{"id":210473,"league_id":6,"league":"Ligue 1","kickoff":1789757100,"home":"AS Monaco","away":"RC Lens","home_id":101,"away_id":99,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,1],"colors":{"home":"#d11139","away":"#a71a1b"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.167,"bookmaker":"Bet365","model_prob":0.813,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. The model reads this as a 3.28-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. On top of that, the manager is 4 games into the job at RC Lens, inside the window where a change of voice still lifts output. Add it up and more than 1.5 goals in it is what this points to. 81% likely, returning 17p in the pound. The confidence is the point here, not the payout.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}}]}