{"id": 207845, "h2h": {"draws": 2, "away_wins": 1, "home_wins": 6, "away_goals": 9, "home_goals": 14, "away_win_rate": 0.1111111111111111, "home_win_rate": 0.6666666666666666, "total_matches": 9, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Detroit City FC", "date": "2026-07-03T00:00:00+00:00", "home": "Birmingham Legion FC", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 207680, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2243, "home_team_id": 2229}, {"away": "Detroit City FC", "date": "2025-05-18T21:00:00+00:00", "home": "Birmingham Legion FC", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 229575, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2243, "home_team_id": 2229}, {"away": "Birmingham Legion FC", "date": "2025-03-22T20:00:00+00:00", "home": "Detroit City FC", "score": "2-2", "event_id": 229485, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 2229, "home_team_id": 2243}, {"away": "Detroit City FC", "date": "2024-08-17T00:00:00+00:00", "home": "Birmingham Legion FC", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 239266, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2243, "home_team_id": 2229}, {"away": "Birmingham Legion FC", "date": "2024-06-26T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Detroit City FC", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 239177, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2229, "home_team_id": 2243}, {"away": "Detroit City FC", "date": "2023-08-27T21:00:00+00:00", "home": "Birmingham Legion FC", "score": "2-3", "event_id": 249569, "away_score": 3, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 2243, "home_team_id": 2229}, {"away": "Birmingham Legion FC", "date": "2023-05-27T20:00:00+00:00", "home": "Detroit City FC", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 249387, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2229, "home_team_id": 2243}, {"away": "Detroit City FC", "date": "2022-08-18T00:00:00+00:00", "home": "Birmingham Legion FC", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 261897, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2243, "home_team_id": 2229}, {"away": "Birmingham Legion FC", "date": "2022-04-15T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Detroit City FC", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 261639, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2229, "home_team_id": 2243}], "avg_total_goals": 2.5555555555555554}, "away": "Birmingham Legion FC", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1, "record": "1-3-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "LDDDLW", "goals_for": 2.33, "venue_ppg": 0.33, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 2.5}, "home": {"ppg": 1.5, "record": "2-3-1", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DDLWDW", "goals_for": 0.83, "venue_ppg": 1.67, "clean_sheets": 3, "goals_against": 0.5}}, "home": "Detroit City FC", "pass": "No call on Detroit City FC against Birmingham Legion FC. The bookmakers have this one about right, so there is nothing to take.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Detroit City FC to win"}, "flags": [], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Michigan", "name": "Keyworth Stadium", "capacity": null}, "colors": {"away": "#42403e", "home": "#c19310"}, "extras": null, "lambda": [1.69, 0.95], "league": "USL Championship", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Detroit City FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Birmingham Legion FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.718, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.282}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 1-2, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Daniele Dichio has 26 matches in charge at Detroit City FC, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.69, "manager": "Daniele Dichio", "tenure_days": 204, "matches_in_charge": 26, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.7, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Jay Heaps has 25 matches in charge at Birmingham Legion FC, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.92, "manager": "Jay Heaps", "tenure_days": 210, "matches_in_charge": 25, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.1, "before_ppm": 0.8}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Detroit City FC come in on 3 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 3, "days_rest": 3, "matchesIn7": 2, "matchesIn14": 3}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Birmingham Legion FC come in on 10 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 10.291666666666666, "days_rest": 10.3, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.079, "shrunk": 0.33, "defence": -0.231, "effective_matches": 16.2}, "home": {"attack": -0.1, "shrunk": 0.32, "defence": 0.286, "effective_matches": 17.2}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Detroit City FC work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 12.4, "corners": 4, "matches": 12, "possession": 47.1, "xg_per_shot": 0.124, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.3, "corners_per_shot": 0.324}, "home": {"shots": 10.8, "corners": 5, "matches": 12, "possession": 52.6, "xg_per_shot": 0.111, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.28, "corners_per_shot": 0.462}, "possession_gap": 5.5}, "strength": 0.22}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Detroit City FC have scored 3 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.28}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Birmingham Legion FC have scored 4 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.3}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 11.9, "description": "unknown", "temperature_c": 23}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.244178449025975}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 52890, "name": "Carlos Herrera", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52877, "name": "Callum Montgomery", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52876, "name": "Devon Amoo-Mensah", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52878, "name": "Aedan Stanley", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52875, "name": "Haruki Yamazaki", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52879, "name": "Maxi Rodríguez", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52887, "name": "Kobe Hernández-Foster", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52884, "name": "Darren Smith", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53240, "name": "Jeciel Cedeno", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53323, "name": "Preston Tabortetaka", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52880, "name": "Abdoulaye Diop", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52885, "name": "Derrick Tommy Silva", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52883, "name": "Alasanne Ates Diouf", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53026, "name": "Kian Williams", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52888, "name": "Alex Dalou", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52891, "name": "Rio Hope-Gund", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52886, "name": "Ryan Williams", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52882, "name": "Ben Morris", "side": "home"}, {"id": 212294, "name": "Cheikhou Niang", "side": "home"}, {"id": 48097, "name": "Chisom Egbuchulam", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52874, "name": "Carlos Saldaña", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53517, "name": "Michael Bryant", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53364, "name": "Rafael Mentzingen", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53516, "name": "Alexander Marcus Dalou", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53518, "name": "Tatenda Mkuruva", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52881, "name": "Rhys Williams", "side": "home"}, {"id": 52889, "name": "Connor Rutz", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53277, "name": "Bilal Obeid", "side": "home"}, {"id": 53164, "name": "Jassem Koleilat", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53167, "name": "Dawson McCartney", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53211, "name": "Bryce Washington", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9838, "name": "Hamady Diop", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53306, "name": "Nico Brown", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9691, "name": "Seth Antwi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53172, "name": "Phanuel Kavita", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9537, "name": "Gevork Diarbian", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53173, "name": "Peter-Lee Vassell", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53169, "name": "Sebastian Tregarthen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9857, "name": "Samuel Shashoua", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53175, "name": "Romario Williams", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53171, "name": "Ronaldo Damus", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53170, "name": "Tyler Pasher", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53177, "name": "Kadeem Cole", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53168, "name": "Sam McIllhatton", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53165, "name": "Amir Daley", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9618, "name": "Serge Ngoma", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53174, "name": "Sebastián Saucedo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53176, "name": "Trevor McMullen", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53332, "name": "A.J. Paterson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 210237, "name": "Jaylen Lester", "side": "away"}, {"id": 205295, "name": "Jonathan Hernandez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 206692, "name": "Hamady Diop", "side": "away"}, {"id": 9516, "name": "Keegan Hughes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 205294, "name": "Robert Bailey", "side": "away"}, {"id": 53454, "name": "Travis Jackson", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 2229, "home_id": 2243, "kickoff": 1791068400, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 53164, "name": "Jassem Koleilat", "ai_score": 0.827, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 53167, "name": "Dawson McCartney", "ai_score": 0.494, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 53211, "name": "Bryce Washington", "ai_score": 0.575, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 9838, "name": "Hamady Diop", "ai_score": 0.518, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 53306, "name": "Nico Brown", "ai_score": 0.684, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 9691, "name": "Seth Antwi", "ai_score": 0.801, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53172, "name": "Phanuel Kavita", "ai_score": 0.474, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 9537, "name": "Gevork Diarbian", "ai_score": 0.725, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53173, "name": "Peter-Lee Vassell", "ai_score": 0.749, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53169, "name": "Sebastian Tregarthen", "ai_score": 0.677, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 9857, "name": "Samuel Shashoua", "ai_score": 0.627, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53175, "name": "Romario Williams", "ai_score": 0.565, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53171, "name": "Ronaldo Damus", "ai_score": 0.481, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53170, "name": "Tyler Pasher", "ai_score": 0.414, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53177, "name": "Kadeem Cole", "ai_score": 0.4, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53168, "name": "Sam McIllhatton", "ai_score": 0.304, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53165, "name": "Amir Daley", "ai_score": 0.287, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 9618, "name": "Serge Ngoma", "ai_score": 0.248, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 53174, "name": "Sebastián Saucedo", "ai_score": 0.246, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53176, "name": "Trevor McMullen", "ai_score": 0.212, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 53332, "name": "A.J. Paterson", "ai_score": 0.179, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 210237, "name": "Jaylen Lester", "ai_score": 0.005, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.718}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 52890, "name": "Carlos Herrera", "ai_score": 0.814, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 52877, "name": "Callum Montgomery", "ai_score": 0.814, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 52876, "name": "Devon Amoo-Mensah", "ai_score": 0.802, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 52878, "name": "Aedan Stanley", "ai_score": 0.595, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 52875, "name": "Haruki Yamazaki", "ai_score": 0.8, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 52879, "name": "Maxi Rodríguez", "ai_score": 0.85, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 52887, "name": "Kobe Hernández-Foster", "ai_score": 0.789, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 52884, "name": "Darren Smith", "ai_score": 0.52, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 53240, "name": "Jeciel Cedeno", "ai_score": 0.54, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 53323, "name": "Preston Tabortetaka", "ai_score": 0.269, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 52880, "name": "Abdoulaye Diop", "ai_score": 0.77, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 52885, "name": "Derrick Tommy Silva", "ai_score": 0.549, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 52883, "name": "Alasanne Ates Diouf", "ai_score": 0.535, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 53026, "name": "Kian Williams", "ai_score": 0.426, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 52888, "name": "Alex Dalou", "ai_score": 0.379, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 52891, "name": "Rio Hope-Gund", "ai_score": 0.334, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 52886, "name": "Ryan Williams", "ai_score": 0.304, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 52882, "name": "Ben Morris", "ai_score": 0.283, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 212294, "name": "Cheikhou Niang", "ai_score": 0.266, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 48097, "name": "Chisom Egbuchulam", "ai_score": 0.261, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 52874, "name": "Carlos Saldaña", "ai_score": 0.22, "position": "G", "starting": false}, {"id": 53517, "name": "Michael Bryant", "ai_score": 0.203, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 53364, "name": "Rafael Mentzingen", "ai_score": 0.192, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.786}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.718, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 52929, "name": "Rubio Rubin", "rank": 1, "goals": 16}, {"id": 52884, "name": "Darren Smith", "rank": 2, "goals": 13}, {"id": 53110, "name": "Khori Bennett", "rank": 3, "goals": 13}, {"id": 16867, "name": "Peter Wilson", "rank": 4, "goals": 13}, {"id": 52946, "name": "Ihsan Sacko", "rank": 5, "goals": 12}, {"id": 52985, "name": "Johnny Rodriguez", "rank": 6, "goals": 12}, {"id": 52866, "name": "Matt Myers", "rank": 7, "goals": 12}, {"id": 53143, "name": "Phillip Goodrum", "rank": 8, "goals": 11}, {"id": 52849, "name": "Greg Hurst", "rank": 9, "goals": 10}, {"id": 53034, "name": "Kieran Sadlier", "rank": 10, "goals": 10}, {"id": 52928, "name": "Alex Méndez", "rank": 11, "goals": 9}, {"id": 53017, "name": "Bruno Rendón", "rank": 12, "goals": 9}, {"id": 53222, "name": "Maalique Foster", "rank": 13, "goals": 9}, {"id": 52984, "name": "Oalex Anderson", "rank": 14, "goals": 9}, {"id": 52900, "name": "Arney Rocha", "rank": 15, "goals": 8}], "players": [{"id": 52884, "club": null, "load": {"games": 3, "country": 0, "minutes": 224}, "name": "Darren Smith", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Detroit City FC", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 1, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 23, "goals": 13, "starts": 19, "assists": 1, "team_games": 29, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 9, "tracked_apps": 23, "tracked_starts": 19}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "FWD", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 5, "score": "6-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1781399400, "opponent": "SC Jacksonville"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.349, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 53323, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Preston Tabortetaka", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Detroit City FC", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 2, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 9, "goals": 0, "starts": 3, "assists": 2, "team_games": 29, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 0, "tracked_apps": 9, "tracked_starts": 3}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "RW", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 0, "score": "6-2", "assists": 1, "kickoff": 1781399400, "opponent": "SC Jacksonville"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.037, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 53175, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 0, "minutes": 119}, "name": "Romario Williams", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Birmingham Legion FC", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 3, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 20, "goals": 6, "starts": 13, "assists": 2, "team_games": 25, "big_chances": 2, "clean_sheets": 4, "tracked_apps": 19, "tracked_starts": 12}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 2, "score": "2-3", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788044400, "opponent": "Hartford Athletic"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.188, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4084, "event": {"id": 207845, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Birmingham Legion FC", "home_team": "Detroit City FC", "league_id": 57, "event_date": "2026-10-03T23:00:00Z", "league_name": "USL Championship", "away_team_id": 2229, "home_team_id": 2243}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.5813}, "created_at": "2026-09-27T02:15:29Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 58.1}}}, "venue_id": 1322, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.171, "league_id": 57, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 4, "lost": 10, "drawn": 11, "group": null, "played": 25, "points": 23, "team_id": 2229, "position": 21, "goal_diff": -6, "goals_for": 36, "team_name": "Birmingham Legion FC", "goals_against": 42}, "home": {"won": 12, "lost": 6, "drawn": 8, "group": null, "played": 26, "points": 44, "team_id": 2243, "position": 4, "goal_diff": 12, "goals_for": 32, "team_name": "Detroit City FC", "goals_against": 20}, "size": 25}, "confidence": 0.583, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871765, "corner_rate": 10.43, "lambda_away": 0.9465775878121321, "lambda_home": 1.6933418036258745, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was under 3.5 goals at 1.45, where the edge of 6.0 points does not clear the 6.7 needed against a 6.4% margin.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season · Matchday 1", "lineup_status": "predicted"}