{"id":210477,"league_id":6,"league":"Ligue 1","kickoff":1789917300,"home":"Nice","away":"Lille","home_id":103,"away_id":106,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,1],"colors":{"home":"#ba9766","away":"#24226a"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.29,"bookmaker":"betfair","model_prob":0.736,"narrative":"Expect goals in this one because both backlines are looking vulnerable. Nice are in trouble after losing two of their last six, and missing four players makes matters worse. Antoine Mendy is out for Nice with a cruciate ligament problem, while the new manager has had just four games in charge at Nice. Can Lille capitalise? They travel well and have won three of their last six. However, the new manager is still settling in at Lille, and Tanguy Nianzou is out for Lille with a knock problem. Both sides have kept three clean sheets in six, but these defensive disruptions mean goals are coming.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":"as we read it","expected_total":2.38,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":1.29,"line":"The game went almost exactly as we read it."}},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"X2","line":null,"odds":1.31,"bookmaker":"1xBet","model_prob":0.734,"narrative":"Double chance X2 at 1.31. A couple either way, with Lille carrying the bulk of it. The shape of the match is what this call reads. On top of that, Nice are 4 games into a new regime, and the early bounce has not yet reverted. On that evidence, Lille avoiding defeat. Three times in four, and the market has read it the same way — which is worth knowing rather than worth arguing with.","why":null,"result":"LOST","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"missed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal away from settling the other way."}}]}