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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Fulham have scored 6 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.5,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Newcastle United are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.13,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"145 yellow cards in this referee's last 36 games, where 144 would be usual in this league, and 1 red.","evidence":{"matches":36,"yellows_per_match":4.03,"reds_per_match":0.028,"league_yellows_per_match":4.01,"league_reds_per_match":0.175,"yellow_ratio":1.01,"red_ratio":0.16},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 401 km for Newcastle United.","evidence":{"travel_km":401},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":5.4,"temperature_c":9,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.20967274206900563},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Fulham will control the tempo as their superior process outweighs the visitors’ recent struggles. While the home side creates high quality chances, they are underperforming their output in front of goal. Those finishing woes will vanish soon. Conversely, the visitors fire from distance far too often, creating little of substance despite high volume. Fulham suffer without their primary creative spark in midfield, forcing them to adjust their build up. Meanwhile, the visitors lack depth in central areas and attack, leaving them thin across the pitch. Because Fulham sustain better attacking positions, they will overwhelm a visiting team that has lost four of their last six. The efficiency of the final ball remains the decider.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7093,"created_at":"2026-11-01T02:15:23Z","event":{"id":209629,"event_date":"2026-11-07T15:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":6,"home_team":"Fulham","away_team_id":4,"away_team":"Newcastle United","league_id":1,"league_name":"Premier League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":45.8,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4581,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":209629,"event_date":"2026-11-07T15:00:00Z","home_team":"Fulham","away_team":"Newcastle United","polymarket_event_id":"1283770","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":null,"liquidity_clob":49615.7131,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.46,"best_ask":0.47,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":0.035,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.105,"Fulham FC 0 - 0 Newcastle United FC":0.0545,"Fulham FC 0 - 1 Newcastle United FC":0.055,"Fulham FC 0 - 2 Newcastle United FC":0.0365,"Fulham FC 0 - 3 Newcastle United FC":0.0155,"Fulham FC 0 - 4 Newcastle United FC":0.0045,"Fulham FC 0 - 5 Newcastle United FC":0.0085,"Fulham FC 1 - 0 Newcastle United FC":0.085,"Fulham FC 1 - 1 Newcastle United FC":0.12,"Fulham FC 1 - 2 Newcastle United FC":0.065,"Fulham FC 1 - 3 Newcastle United FC":0.028,"Fulham FC 1 - 4 Newcastle United FC":0.009,"Fulham FC 1 - 5 Newcastle United FC":0.0045,"Fulham FC 2 - 0 Newcastle United FC":0.07,"Fulham FC 2 - 1 Newcastle United FC":0.1,"Fulham FC 2 - 2 Newcastle United FC":0.065,"Fulham FC 2 - 3 Newcastle United FC":0.0255,"Fulham FC 2 - 4 Newcastle United FC":0.0095,"Fulham FC 2 - 5 Newcastle United FC":0.008,"Fulham FC 3 - 0 Newcastle United FC":0.04,"Fulham FC 3 - 1 Newcastle United FC":0.055,"Fulham FC 3 - 2 Newcastle United FC":0.036,"Fulham FC 3 - 3 Newcastle United FC":0.017,"Fulham FC 3 - 4 Newcastle United FC":0.0055,"Fulham FC 3 - 5 Newcastle United FC":0.12,"Fulham FC 4 - 0 Newcastle United FC":0.0095,"Fulham FC 4 - 1 Newcastle United FC":0.021,"Fulham FC 4 - 2 Newcastle United FC":0.0085,"Fulham FC 4 - 3 Newcastle United FC":0.0075,"Fulham FC 4 - 4 Newcastle United FC":0.003,"Fulham FC 4 - 5 Newcastle United FC":0.13,"Fulham FC 5 - 0 Newcastle United FC":0.0075,"Fulham FC 5 - 1 Newcastle United FC":0.0095,"Fulham FC 5 - 2 Newcastle United FC":0.007,"Fulham FC 5 - 3 Newcastle United FC":0.0095,"Fulham FC 5 - 4 Newcastle United FC":0.122,"Fulham FC 5 - 5 Newcastle United FC":0.04},"updated_at":"2026-11-06T10:57:30Z"}},"computed_at":1793981313,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#b70f0f","away":"#11a2d3"},"venue":{"name":"Craven Cottage","city":"London","capacity":29600},"pulled":[],"published":[]}