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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Willem II Tilburg are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.19,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"PEC Zwolle are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.05,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"134 yellow cards in this referee's last 42 games, where 125 would be usual in this league, and 8 reds.","evidence":{"matches":42,"yellows_per_match":3.19,"reds_per_match":0.19,"league_yellows_per_match":2.98,"league_reds_per_match":0.122,"yellow_ratio":1.07,"red_ratio":1.56},"strength":0.1,"moves":[{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":1.6}]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 130 km for PEC Zwolle.","evidence":{"travel_km":130},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":10.1,"temperature_c":6,"description":"unknown"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.05789964468039725},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":"Neither of these is in good shape underneath the results. Willem II Tilburg have been out-created in eight of their last ten games. And they have conceded 35 in their last ten from chances that would usually cost about 23. They have been punished for very little. As for the other side, PEC Zwolle have been out-created in six of their last ten games. The side that stops giving up the better chances first takes this one.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6934,"created_at":"2026-10-31T02:15:20Z","event":{"id":210898,"event_date":"2026-11-06T19:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":2053,"home_team":"Willem II Tilburg","away_team_id":177,"away_team":"PEC Zwolle","league_id":10,"league_name":"Eredivisie"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":41.3,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4131,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":210898,"event_date":"2026-11-06T19:00:00Z","home_team":"Willem II Tilburg","away_team":"PEC Zwolle","polymarket_event_id":"1250918","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":3270.699221,"volume_1wk":3485.999846,"volume_1mo":3485.999846,"volume_1yr":3485.999846,"open_interest":4134.859507,"liquidity_clob":41382.1349,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.28,"best_ask":0.29,"change_1d":-0.04,"change_1wk":-0.03,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.09,"Willem II Tilburg 0 - 0 PEC Zwolle":0.055,"Willem II Tilburg 0 - 1 PEC Zwolle":0.085,"Willem II Tilburg 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle":0.0695,"Willem II Tilburg 0 - 3 PEC Zwolle":0.039,"Willem II Tilburg 0 - 4 PEC Zwolle":0.013,"Willem II Tilburg 0 - 5 PEC Zwolle":0.085,"Willem II Tilburg 1 - 0 PEC Zwolle":0.065,"Willem II Tilburg 1 - 1 PEC Zwolle":0.12,"Willem II Tilburg 1 - 2 PEC Zwolle":0.095,"Willem II Tilburg 1 - 3 PEC Zwolle":0.051,"Willem II Tilburg 1 - 4 PEC Zwolle":0.02,"Willem II Tilburg 1 - 5 PEC Zwolle":0.0805,"Willem II Tilburg 2 - 0 PEC Zwolle":0.04,"Willem II Tilburg 2 - 1 PEC Zwolle":0.075,"Willem II Tilburg 2 - 2 PEC Zwolle":0.065,"Willem II Tilburg 2 - 3 PEC Zwolle":0.0355,"Willem II Tilburg 2 - 4 PEC Zwolle":0.013,"Willem II Tilburg 2 - 5 PEC Zwolle":0.0255,"Willem II Tilburg 3 - 0 PEC Zwolle":0.0175,"Willem II Tilburg 3 - 1 PEC Zwolle":0.0285,"Willem II Tilburg 3 - 2 PEC Zwolle":0.0255,"Willem II Tilburg 3 - 3 PEC Zwolle":0.0155,"Willem II Tilburg 3 - 4 PEC Zwolle":0.026,"Willem II Tilburg 3 - 5 PEC Zwolle":0.085,"Willem II Tilburg 4 - 0 PEC Zwolle":0.024,"Willem II Tilburg 4 - 1 PEC Zwolle":0.0105,"Willem II Tilburg 4 - 2 PEC Zwolle":0.0125,"Willem II Tilburg 4 - 3 PEC Zwolle":0.024,"Willem II Tilburg 4 - 4 PEC Zwolle":0.005,"Willem II Tilburg 4 - 5 PEC Zwolle":0.08,"Willem II Tilburg 5 - 0 PEC Zwolle":0.075,"Willem II Tilburg 5 - 1 PEC Zwolle":0.085,"Willem II Tilburg 5 - 2 PEC Zwolle":0.033,"Willem II Tilburg 5 - 3 PEC Zwolle":0.085,"Willem II Tilburg 5 - 4 PEC Zwolle":0.08,"Willem II Tilburg 5 - 5 PEC Zwolle":0.005},"updated_at":"2026-11-06T12:57:06Z"}},"computed_at":1793981299,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#cd9a23","away":"#48b8ea"},"venue":{"name":"Koning Willem II Stadion","city":"Tilburg","capacity":14637},"pulled":[],"published":[]}