{"id":207817,"league_id":57,"league":"USL Championship","kickoff":1789858800,"home":"Louisville City FC","away":"Loudoun United FC","home_id":2222,"away_id":2224,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,1],"colors":{"home":"#430a76","away":"#ed1f2e"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","model_prob":0.847847847847848,"narrative":"Double chance 1X at 1.13. Expected goals split 2.20 to 0.93, 3.13 in the match. The shape of that total is what this call reads. That is the case, and it ends at Louisville City FC avoiding defeat. That puts it at 85%, priced 1.13 — a high-probability call rather than a claim the market is wrong.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}},{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.17,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","model_prob":0.831,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. The model reads this as a 3.13-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. Take the lot together and more than 1.5 goals in it is the read. We make it 83% at 1.17. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}}]}