{"id": 207852, "h2h": {"draws": 1, "away_wins": 4, "home_wins": 4, "away_goals": 10, "home_goals": 9, "away_win_rate": 0.4444444444444444, "home_win_rate": 0.4444444444444444, "total_matches": 9, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Orange County SC", "date": "2026-07-26T02:00:00+00:00", "home": "Monterey Bay FC", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 207718, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2237, "home_team_id": 2235}, {"away": "Orange County SC", "date": "2025-07-12T01:00:00+00:00", "home": "Monterey Bay FC", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 229641, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 2237, "home_team_id": 2235}, {"away": "Monterey Bay FC", "date": "2025-03-23T02:00:00+00:00", "home": "Orange County SC", "score": "0-3", "event_id": 229493, "away_score": 3, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2235, "home_team_id": 2237}, {"away": "Orange County SC", "date": "2024-09-22T02:00:00+00:00", "home": "Monterey Bay FC", "score": "0-0", "event_id": 239331, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2237, "home_team_id": 2235}, {"away": "Monterey Bay FC", "date": "2024-04-28T02:00:00+00:00", "home": "Orange County SC", "score": "2-0", "event_id": 239080, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 2235, "home_team_id": 2237}, {"away": "Orange County SC", "date": "2023-10-15T02:00:00+00:00", "home": "Monterey Bay FC", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 249663, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2237, "home_team_id": 2235}, {"away": "Monterey Bay FC", "date": "2023-07-02T02:00:00+00:00", "home": "Orange County SC", "score": "3-1", "event_id": 249455, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 2235, "home_team_id": 2237}, {"away": "Orange County SC", "date": "2022-09-08T02:30:00+00:00", "home": "Monterey Bay FC", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 261948, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2237, "home_team_id": 2235}, {"away": "Monterey Bay FC", "date": "2022-07-10T02:00:00+00:00", "home": "Orange County SC", "score": "0-2", "event_id": 261820, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2235, "home_team_id": 2237}], "avg_total_goals": 2.111111111111111}, "away": "Monterey Bay FC", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 0.5, "record": "0-3-3", "streak": "winless 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DLDDLL", "goals_for": 1, "venue_ppg": 0.33, "clean_sheets": 0, "goals_against": 1.67}, "home": {"ppg": 0.83, "record": "1-2-3", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LDDLLW", "goals_for": 0.67, "venue_ppg": 1, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 2.5}}, "home": "Orange County SC", "pass": "Orange County SC v Monterey Bay FC is one to leave alone. The bookmakers have this one about right, so there is nothing to take.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Orange County SC to edge it"}, "flags": [{"id": "form.away", "note": "Monterey Bay FC have taken 0.50 points a game from their last 6 (0W 3D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7, and 0.33 a game on the road.", "section": "§2.1"}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Dekel Keinan is 1 game into the job at Orange County SC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "section": "§1.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Irvine", "name": "Championship Soccer Stadium", "capacity": 5500}, "colors": {"away": null, "home": null}, "extras": null, "lambda": [1.83, 1.23], "league": "USL Championship", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Orange County SC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Monterey Bay FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.805, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.195}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 1-2, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.bounce", "note": "Dekel Keinan is 1 game into the job at Orange County SC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 5.2, "side": "home", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 3, "manager": "Dekel Keinan", "tenure_days": 7, "matches_in_charge": 1, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 3, "before_ppm": 0.9}}, "strength": 0.583}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Alex Covelo has 26 matches in charge at Monterey Bay FC, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.69, "manager": "Alex Covelo", "tenure_days": 210, "matches_in_charge": 26, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.5, "before_ppm": 0.7}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Orange County SC come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7, "days_rest": 7, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Monterey Bay FC come in on 7 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7, "days_rest": 7, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 1}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.133, "shrunk": 0.33, "defence": -0.162, "effective_matches": 16.1}, "home": {"attack": -0.005, "shrunk": 0.33, "defence": -0.187, "effective_matches": 16.6}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 10.7, "corners": 4.3, "matches": 12, "possession": 51.9, "xg_per_shot": 0.085, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.18, "corners_per_shot": 0.406}, "home": {"shots": 9.1, "corners": 3.8, "matches": 12, "possession": 49.4, "xg_per_shot": 0.101, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.17, "corners_per_shot": 0.422}, "possession_gap": -2.5}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Orange County SC are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.17}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Monterey Bay FC are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.18}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 6.1, "description": "unknown", "temperature_c": 28}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.244178449025975}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 9960, "name": "Alex Rando", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53121, "name": "Ryan Doghman", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53120, "name": "Tom Brewitt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9803, "name": "Garrison Tubbs", "side": "home"}, {"id": 96046, "name": "Jaylin Lindsey", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53125, "name": "Christopher Hegardt", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53123, "name": "Stephen Kelly", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53205, "name": "Nico Benalcazar", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53124, "name": "Ousmane Sylla", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53128, "name": "Yaniv Bazini", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9807, "name": "Sydney Wathuta", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53129, "name": "Lyam MacKinnon", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53122, "name": "Efren Solis", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53206, "name": "Tyson Espy", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53257, "name": "Marcelo Palomino", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9370, "name": "Brandon Cambridge", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53314, "name": "Mataeo Bunbury", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53256, "name": "Kevin Partida", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53126, "name": "Ethan Zubak", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53130, "name": "Nicola Ciotta", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53119, "name": "Mouhamadou War", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53133, "name": "Apolo Marinch", "side": "home"}, {"id": 63620, "name": "Jerome Carter", "side": "home"}, {"id": 211377, "name": "Paul Ngoie", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53127, "name": "Grayson Doody", "side": "home"}, {"id": 60808, "name": "Finn O'Brien", "side": "home"}, {"id": 172572, "name": "Elijah Nelson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 60807, "name": "Joaquin Castro", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53131, "name": "Tetsuya Kadono", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53728, "name": "Jack Gentile", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53132, "name": "Jamir Johnson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9642, "name": "Jacob Jackson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53154, "name": "Stuart Ritchie", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53153, "name": "Kelsey Egwu", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9925, "name": "Zack Farnsworth", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53278, "name": "Joel Garcia", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53159, "name": "Ryuga Nakamura", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53155, "name": "Nick Ross", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9899, "name": "Fidel Barajas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9333, "name": "Sebastian Lletget", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9826, "name": "Omari Glasgow", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53157, "name": "Ilijah Paul", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53152, "name": "Nico Gordon", "side": "away"}, {"id": 35794, "name": "Quinton Elliot", "side": "away"}, {"id": 16810, "name": "Jacob Montes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53161, "name": "Wesley Leggett", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53151, "name": "Fernando Delgado", "side": "away"}, {"id": 18824, "name": "Diego Otoya", "side": "away"}, {"id": 18802, "name": "Judson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53162, "name": "Ciaran Dalton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 7814, "name": "Joseph Belmar", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53702, "name": "Facundo Canete", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53331, "name": "Angel Villasana", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53156, "name": "Eduardo Blancas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53279, "name": "Abdel Talabi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53158, "name": "Luka Malešević", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53301, "name": "Andres O'Neal", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53379, "name": "Diego Carbajal", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53300, "name": "Djimon Anderson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53703, "name": "Youssou Ndiaye", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53183, "name": "Adrian Rebollar", "side": "away"}, {"id": 211345, "name": "Julian Pakbaz", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53163, "name": "Riley Bidois", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9928, "name": "Anisse Saidi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 5589, "name": "Chris-Kévin Nadje", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 2235, "home_id": 2237, "kickoff": 1791079200, "lineups": {"away": {"players": 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"position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 53152, "name": "Nico Gordon", "ai_score": 0.548, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 35794, "name": "Quinton Elliot", "ai_score": 0.545, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 16810, "name": "Jacob Montes", "ai_score": 0.4, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53161, "name": "Wesley Leggett", "ai_score": 0.36, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53151, "name": "Fernando Delgado", "ai_score": 0.35, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 18824, "name": "Diego Otoya", "ai_score": 0.282, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 18802, "name": "Judson", "ai_score": 0.264, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53162, "name": "Ciaran Dalton", "ai_score": 0.243, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 7814, "name": "Joseph Belmar", "ai_score": 0.241, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53702, "name": "Facundo Canete", "ai_score": 0.221, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53331, "name": "Angel Villasana", "ai_score": 0.184, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53156, "name": "Eduardo Blancas", "ai_score": 0.137, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.836}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 9960, "name": "Alex Rando", "ai_score": 0.865, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 53121, "name": "Ryan Doghman", "ai_score": 0.727, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 53120, "name": "Tom Brewitt", "ai_score": 0.877, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 9803, "name": "Garrison Tubbs", "ai_score": 0.76, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 96046, "name": "Jaylin Lindsey", "ai_score": 0.468, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 53125, "name": "Christopher Hegardt", "ai_score": 0.81, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53123, "name": "Stephen Kelly", "ai_score": 0.727, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53205, "name": "Nico Benalcazar", "ai_score": 0.69, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 53124, "name": "Ousmane Sylla", "ai_score": 0.848, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53128, "name": "Yaniv Bazini", "ai_score": 0.695, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 9807, "name": "Sydney Wathuta", "ai_score": 0.337, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53129, "name": "Lyam MacKinnon", "ai_score": 0.583, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53122, "name": "Efren Solis", "ai_score": 0.473, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53206, "name": "Tyson Espy", "ai_score": 0.422, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 53257, "name": "Marcelo Palomino", "ai_score": 0.326, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 9370, "name": "Brandon Cambridge", "ai_score": 0.318, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53314, "name": "Mataeo Bunbury", "ai_score": 0.282, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53256, "name": "Kevin Partida", "ai_score": 0.271, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53126, "name": "Ethan Zubak", "ai_score": 0.26, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53130, "name": "Nicola Ciotta", "ai_score": 0.236, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 53119, "name": "Mouhamadou War", "ai_score": 0.233, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53133, "name": "Apolo Marinch", "ai_score": 0.228, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 63620, "name": "Jerome Carter", "ai_score": 0.136, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-4-2", "confidence": 0.805}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.805, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 52929, "name": "Rubio Rubin", "rank": 1, "goals": 16}, {"id": 52884, "name": "Darren Smith", "rank": 2, "goals": 13}, {"id": 53110, "name": "Khori Bennett", "rank": 3, "goals": 13}, {"id": 16867, "name": "Peter Wilson", "rank": 4, "goals": 13}, {"id": 52946, "name": "Ihsan Sacko", "rank": 5, "goals": 12}, {"id": 52985, "name": "Johnny Rodriguez", "rank": 6, "goals": 12}, {"id": 52866, "name": "Matt Myers", "rank": 7, "goals": 12}, {"id": 53143, "name": "Phillip Goodrum", "rank": 8, "goals": 11}, {"id": 52849, "name": "Greg Hurst", "rank": 9, "goals": 10}, {"id": 53034, "name": "Kieran Sadlier", "rank": 10, "goals": 10}, {"id": 52928, "name": "Alex Méndez", "rank": 11, "goals": 9}, {"id": 53017, "name": "Bruno Rendón", "rank": 12, "goals": 9}, {"id": 53222, "name": "Maalique Foster", "rank": 13, "goals": 9}, {"id": 52984, "name": "Oalex Anderson", "rank": 14, "goals": 9}, {"id": 52900, "name": "Arney Rocha", "rank": 15, "goals": 8}], "players": [{"id": 53128, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 27}, "name": "Yaniv Bazini", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Orange County SC", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 23, "goals": 8, "starts": 14, "assists": 2, "team_games": 28, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 3, "tracked_apps": 23, "tracked_starts": 14}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "4-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1782342000, "opponent": "Miami FC"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.264, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 53157, "club": null, "load": {"games": 1, "country": 0, "minutes": 90}, "name": "Ilijah Paul", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_scorer", "top_creator", "ever_present"], "team": "Monterey Bay FC", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 25, "goals": 5, "starts": 23, "assists": 4, "team_games": 26, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 4, "tracked_apps": 25, "tracked_starts": 23}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 1, "score": "1-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1782007200, "opponent": "El Paso Locomotive FC"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.255, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 9826, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 2, "minutes": 145}, "name": "Omari Glasgow", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["ever_present"], "team": "Monterey Bay FC", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 2, "country": 2, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 24, "goals": 1, "starts": 21, "assists": 3, "team_games": 26, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 4, "tracked_apps": 24, "tracked_starts": 21}, "status": "fit", "country": {"apps": 2, "team": "Guyana", "goals": 0, "lately": {"apps": 2, "goals": 0, "assists": 2}, "assists": 2, "tournament": null}, "position": "RM", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788055200, "opponent": "Sacramento Republic FC"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.118, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4078, "event": {"id": 207852, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Monterey Bay FC", "home_team": "Orange County SC", "league_id": 57, "event_date": "2026-10-04T02:00:00Z", "league_name": "USL Championship", "away_team_id": 2235, "home_team_id": 2237}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.4675}, "created_at": "2026-09-27T02:15:29Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 46.8}}}, "venue_id": 1319, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.157, "league_id": 57, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 4, "lost": 16, "drawn": 6, "group": null, "played": 26, "points": 18, "team_id": 2235, "position": 23, "goal_diff": -19, "goals_for": 27, "team_name": "Monterey Bay FC", "goals_against": 46}, "home": {"won": 10, "lost": 7, "drawn": 9, "group": null, "played": 26, "points": 39, "team_id": 2237, "position": 11, "goal_diff": -5, "goals_for": 35, "team_name": "Orange County SC", "goals_against": 40}, "size": 25}, "confidence": 0.594, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871757, "corner_rate": 10.17, "lambda_away": 1.2274181344473731, "lambda_home": 1.8294915116681507, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was over 2.5 goals at 1.75, where the edge of 3.2 points does not clear the 6.6 needed against a 6.2% margin.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season · Matchday 1", "lineup_status": "predicted"}