matches":14.4,"shrunk":0.36},"away":{"attack":-0.121,"defence":-0.044,"effective_matches":14.8,"shrunk":0.35}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Botev Vratsa work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":43.8,"shots":10.7,"xg_per_shot":0.096,"corners":2.8,"corners_per_shot":0.263,"finishing_vs_xg":0.06},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":49.4,"shots":11,"xg_per_shot":0.09,"corners":4.6,"corners_per_shot":0.418,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.16},"possession_gap":-5.6},"strength":0.224,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Cherno More Varna are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.06,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Botev Vratsa are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.16,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"88 yellow cards in this referee's last 21 games, where 93 would be usual in this league, and 3 reds. — though 21 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":21,"yellows_per_match":4.19,"reds_per_match":0.143,"league_yellows_per_match":4.42,"league_reds_per_match":0.243,"yellow_ratio":0.95,"red_ratio":0.59,"sample":21,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 354 km for Botev Vratsa.","evidence":{"travel_km":354},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":20.4,"temperature_c":12,"description":null},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.22958331104884205},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.overround","section":"§7.3","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The bookmakers are taking a 9.6% cut on this match. The bigger their cut, the further out a price has to be before it is worth backing.","evidence":{"overround":1.0963,"margin_pct":9.63,"devig_method":"shin","books_quoting":3},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.movement","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The line has barely moved since it opened.","evidence":{"moves":[{"outcome":"HOME","move_pct":-2.5,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"DRAW","move_pct":-2.4,"direction":"DRIFTING"},{"outcome":"AWAY","move_pct":-1.2,"direction":"DRIFTING"}]},"strength":0.125,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.sharp_reference","section":"§7.1","tier":7,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The sharp book and the wider market agree on this fixture.","evidence":{"sharp":{"HOME":0.4836,"DRAW":0.2896,"AWAY":0.2268},"consensus":{"HOME":0.4796,"DRAW":0.2835,"AWAY":0.2369},"largest_gap":{"outcome":"AWAY","points":-1.01},"sharp_overround":1.0443},"strength":0.126,"moves":[]},{"id":"market.prediction_market","section":"§7.2","tier":7,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No prediction-market prices for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"markets":[{"market":"1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.4228,"DRAW":0.3087,"AWAY":0.2685},"book":{"HOME":0.4796,"DRAW":0.2835,"AWAY":0.2369},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"DRAW":{"odds":3.4,"bookmaker":"BetVictor"},"AWAY":{"odds":4.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0963,"books":15,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4836,"DRAW":0.2896,"AWAY":0.2268}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.4877,"DRAW":0.2897,"AWAY":0.2226}}},{"market":"double_chance","line":null,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"12":0.6913,"1X":0.7315,"X2":0.5772},"book":{"12":0.7165,"1X":0.7631,"X2":0.5204},"best":{"12":{"odds":1.35,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"1X":{"odds":1.22,"bookmaker":"William Hill"},"X2":{"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"Sbo"}},"overround":1.058,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7104,"1X":0.7732,"X2":0.5164}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"12":0.7103,"1X":0.7774,"X2":0.5123}}},{"market":"draw_no_bet","line":null,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.6117,"AWAY":0.3883},"book":{"HOME":0.6694,"AWAY":0.3306},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.43,"bookmaker":"Betsson"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.9,"bookmaker":"Betway"}},"overround":1.0791,"books":12,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.6807,"AWAY":0.3193}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"HOME":0.6866,"AWAY":0.3134}}},{"market":"btts","line":null,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"yes":0.4592,"no":0.5408},"book":{"yes":0.4724,"no":0.5276},"best":{"yes":{"odds":2.03,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"no":{"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"888Sport"}},"overround":1.0799,"books":17,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.4786,"no":0.5214}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"yes":0.461,"no":0.539}}},{"market":"over_under_05","line":0.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.8812,"under":0.1188},"book":{"over":0.9088,"under":0.0912},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.07,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"under":{"odds":8.5,"bookmaker":"BetVictor"}},"overround":1.0731,"books":3,"sharp":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9048,"under":0.0952}},"open":{"book":"betfair","fair":{"over":0.9048,"under":0.0952}}},{"market":"over_under_15","line":1.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.6683,"under":0.3317},"book":{"over":0.6841,"under":0.3159},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.41,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":2.89,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0676,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6816,"under":0.3184}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6805,"under":0.3195}}},{"market":"over_under_25","line":2.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.3886,"under":0.6114},"book":{"over":0.4127,"under":0.5873},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.31,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"},"under":{"odds":1.65,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.067,"books":5,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4078,"under":0.5922}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4087,"under":0.5913}}},{"market":"over_under_35","line":3.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.1891,"under":0.8109},"book":{"over":0.203,"under":0.797},"best":{"over":{"odds":4.33,"bookmaker":"betfair"},"under":{"odds":1.22,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0667,"books":4,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.2073,"under":0.7927}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.2075,"under":0.7925}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.0692,"AWAY":0.9308},"book":{"HOME":0.0837,"AWAY":0.9163},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":8,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.04,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.0958,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0837,"AWAY":0.9163}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2.25,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.0739,"AWAY":0.9261},"book":{"HOME":0.0931,"AWAY":0.9069},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":6.85,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.042,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1057,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0931,"AWAY":0.9069}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-2,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.0794,"AWAY":0.9206},"book":{"HOME":0.0986,"AWAY":0.9014},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":7,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.052,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1002,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.0986,"AWAY":0.9014}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.75,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.1423,"AWAY":0.8577},"book":{"HOME":0.1774,"AWAY":0.8226},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":4.8,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0748,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.1794,"AWAY":0.8206}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.1973,"AWAY":0.8027},"book":{"HOME":0.2302,"AWAY":0.7698},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.26,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0838,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2367,"AWAY":0.7633}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1.25,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.2223,"AWAY":0.7777},"book":{"HOME":0.2692,"AWAY":0.7308},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":3.35,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.325,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0756,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.2692,"AWAY":0.7308}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-1,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.2547,"AWAY":0.7453},"book":{"HOME":0.3117,"AWAY":0.6883},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.95,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.081,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.3197,"AWAY":0.6803}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.75,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.3495,"AWAY":0.6505},"book":{"HOME":0.4049,"AWAY":0.5951},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":2.3,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.6,"bookmaker":"Novibet"}},"overround":1.071,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4079,"AWAY":0.5921}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.4228,"AWAY":0.5772},"book":{"HOME":0.4751,"AWAY":0.5249},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.975,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":1.825,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0773,"books":8,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.4813,"AWAY":0.5187}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":-0.25,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.5,"AWAY":0.5},"book":{"HOME":0.5692,"AWAY":0.4308},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.69,"bookmaker":"Novibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"fonbet"}},"overround":1.071,"books":4,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.5745,"AWAY":0.4255}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.6117,"AWAY":0.3883},"book":{"HOME":0.6762,"AWAY":0.3238},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.43,"bookmaker":"Interwetten"},"AWAY":{"odds":2.85,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0701,"books":5,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.6839,"AWAY":0.3161}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.25,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.6825,"AWAY":0.3175},"book":{"HOME":0.7363,"AWAY":0.2637},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.3,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0754,"books":3,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7387,"AWAY":0.2613}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.7315,"AWAY":0.2685},"book":{"HOME":0.7662,"AWAY":0.2338},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.27,"bookmaker":"Unibet"},"AWAY":{"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0639,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.7743,"AWAY":0.2257}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":0.75,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.7985,"AWAY":0.2015},"book":{"HOME":0.8394,"AWAY":0.1606},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.16,"bookmaker":"Bet365"},"AWAY":{"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365"}},"overround":1.0718,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.8442,"AWAY":0.1558}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.8789,"AWAY":0.1211},"book":{"HOME":0.9144,"AWAY":0.0856},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.05,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":7.7,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.098,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9144,"AWAY":0.0856}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.25,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.89,"AWAY":0.11},"book":{"HOME":0.9294,"AWAY":0.0706},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.018,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"AWAY":{"odds":8.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1058,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9294,"AWAY":0.0706}}},{"market":"asian_handicap","line":1.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"HOME":0.8992,"AWAY":0.1008},"book":{"HOME":0.9288,"AWAY":0.0712},"best":{"HOME":{"odds":1.04,"bookmaker":"fonbet"},"AWAY":{"odds":8.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.0916,"books":2,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"HOME":0.9288,"AWAY":0.0712}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":7.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.6455,"under":0.3545},"book":{"over":0.6496,"under":0.3504},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.46,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":2.6,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0779,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6525,"under":0.3475}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.6525,"under":0.3475}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":8.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.524,"under":0.476},"book":{"over":0.5198,"under":0.4802},"best":{"over":{"odds":1.82,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.96,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0687,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5227,"under":0.4773}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.5227,"under":0.4773}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":9.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.4057,"under":0.5943},"book":{"over":0.3991,"under":0.6009},"best":{"over":{"odds":2.32,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.58,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle"}},"overround":1.0755,"books":2,"sharp":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4028,"under":0.5972}},"open":{"book":"pinnacle","fair":{"over":0.4028,"under":0.5972}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":10.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.2998,"under":0.7002},"book":{"over":0.2645,"under":0.7355},"best":{"over":{"odds":3.16,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.27,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1039,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.3129,"under":0.6871}}},{"market":"total_corners","line":11.5,"confidence":0.636,"model":{"over":0.2116,"under":0.7884},"book":{"over":0.1573,"under":0.8427},"best":{"over":{"odds":4.64,"bookmaker":"1xBet"},"under":{"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"1xBet"}},"overround":1.1164,"books":1,"sharp":null,"open":{"book":"consensus","fair":{"over":0.2005,"under":0.7995}}},{"market":"corners_1x2","line":null,"confidence":0.509,"model":{"HOME":0.6889,"DRAW":0.1016,"AWAY":0.2094},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null},{"market":"red_card","line":null,"confidence":0.445,"model":{"yes":0.2131,"no":0.7869},"book":{},"best":{},"overround":1,"books":0,"sharp":null,"open":null}],"candidates":[{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.5,"book_prob":0.4308,"edge":0.0691,"shrunk_edge":0.0448,"odds":2.2,"bookmaker":"fonbet","prices":[{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.2},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.15},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.126},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.1}],"kelly":0.0208,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"AWAY","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3883,"book_prob":0.3306,"edge":0.0577,"shrunk_edge":0.042,"odds":2.9,"bookmaker":"Betway","prices":[{"slug":"betway","book":"Betway","odds":2.9},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.75},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":2.75},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":2.75},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.75},{"slug":"betano","book":"Betano","odds":2.7},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":2.7},{"slug":"sportingbet","book":"SportingBet","odds":2.7},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":2.7},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":2.7},{"slug":"vistabet","book":"Vistabet","odds":2.7},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":2.65}],"kelly":0.0166,"confidence":0.636,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0,"push":"full","model_prob":0.3883,"book_prob":0.3238,"edge":0.0646,"shrunk_edge":0.0418,"odds":2.85,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":2.85},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.83},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":2.8},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":2.8},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":2.65}],"kelly":0.0144,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"X2","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.5772,"book_prob":0.5204,"edge":0.0568,"shrunk_edge":0.0413,"odds":1.8,"bookmaker":"Sbo","prices":[{"slug":"sbo","book":"Sbo","odds":1.8},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.78},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.75},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.75},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.73}],"kelly":0.0122,"confidence":0.636,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.7453,"book_prob":0.6883,"edge":0.057,"shrunk_edge":0.0369,"odds":1.4,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.4},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.37},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.36},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.35}],"kelly":0.0271,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.6505,"book_prob":0.5951,"edge":0.0555,"shrunk_edge":0.036,"odds":1.6,"bookmaker":"Novibet","prices":[{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.6},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.6},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.591},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.55}],"kelly":0.017,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.3175,"book_prob":0.2637,"edge":0.0537,"shrunk_edge":0.0348,"odds":3.45,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.45},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.27},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":3.2}],"kelly":0.0097,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.5772,"book_prob":0.5249,"edge":0.0523,"shrunk_edge":0.0339,"odds":1.825,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.825},{"slug":"novibet","book":"Novibet","odds":1.81},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.78},{"slug":"10bet","book":"10bet","odds":1.769},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":1.75},{"slug":"888sport","book":"888Sport","odds":1.75},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":1.75},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.75}],"kelly":0.0162,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.7777,"book_prob":0.7308,"edge":0.0469,"shrunk_edge":0.0304,"odds":1.325,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.325},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.291},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.28}],"kelly":0.0234,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"over","line":11.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2116,"book_prob":0.1573,"edge":0.0543,"shrunk_edge":0.0299,"odds":4.64,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.64}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.636,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.2015,"book_prob":0.1606,"edge":0.041,"shrunk_edge":0.0265,"odds":5.25,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":5.25},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4.875}],"kelly":0.0034,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.11,"book_prob":0.0706,"edge":0.0395,"shrunk_edge":0.0256,"odds":8.1,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":8.1}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_05","outcome":"under","line":0.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.1188,"book_prob":0.0912,"edge":0.0276,"shrunk_edge":0.0235,"odds":8.5,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","prices":[{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":8.5},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":8},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":6.9}],"kelly":0.0003,"confidence":0.636,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1,"push":"full","model_prob":0.1211,"book_prob":0.0856,"edge":0.0355,"shrunk_edge":0.023,"odds":7.7,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":7.7},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":7.2}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"AWAY","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2685,"book_prob":0.2369,"edge":0.0316,"shrunk_edge":0.023,"odds":4.2,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":4.2},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":4.16},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":4},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":4},{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":3.95},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":3.9},{"slug":"william-hill","book":"William Hill","odds":3.8},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":3.75},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":3.6},{"slug":"coral","book":"coral","odds":3.5},{"slug":"ladbrokes","book":"ladbrokes","odds":3.5},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.45}],"kelly":0.01,"confidence":0.636,"family":"result"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.75,"push":"half","model_prob":0.8577,"book_prob":0.8226,"edge":0.0351,"shrunk_edge":0.0227,"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.18},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.139}],"kelly":0.0167,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":0.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.2685,"book_prob":0.2338,"edge":0.0347,"shrunk_edge":0.0225,"odds":3.9,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.9},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.6}],"kelly":0.0041,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.8027,"book_prob":0.7698,"edge":0.0329,"shrunk_edge":0.0213,"odds":1.26,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.26},{"slug":"betsson","book":"Betsson","odds":1.24},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":1.23},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.222},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.2}],"kelly":0.011,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"over_under_25","outcome":"under","line":2.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.6114,"book_prob":0.5873,"edge":0.0241,"shrunk_edge":0.0205,"odds":1.65,"bookmaker":"Bet365","prices":[{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":1.65},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.62},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":1.62},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":1.61},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":1.57}],"kelly":0.0034,"confidence":0.636,"family":"goals"},{"market":"total_corners","outcome":"over","line":10.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.2998,"book_prob":0.2645,"edge":0.0352,"shrunk_edge":0.0194,"odds":3.16,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.16}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.636,"family":"corners"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":1.5,"push":"none","model_prob":0.1008,"book_prob":0.0712,"edge":0.0296,"shrunk_edge":0.0192,"odds":8.6,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":8.6},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":8.5}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"1x2","outcome":"DRAW","line":null,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3087,"book_prob":0.2835,"edge":0.0252,"shrunk_edge":0.0184,"odds":3.4,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","prices":[{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":3.4},{"slug":"bwin","book":"Bwin","odds":3.3},{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":3.29},{"slug":"bet365","book":"Bet365","odds":3.25},{"slug":"dafabet","book":"dafabet","odds":3.25},{"slug":"mansionbet","book":"MansionBet","odds":3.25},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":3.2},{"slug":"coral","book":"coral","odds":3.2},{"slug":"ladbrokes","book":"ladbrokes","odds":3.2},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":3.18},{"slug":"unibet","book":"Unibet","odds":3.15},{"slug":"interwetten","book":"Interwetten","odds":3.1}],"kelly":0.0052,"confidence":0.636,"family":"result"},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"under","line":1.5,"push":null,"model_prob":0.3317,"book_prob":0.3159,"edge":0.0158,"shrunk_edge":0.0134,"odds":2.89,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","prices":[{"slug":"pinnacle","book":"Pinnacle","odds":2.89},{"slug":"betfair","book":"betfair","odds":2.88},{"slug":"betvictor","book":"BetVictor","odds":2.88},{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":2.7}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.636,"family":"goals"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2.25,"push":"half","model_prob":0.9261,"book_prob":0.9069,"edge":0.0192,"shrunk_edge":0.0124,"odds":1.042,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.042}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"},{"market":"asian_handicap","outcome":"AWAY","line":-2,"push":"full","model_prob":0.9206,"book_prob":0.9014,"edge":0.0192,"shrunk_edge":0.0124,"odds":1.052,"bookmaker":"1xBet","prices":[{"slug":"1xbet","book":"1xBet","odds":1.052},{"slug":"fonbet","book":"fonbet","odds":1.05}],"kelly":0,"confidence":0.636,"family":"handicap"}],"verdicts":[],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Cherno More Varna are better than their league position suggests and they should dominate this match. While they sit 11th, they have been incredibly unlucky to concede 11 goals in their last five from chances that usually only cost about 6. They are being punished for every mistake. Botev Vratsa are a place higher and travel well, but they rely on draws too often. Both sides will use a 4-2-3-1, so the midfield battle is vital. Todor Simov has a decent record against Varna, but the home side has won 13 of their last 21 meetings. If Kristian Tomov can hold firm in goal, Varna's underlying quality will break through. Ilian Iliev finally","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6710,"created_at":"2026-10-27T02:15:16Z","event":{"id":211744,"event_date":"2026-11-02T15:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":342,"home_team":"Cherno More Varna","away_team_id":347,"away_team":"Botev Vratsa","league_id":22,"league_name":"Parva Liga"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":46.9,"prob_draw":28.7,"prob_away":24.4,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.36,"away":1.03},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":67.5,"prob_over_25":42.1,"prob_over_35":22.1},"btts":{"prob_yes":47.4},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":62.4},"corners":{"prob_over_85":56,"prob_over_95":44.2,"prob_over_105":32.3}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":46.9,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4687,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1793622329,"report":{"fetched_at":1793706899,"ht":[0,0],"attendance":null,"highlights":[{"kind":"full","title":"Cherno More 1 - 0 Botev Vratsa — Full Highlights","url":"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8tTncl9jsE","thumbnail":"https://i.ytimg.com/vi/z8tTncl9jsE/hqdefault.jpg"}],"events":[{"t":"card","minute":0,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"M. Orlinov","player_id":11284,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"card","minute":20,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"S. Sanyang","player_id":11293,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"card","minute":41,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"E. Tombak","player_id":11343,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"card","minute":60,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"D. Teles","player_id":11364,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"sub","minute":64,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"M. Achi","in_id":40743,"out":"B. Beyhan","out_id":11353},{"t":"goal","minute":70,"added":null,"side":"home","player":"C. Sidney","player_id":11360,"assist":null,"kind":"penalty","score":[1,0]},{"t":"sub","minute":71,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"F. Gigov","in_id":11945,"out":"D. Genov","out_id":11307},{"t":"sub","minute":71,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"M. Achkov","in_id":11825,"out":"J. Gallegos","out_id":11303},{"t":"card","minute":74,"added":null,"side":"away","player":"F. Gigov","player_id":11945,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"sub","minute":81,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"A. Donchev","in_id":11357,"out":"M. Barandas","out_id":63751},{"t":"sub","minute":82,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"K. Hadji","in_id":11311,"out":"A. Buchkov","out_id":122086},{"t":"sub","minute":82,"added":null,"side":"away","in":"V. Naydenov","in_id":11298,"out":"M. Smolenski","out_id":11418},{"t":"sub","minute":86,"added":null,"side":"home","in":"G. Ventsislavov","in_id":23044,"out":"C. Sidney","out_id":11360},{"t":"card","minute":90,"added":5,"side":"away","player":"I. Yurukov","player_id":11295,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"card","minute":90,"added":6,"side":"away","player":"K. Hadji","player_id":11311,"card":"yellow","reason":null},{"t":"card","minute":90,"added":6,"side":"home","player":"K. Tomov","player_id":11365,"card":"yellow","reason":null}],"players":[{"id":11355,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11363,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11365,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11343,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":62159,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11345,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11025,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11392,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11364,"team_id":342,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11360,"team_id":342,"minutes":86,"rating":null,"goals":1,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":63751,"team_id":342,"minutes":81,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":40743,"team_id":342,"minutes":26,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11357,"team_id":342,"minutes":9,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":23044,"team_id":342,"minutes":4,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":3324,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11361,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":12039,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11366,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":217781,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11490,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":62158,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11369,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11780,"team_id":342,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11284,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11289,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":142085,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11291,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11301,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11295,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11298,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11293,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11305,"team_id":347,"minutes":90,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":122086,"team_id":347,"minutes":82,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11303,"team_id":347,"minutes":71,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11945,"team_id":347,"minutes":19,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":1,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11825,"team_id":347,"minutes":19,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11311,"team_id":347,"minutes":8,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":74055,"team_id":347,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11315,"team_id":347,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11319,"team_id":347,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11307,"team_id":347,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":65721,"team_id":347,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0},{"id":11418,"team_id":347,"minutes":0,"rating":null,"goals":0,"assists":0,"yellow":0,"red":0,"saves":0,"shots":0,"on_target":0,"key_passes":0}],"stats":{"home":{"possession":null,"shots":null,"on_target":null,"corners":null,"fouls":null,"yellow":3,"red":0,"big_chances":null,"passes":null,"pass_pct":null,"offsides":null,"saves":null},"away":{"possession":null,"shots":null,"on_target":null,"corners":null,"fouls":null,"yellow":5,"red":0,"big_chances":null,"passes":null,"pass_pct":null,"offsides":null,"saves":null}},"lineups":{"home":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":11365,"name":"Kristian Tomov","position":"G","number":81,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11343,"name":"Ertan Tombak","position":"D","number":50,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":62159,"name":"Luciano Squadrone","position":"D","number":5,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11345,"name":"Zhivko Atanasov","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11025,"name":"Ventsislav Kerchev","position":"D","number":37,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11392,"name":"Aleksandar Todorov","position":"M","number":14,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11364,"name":"David Teles","position":"M","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":63751,"name":"Miguel Barandas","position":"F","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11355,"name":"Vasil Panayotov","position":"M","number":71,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11360,"name":"Celso Sidney","position":"F","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11363,"name":"Georgi Lazarov","position":"F","number":19,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":40743,"name":"Mohamed Achi","position":"M","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11357,"name":"Asen Donchev","position":"D","number":8,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":23044,"name":"Georgi Ventsislavov","position":"D","number":93,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":3324,"name":"Damyan Hristov","position":"G","number":31,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11366,"name":"João Bandaro","position":"D","number":26,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":217781,"name":"Nestorly Lumbu","position":"D","number":44,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11490,"name":"Emanuil Nyagolov","position":"D","number":13,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":62158,"name":"Martin Banev","position":"M","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11369,"name":"Nikolay Petrov  Kostadinov","position":"M","number":22,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11780,"name":"Ivan Tasev","position":"M","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":12039,"name":"Kristiyan Mihaylov","position":"F","number":34,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11361,"name":"Jorge Padilla","position":"F","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false}]},"away":{"formation":"4-2-3-1","players":[{"id":11284,"name":"Marin Orlinov","position":"G","number":94,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":122086,"name":"Aleksandar Buchkov","position":"D","number":25,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11289,"name":"Milen Stoev","position":"D","number":36,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":142085,"name":"Martin Dimitrov","position":"D","number":21,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11291,"name":"Ivan Goranov","position":"D","number":4,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11301,"name":"Radoslav Tsonev","position":"M","number":7,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11295,"name":"Iliya Yurukov","position":"M","number":12,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11298,"name":"Vladislav Naydenov","position":"M","number":97,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11303,"name":"José Gallegos","position":"M","number":10,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11293,"name":"Sainey Sanyang","position":"D","number":3,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11305,"name":"Martin Petkov","position":"F","number":79,"captain":false,"starting":true},{"id":11825,"name":"Martin Achkov","position":"D","number":11,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11945,"name":"Filip Gigov","position":"F","number":90,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11311,"name":"Kassim Hadji","position":"M","number":81,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11315,"name":"Lyubomir Vasilev","position":"G","number":98,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11319,"name":"Lazar Boyanov","position":"D","number":88,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11307,"name":"Daniel Genov","position":"M","number":9,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":65721,"name":"Abdullah Kichukov","position":"M","number":6,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":74055,"name":"Samuil Mechev","position":"M","number":17,"captain":false,"starting":false},{"id":11418,"name":"Martin Smolenski","position":"M","number":24,"captain":false,"starting":false}]}}},"colors":{"home":"#5686ba","away":"#0a7626"},"venue":{"name":"Ticha Stadium","city":"Varna","capacity":6250},"pulled":[],"published":[]}