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yet.","evidence":{"games_left":28,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":18,"points":7,"games_left":28,"gap_to_leader":17,"gap_to_safety":0,"gap_to_europe":7},"away":{"state":"mid_table","position":5,"points":15,"games_left":28,"gap_to_leader":9,"gap_to_safety":8,"gap_to_europe":-1},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 3-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":-2},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.established","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Pierre Sage has 28 matches in charge at Crystal Palace, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.","evidence":{"manager":"Pierre 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Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.20967274206900563},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":7340,"created_at":"2026-11-02T02:15:26Z","event":{"id":209627,"event_date":"2026-11-08T14:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":14,"home_team":"Crystal Palace","away_team_id":1,"away_team":"Liverpool FC","league_id":1,"league_name":"Premier League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":60.5,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.6046,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":209627,"event_date":"2026-11-08T14:00:00Z","home_team":"Crystal Palace","away_team":"Liverpool FC","polymarket_event_id":"1288959","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":null,"liquidity_clob":57031.6131,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":0.16,"best_ask":0.17,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":-0.045,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":{"Any Other Score":0.13,"Crystal Palace FC 0 - 0 Liverpool FC":0.045,"Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 Liverpool FC":0.09,"Crystal Palace FC 0 - 2 Liverpool FC":0.095,"Crystal Palace FC 0 - 3 Liverpool FC":0.0665,"Crystal Palace FC 0 - 4 Liverpool FC":0.02,"Crystal Palace FC 0 - 5 Liverpool FC":0.016,"Crystal Palace FC 1 - 0 Liverpool FC":0.0405,"Crystal Palace FC 1 - 1 Liverpool FC":0.105,"Crystal Palace FC 1 - 2 Liverpool FC":0.105,"Crystal Palace FC 1 - 3 Liverpool FC":0.075,"Crystal Palace FC 1 - 4 Liverpool FC":0.023,"Crystal Palace FC 1 - 5 Liverpool FC":0.008,"Crystal Palace FC 2 - 0 Liverpool FC":0.02,"Crystal Palace FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC":0.0465,"Crystal Palace FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC":0.055,"Crystal Palace FC 2 - 3 Liverpool FC":0.04,"Crystal Palace FC 2 - 4 Liverpool FC":0.011,"Crystal Palace FC 2 - 5 Liverpool FC":0.0095,"Crystal Palace FC 3 - 0 Liverpool FC":0.008,"Crystal Palace FC 3 - 1 Liverpool FC":0.0155,"Crystal Palace FC 3 - 2 Liverpool FC":0.0175,"Crystal Palace FC 3 - 3 Liverpool FC":0.015,"Crystal Palace FC 3 - 4 Liverpool FC":0.0085,"Crystal Palace FC 3 - 5 Liverpool FC":0.011,"Crystal Palace FC 4 - 0 Liverpool FC":0.008,"Crystal Palace FC 4 - 1 Liverpool FC":0.0045,"Crystal Palace FC 4 - 2 Liverpool FC":0.0055,"Crystal Palace FC 4 - 3 Liverpool FC":0.004,"Crystal Palace FC 4 - 4 Liverpool FC":0.0035,"Crystal Palace FC 4 - 5 Liverpool FC":0.146,"Crystal Palace FC 5 - 0 Liverpool FC":0.034,"Crystal Palace FC 5 - 1 Liverpool FC":0.027,"Crystal Palace FC 5 - 2 Liverpool FC":0.023,"Crystal Palace FC 5 - 3 Liverpool FC":0.12,"Crystal Palace FC 5 - 4 Liverpool FC":0.16,"Crystal Palace FC 5 - 5 Liverpool FC":0.049},"updated_at":"2026-11-07T09:57:38Z"}},"computed_at":1794046768,"verdicts":[{"narrative":"Liverpool will bully a struggling Crystal Palace side that cannot find its way out of the bottom three. The visitors have won three of their last six games, while their hosts suffer through a poor run of three losses in that same time. Palace are missing a key threat up front with their goalscorer out until 20 November. Without that outlet, Palace will struggle to keep the ball or relieve pressure. Liverpool are missing six players in all, but the historical record of 22 wins for the Reds suggests they find a way to dictate the rhythm. Even without a midfielder who has two assists, Liverpool have too much. Liverpool's superior depth decides it.","drivers":[],"set_aside":[{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.705,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.295,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":45.4,"shots":10.5,"xg_per_shot":0.113,"corners":4.1,"corners_per_shot":0.389,"finishing_vs_xg":0.06},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":51.9,"shots":16.3,"xg_per_shot":0.101,"corners":6.8,"corners_per_shot":0.418,"finishing_vs_xg":0.26},"possession_gap":-6.5},"strength":0.26,"moves":[]}]}],"locked":true,"plan":"monthly","locked_calls":1,"colors":{"home":"#0d5aa3","away":"#e51b24"},"venue":{"name":"Selhurst Park","city":"London","capacity":25456},"pulled":[],"published":[]}