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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Bournemouth are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.02,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Leeds United are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.02,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"105 yellow cards in this referee's last 27 games, where 106 would be usual in this league, and 4 reds. — though 27 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":27,"yellows_per_match":3.89,"reds_per_match":0.148,"league_yellows_per_match":3.94,"league_reds_per_match":0.156,"yellow_ratio":0.99,"red_ratio":0.95,"sample":27,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Routine trip of 340 km for Leeds United.","evidence":{"travel_km":340},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":20.4,"temperature_c":11,"description":"clear"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.18930167671370482},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":"Bournemouth look far too strong at home for a Leeds side that travels badly. The Cherries are actually better than their results suggest, creating higher quality openings in eight of their last ten games. They are trending up right now and their chance creation has spiked over the last four games. Leeds have lost two of their last six and will struggle to cope without Joe Rodon to steady their defense. This makes them vulnerable to Marcus Tavernier, who has six goals this season and finds space easily. Even with this being their fourth game in a fortnight, the home side will control the ball. Bournemouth's record of five clean sheets in six will be the deciding factor.","external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":6352,"created_at":"2026-10-25T02:15:17Z","event":{"id":209616,"event_date":"2026-10-31T15:00:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":2,"home_team":"Bournemouth","away_team_id":19,"away_team":"Leeds United","league_id":1,"league_name":"Premier League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":44.3,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4431,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}},"polymarket":{"event_id":209616,"event_date":"2026-10-31T15:00:00Z","home_team":"Bournemouth","away_team":"Leeds United","polymarket_event_id":"1241167","liquidity":{"volume_24hr":null,"volume_1wk":null,"volume_1mo":null,"volume_1yr":null,"open_interest":434.999999,"liquidity_clob":null,"liquidity_amm":null},"pricing":{"best_bid":null,"best_ask":null,"change_1d":null,"change_1wk":null,"change_1mo":null},"goalscorers":null,"exact_scores":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-30T15:57:24Z"}},"computed_at":1793409475,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#bf1216","away":"#0d619f"},"venue":{"name":"Vitality Stadium","city":"Bournemouth","capacity":11307},"pulled":[],"published":[]}