{"id":210860,"league_id":10,"league":"Eredivisie","kickoff":1789915500,"home":"NEC Nijmegen","away":"Go Ahead Eagles","home_id":171,"away_id":139,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[1,1],"colors":{"home":"#ec1a1a","away":"#dcba12"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","model_prob":0.87,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.11. Expected goals total 3.44 against a line of 1.5: above it, which is the call. On top of that, recent results for Go Ahead Eagles were collected under someone else's instructions, which is the whole reason to discount them. Before anyone treats this as settled, NEC Nijmegen have had only 2.8 days since their last match. Put together, the expectation is more than 1.5 goals in it. We make it 87% at 1.11. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":2,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal in it. Right, but there was nothing spare."}}]}