{"id": 207843, "h2h": {"draws": 1, "away_wins": 7, "home_wins": 4, "away_goals": 16, "home_goals": 14, "away_win_rate": 0.5833333333333334, "home_win_rate": 0.3333333333333333, "total_matches": 12, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Loudoun United FC", "date": "2026-07-25T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Indy Eleven", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 207712, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2224, "home_team_id": 2242}, {"away": "Loudoun United FC", "date": "2025-10-19T01:00:00+00:00", "home": "Indy Eleven", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 229807, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 2224, "home_team_id": 2242}, {"away": "Indy Eleven", "date": "2025-08-16T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Loudoun United FC", "score": "3-2", "event_id": 229690, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 3, "away_team_id": 2242, "home_team_id": 2224}, {"away": "Indy Eleven", "date": "2024-10-08T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Loudoun United FC", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 239360, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 2242, "home_team_id": 2224}, {"away": "Loudoun United FC", "date": "2024-07-13T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Indy Eleven", "score": "1-1", "event_id": 239205, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2224, "home_team_id": 2242}, {"away": "Loudoun United FC", "date": "2023-08-26T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Indy Eleven", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 249559, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 2224, "home_team_id": 2242}, {"away": "Indy Eleven", "date": "2023-05-06T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Loudoun United FC", "score": "1-2", "event_id": 249353, "away_score": 2, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2242, "home_team_id": 2224}, {"away": "Loudoun United FC", "date": "2022-09-25T21:00:00+00:00", "home": "Indy Eleven", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 261987, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2224, "home_team_id": 2242}, {"away": "Indy Eleven", "date": "2022-03-12T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Loudoun United FC", "score": "1-0", "event_id": 261569, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 1, "away_team_id": 2242, "home_team_id": 2224}, {"away": "Indy Eleven", "date": "2021-08-18T23:00:00+00:00", "home": "Loudoun United FC", "score": "4-1", "event_id": 275149, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 4, "away_team_id": 2242, "home_team_id": 2224}], "avg_total_goals": 2.5}, "away": "Indy Eleven", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 0.83, "record": "1-2-3", "streak": "lost 3", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DDWLLL", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 0.5, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.33}, "home": {"ppg": 0.67, "record": "1-1-4", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DLLLLW", "goals_for": 1.67, "venue_ppg": 0.5, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 2.17}}, "home": "Loudoun United FC", "pass": null, "rank": 5, "read": {"side": null, "text": "Too close to call"}, "flags": [], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Leesburg", "name": "Segra Field", "capacity": 5000}, "colors": {"away": "#0a3776", "home": "#ed1f2e"}, "extras": null, "lambda": [1.43, 1.22], "league": "USL Championship", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Loudoun United FC report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Indy Eleven report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.818, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.182}, {"id": "stakes.table", "note": "A cup or a group stage, so there is no league table to read what either side is playing for.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 0-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.established", "note": "Anthony Limbrick has 25 matches in charge at Loudoun United FC, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 0.92, "manager": "Anthony Limbrick", "tenure_days": 211, "matches_in_charge": 25, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 0.9, "before_ppm": 0.7}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "manager.away.established", "note": "Sean McAuley has 26 matches in charge at Indy Eleven, long enough that the side plays the way he wants it to.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.27, "manager": "Sean McAuley", "tenure_days": 210, "matches_in_charge": 26, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.8, "before_ppm": 1.3}}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Loudoun United FC come in on 8 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 7.9375, "days_rest": 7.9, "matchesIn7": 0, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": -0.082, "shrunk": 0.31, "defence": 0.031, "effective_matches": 17.6}, "home": {"attack": -0.009, "shrunk": 0.33, "defence": -0.158, "effective_matches": 16.2}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Loudoun United FC average 9 points more possession than Indy Eleven, so this should be one side with the ball and one without it.", "tier": 5, "moves": [{"pct": 1.8, "side": "home", "channel": "corners"}, {"pct": -1.8, "side": "away", "channel": "corners"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 14.3, "corners": 5.1, "matches": 12, "possession": 41.5, "xg_per_shot": 0.11, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.41, "corners_per_shot": 0.355}, "home": {"shots": 15.1, "corners": 4.8, "matches": 12, "possession": 50.2, "xg_per_shot": 0.102, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.21, "corners_per_shot": 0.32}, "possession_gap": 8.7}, "strength": 0.347}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Loudoun United FC are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.21}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Indy Eleven have scored 5 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.41}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§13", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 5.6, "description": "unknown", "temperature_c": 26}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. 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