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yet.","evidence":{"games_left":27,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":12,"points":13,"games_left":27,"gap_to_leader":15,"gap_to_safety":5,"gap_to_europe":7},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":6,"points":20,"games_left":27,"gap_to_leader":8,"gap_to_safety":12,"gap_to_europe":0},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"THIN","note":"No reverse fixture on record this season, so there is no revenge angle to read.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Fabio Pisacane has 24 matches in charge at Cagliari, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Fabio 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them.","evidence":{"daysRest":6,"matchesIn7":1,"matchesIn14":3,"days_rest":6},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.143,"defence":-0.062,"effective_matches":14.6,"shrunk":0.35},"away":{"attack":0.225,"defence":-0.16,"effective_matches":7.9,"shrunk":0.5}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":42.5,"shots":11.3,"xg_per_shot":0.106,"corners":4,"corners_per_shot":0.356,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.27},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":46.7,"shots":18.8,"xg_per_shot":0.093,"corners":6.4,"corners_per_shot":0.341,"finishing_vs_xg":0.5},"possession_gap":-4.2},"strength":0.167,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Cagliari have scored 3 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.27,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Frosinone have scored 6 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.5,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"64 yellow cards in this referee's last 14 games, where 47 would be usual in this league, and 4 reds. — though 14 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":14,"yellows_per_match":4.57,"reds_per_match":0.286,"league_yellows_per_match":3.39,"league_reds_per_match":0.163,"yellow_ratio":1.35,"red_ratio":1.75,"sample":14,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 447 km for Frosinone.","evidence":{"travel_km":447},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":13.7,"temperature_c":21,"description":"unknown"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.05587109887311235},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7127,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":210158,"event_date":"2026-11-07T14:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":67,"home_team":"Cagliari","away_team_id":1277,"away_team":"Frosinone","league_id":4,"league_name":"Serie A"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":39.2,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.392,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":210158,"event_date":"2026-11-07T14:00:00Z","home_team":"Cagliari","away_team":"Frosinone","polymarket_event_id":"1283575","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":401,"liquidity_clob":38026.4521,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.35,"best_ask":0.36,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":-0.015,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.155,"Cagliari Calcio 0 - 0 Frosinone Calcio":0.04,"Cagliari Calcio 0 - 1 Frosinone Calcio":0.06,"Cagliari Calcio 0 - 2 Frosinone Calcio":0.0515,"Cagliari Calcio 0 - 3 Frosinone Calcio":0.0295,"Cagliari Calcio 0 - 4 Frosinone Calcio":0.007,"Cagliari Calcio 0 - 5 Frosinone Calcio":0.0105,"Cagliari Calcio 1 - 0 Frosinone Calcio":0.06,"Cagliari Calcio 1 - 1 Frosinone Calcio":0.115,"Cagliari Calcio 1 - 2 Frosinone Calcio":0.09,"Cagliari Calcio 1 - 3 Frosinone Calcio":0.05,"Cagliari Calcio 1 - 4 Frosinone Calcio":0.0135,"Cagliari Calcio 1 - 5 Frosinone Calcio":0.012,"Cagliari Calcio 2 - 0 Frosinone Calcio":0.0465,"Cagliari Calcio 2 - 1 Frosinone Calcio":0.08,"Cagliari Calcio 2 - 2 Frosinone Calcio":0.075,"Cagliari Calcio 2 - 3 Frosinone Calcio":0.0395,"Cagliari Calcio 2 - 4 Frosinone Calcio":0.0095,"Cagliari Calcio 2 - 5 Frosinone Calcio":0.0115,"Cagliari Calcio 3 - 0 Frosinone Calcio":0.0245,"Cagliari Calcio 3 - 1 Frosinone Calcio":0.042,"Cagliari Calcio 3 - 2 Frosinone Calcio":0.037,"Cagliari Calcio 3 - 3 Frosinone Calcio":0.02,"Cagliari Calcio 3 - 4 Frosinone Calcio":0.0085,"Cagliari Calcio 3 - 5 Frosinone Calcio":0.024,"Cagliari Calcio 4 - 0 Frosinone Calcio":0.0095,"Cagliari Calcio 4 - 1 Frosinone Calcio":0.013,"Cagliari Calcio 4 - 2 Frosinone Calcio":0.009,"Cagliari Calcio 4 - 3 Frosinone Calcio":0.0085,"Cagliari Calcio 4 - 4 Frosinone Calcio":0.004,"Cagliari Calcio 4 - 5 Frosinone Calcio":0.1755,"Cagliari Calcio 5 - 0 Frosinone Calcio":0.007,"Cagliari Calcio 5 - 1 Frosinone Calcio":0.012,"Cagliari Calcio 5 - 2 Frosinone Calcio":0.011,"Cagliari Calcio 5 - 3 Frosinone Calcio":0.024,"Cagliari Calcio 5 - 4 Frosinone Calcio":0.18,"Cagliari Calcio 5 - 5 Frosinone Calcio":0.037},"updated_at":"2026-11-06T14:57:31Z"}},"computed_at":1793981309,"verdicts":[{"narrative":"Frosinone should struggle despite their recent form as their defensive fragility invites disaster. They allow at least six efforts on target in most matches, suggesting they are constantly being torn apart. While they have won four of their last six, the absence of their top scorer removes a massive chunk of their creative spark. Without the man who netted a hat-trick against Sassuolo and four goals in his last five, their ability to punish opponents vanishes. Cagliari face personnel issues too, but Frosinone will find the net much harder to locate. The result will hinge on whether Cagliari can exploit that leaky backline.","drivers":[{"id":"availability.home.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Cagliari are without 7 players, and M'bala Nzola and Alieu Fadera are real losses.","evidence":{"count":7,"measured":5,"combined_goal_share":0.222,"combined_importance":0.325,"players":[{"player":"M'bala Nzola","role":"ATT","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0.222,"importance":0.103,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5},{"player":"Alieu Fadera","role":"ATT","reason":"Thigh Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.1,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5},{"player":"Adam Obert","role":"DEF","reason":"yellow_or_red_card_suspension","goal_share":0,"importance":0.09,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":6},{"player":"Harry Winks","role":"MID","reason":"Muscle Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.03,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10},{"player":"Mattia Felici","role":"ATT","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.002,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":5},{"player":"Riyad Idrissi","role":"DEF","reason":"Cruciate Ligament Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":6},{"player":"Alessandro Deiola","role":"MID","reason":"Head Injury","goal_share":0,"importance":0.05,"measured":false,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":10}]},"strength":0.813,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":-2.6},{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":1.1},{"channel":"corners","side":"home","pct":-1.2},{"channel":"cards","side":"both","pct":0.6}]},{"id":"availability.away.absences","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Frosinone are without 1 player, and Antonio Raimondo is a real loss.","evidence":{"count":1,"measured":1,"combined_goal_share":0.333,"combined_importance":0.278,"players":[{"player":"Antonio Raimondo","role":"ATT","reason":"Ankle Injury","goal_share":0.333,"importance":0.278,"measured":true,"doubtful":false,"cover_at_position":6,"tags":["top_scorer","in_form"]}]},"strength":0.695,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":-2.8},{"channel":"corners","side":"away","pct":-1.4}]}],"set_aside":[]}],"locked":true,"plan":"monthly","locked_calls":1,"colors":{"home":"#b00f23","away":"#1a4e9a"},"venue":{"name":"Unipol Domus","city":"Cagliari","capacity":16416},"pulled":[],"published":[]}