{"id":211363,"league_id":14,"league":"Pro League","kickoff":1789912800,"home":"Sint-Truidense VV","away":"KVC Westerlo","home_id":244,"away_id":241,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[0,2],"colors":{"home":"#0d61a2","away":null},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","model_prob":0.844,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.13. The model reads this as a 3.18-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. And KVC Westerlo lost the reverse fixture 0-4, and sides beaten that heavily tend to turn up better than their form suggests. Put together, the expectation is more than 1.5 goals in it. We make it 84% at 1.13. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":2,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal in it. Right, but there was nothing spare."}}]}