{"id":207082,"league_id":54,"league":"Eliteserien","kickoff":1789916400,"home":"Viking FK","away":"Lillestrøm SK","home_id":2076,"away_id":2081,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[3,0],"colors":{"home":"#72121c","away":"#edd31c"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"over_under_15","outcome":"over","line":1.5,"odds":1.1,"bookmaker":"Pinnacle","model_prob":0.87,"narrative":"Over 1.5 goals at 1.10. 2.42 and 1.01 makes 3.43 between them — enough traffic that the goals market is the clearer read here. And the table puts Lillestrøm SK chasing Europe, which is the strongest single influence on how cautious this becomes. It is not a clean case: Lillestrøm SK have had only 2.8 days since their last match. Everything above points the same way: more than 1.5 goals in it. 87% likely, returning 10p in the pound. The confidence is the point here, not the payout.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":2,"closeness":"clear","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"It landed with room to spare."}},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"odds":1.13,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","model_prob":0.848151848151848,"narrative":"Double chance 1X at 1.13. Viking FK project to score 2.4 times what Lillestrøm SK manage. Games that one-sided on paper usually are. Compounding it, Lillestrøm SK arrive chasing Europe, with 8 games left. Worth holding against it — coming in on 2.8 days' rest, Lillestrøm SK arrive appreciably short of fresh. Take the lot together and Viking FK avoiding defeat is the read. We make it 85% at 1.13. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":4,"closeness":"nowhere near","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":3,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"Never in doubt, whatever the price said beforehand."}}]}