{"id":209581,"league_id":1,"league":"Premier League","kickoff":1789909200,"home":"Manchester City","away":"Sunderland","home_id":12,"away_id":7,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[5,3],"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#eb2639"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"draw_no_bet","outcome":"HOME","line":null,"odds":1.12,"bookmaker":"Betano","model_prob":0.869407496977025,"narrative":"Home draw-no-bet at 1.12. Manchester City project to score 2.5 times what Sunderland manage. Games that one-sided on paper usually are. One thing spoils the picture: Manchester City have had only 2.8 days since their last match. On that evidence, Manchester City coming out on top if there is a winner. That puts it at 87%, priced 1.12 — a high-probability call rather than a claim the market is wrong.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":8,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"12","line":null,"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"1xBet","model_prob":0.825,"narrative":"Double chance 12 at 1.18. It is not a clean case: Manchester City have had only 2.8 days since their last match. Put together, the expectation is a winner rather than a draw. Call it four times out of five. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":"busier","expected_total":2.61,"actual_total":8,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":1.18,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.15,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","model_prob":0.808,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.15. The model reads this as a 2.73-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. It is not a clean case: coming in on 2.8 days' rest, Manchester City arrive noticeably short of fresh. Take the lot together and more than 1.5 goals in it is the read. Call it 81%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":7,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":8,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}