{"id":209582,"league_id":1,"league":"Premier League","kickoff":1789826400,"home":"Newcastle United","away":"Hull City","home_id":4,"away_id":204,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,1],"colors":{"home":null,"away":null},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"1xBet","model_prob":0.815,"narrative":"Double chance 1X at 1.18. Expected goals split 1.81 to 1.24, 3.05 in the match. The shape of that total is what this call reads. Everything above points the same way: Newcastle United avoiding defeat. Call it 82%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","model_prob":0.8,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Expected goals total 3.05 against a line of 1.5: above it, which is the call. Take the lot together and more than 1.5 goals in it is the read. That puts it at 80%, priced 1.18 — a high-probability call rather than a claim the market is wrong.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}}]}