{"id":207819,"league_id":57,"league":"USL Championship","kickoff":1789860600,"home":"Rhode Island FC","away":"Miami FC","home_id":2223,"away_id":2244,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[1,2],"colors":{"home":"#eca219","away":"#0d209d"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","model_prob":0.858,"narrative":"Double chance 1X at 1.11. 1.98 against 0.74. Miami FC's route to a result runs through a clean sheet the numbers do not expect them to keep. Put together, the expectation is Rhode Island FC avoiding defeat. Call it 86%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"LOST","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"missed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal away from settling the other way."}},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"12","line":null,"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"William Hill","model_prob":0.803,"narrative":"Double chance 12 at 1.18. The model reads this as a 2.72-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. Take the lot together and a winner rather than a draw is the read. Call it 80%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal the other way and it was gone. Right, with nothing to spare."}},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","model_prob":0.802,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. 1.98 expected for Rhode Island FC, 0.74 for Miami FC — neither side projects to run away with it, and the total is what matters here. Everything above points the same way: more than 1.5 goals in it. 80% on our numbers, 1.18 on the board. Both are saying the same thing, which is worth knowing and is not an edge.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":2,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal in it. Right, but there was nothing spare."}}]}