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PEC Zwolle sit 15th, but their position masks deep trouble. Opponents have constructed superior opportunities against Zwolle in seven of their past ten matches, hitting six or more shots on target against them in four of their last six outings. Losing Sherel Constancio Floranus in defense leaves them with even less protection. ADO Den Haag occupy 17th in the bottom three and have suffered three defeats in their previous six fixtures, but their football is rising. They are crafting far higher quality openings over their last four matches. Top scorer Nigel Thomas, who scored twice in a 2-3 defeat on 24 October, provides the clinical finishing to settle it.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6638,"created_at":"2026-10-26T02:15:18Z","event":{"id":210894,"event_date":"2026-11-01T11:15:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":177,"home_team":"PEC Zwolle","away_team_id":1319,"away_team":"ADO Den Haag","league_id":10,"league_name":"Eredivisie"},"markets":{"match_result":{"prob_home":42,"prob_draw":25.6,"prob_away":32.4,"predicted":"H"},"expected_goals":{"home":1.76,"away":1.46},"over_under":{"prob_over_15":80.2,"prob_over_25":59.2,"prob_over_35":38.2},"btts":{"prob_yes":62.1},"score":{"most_likely":"1-1"},"draw_no_bet":{"prob_home":59.1},"corners":{"prob_over_85":60.8,"prob_over_95":49,"prob_over_105":37.4}},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":42,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.42,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":210894,"event_date":"2026-11-01T11:15:00Z","home_team":"PEC Zwolle","away_team":"ADO Den Haag","polymarket_event_id":"1294111","markets":{"1x2":{"home":0.395,"draw":0.255,"away":0.345},"btts":{"yes":0.265,"no":0.735},"over_under":{"over_15":0.43,"under_15":0.57,"over_25":0.37,"under_25":0.63,"over_35":0.375,"under_35":0.625,"over_45":0.35,"under_45":0.65},"halftime":{"home":0.335,"draw":0.385,"away":0.285},"handicap":{"home_minus_15":0.195,"away_minus_15":0.16,"home_minus_25":0.085,"away_minus_25":0.055}},"liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":null,"liquidity_clob":84967.6017,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.39,"best_ask":0.4,"change_1d":-0.03,"change_1wk":-0.035,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":[{"price":0.06,"player":"Tobias Sommer"},{"price":0.1,"player":"Gilles van der Wal"},{"price":0.045,"player":"Damian van der Haar"},{"price":0.085,"player":"Olivier Aertssen"},{"price":0.055,"player":"Nick Viergever"},{"price":0.11,"player":"Dylan Mbayo"},{"price":0.27,"player":"Sydney van Hooijdonk"},{"price":0.0355,"player":"Simon Graves Jensen"},{"price":0.125,"player":"Younes Namli"},{"price":0.045,"player":"Ryan Thomas"},{"price":0.1,"player":"Milan Hokke"},{"price":0.115,"player":"Matěj Šín"},{"price":0.085,"player":"Jalen Hawkins"},{"price":0.1,"player":"Nigel Thomas"},{"price":0.085,"player":"Pascal Mulder"},{"price":0.055,"player":"Juho Teemu Kilo"},{"price":0.26,"player":"Yannick Eduardo"},{"price":0.07,"player":"Jonas Abbew"},{"price":0.125,"player":"Evan Rottier"},{"price":0.0355,"player":"Matteo Waem"}],"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.125,"PEC Zwolle 0 - 0 ADO Den Haag":0.0465,"PEC Zwolle 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag":0.06,"PEC Zwolle 0 - 2 ADO Den Haag":0.0435,"PEC Zwolle 0 - 3 ADO Den Haag":0.022,"PEC Zwolle 0 - 4 ADO Den Haag":0.1385,"PEC Zwolle 0 - 5 ADO Den Haag":0.1145,"PEC Zwolle 1 - 0 ADO Den Haag":0.065,"PEC Zwolle 1 - 1 ADO Den Haag":0.115,"PEC Zwolle 1 - 2 ADO Den Haag":0.08,"PEC Zwolle 1 - 3 ADO Den Haag":0.036,"PEC Zwolle 1 - 4 ADO Den Haag":0.0125,"PEC Zwolle 1 - 5 ADO Den Haag":0.13,"PEC Zwolle 2 - 0 ADO Den Haag":0.05,"PEC Zwolle 2 - 1 ADO Den Haag":0.09,"PEC Zwolle 2 - 2 ADO Den Haag":0.075,"PEC Zwolle 2 - 3 ADO Den Haag":0.032,"PEC Zwolle 2 - 4 ADO Den Haag":0.0115,"PEC Zwolle 2 - 5 ADO Den Haag":0.046,"PEC Zwolle 3 - 0 ADO Den Haag":0.0315,"PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 ADO Den Haag":0.0455,"PEC Zwolle 3 - 2 ADO Den Haag":0.0375,"PEC Zwolle 3 - 3 ADO Den Haag":0.0195,"PEC Zwolle 3 - 4 ADO Den Haag":0.0395,"PEC Zwolle 3 - 5 ADO Den Haag":0.2345,"PEC Zwolle 4 - 0 ADO Den Haag":0.0135,"PEC Zwolle 4 - 1 ADO Den Haag":0.0245,"PEC Zwolle 4 - 2 ADO Den Haag":0.013,"PEC Zwolle 4 - 3 ADO Den Haag":0.1395,"PEC Zwolle 4 - 4 ADO Den Haag":0.0355,"PEC Zwolle 4 - 5 ADO Den Haag":0.146,"PEC Zwolle 5 - 0 ADO Den Haag":0.13,"PEC Zwolle 5 - 1 ADO Den Haag":0.115,"PEC Zwolle 5 - 2 ADO Den Haag":0.035,"PEC Zwolle 5 - 3 ADO Den Haag":0.135,"PEC Zwolle 5 - 4 ADO Den Haag":0.147,"PEC Zwolle 5 - 5 ADO Den Haag":0.0395},"updated_at":"2026-11-01T10:57:07Z"}},"computed_at":1793531330,"report":{"fetched_at":1793622461,"ht":null,"attendance":null,"highlights":[],"events":[],"players":[],"stats":null,"lineups":null},"colors":{"home":"#48b8ea","away":"#0b8544"},"venue":{"name":"Mac3Park Stadion","city":"Zwolle","capacity":14000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}