{"id":205899,"league_id":52,"league":"Chinese Super League","kickoff":1791718500,"home":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC","away":"Shandong Taishan","home_id":2034,"away_id":2031,"venue_id":1307,"rank":5,"status":"notstarted","provisional":true,"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.569,"score":null,"live_score":null,"lambda":[1.5,1.43],"read":{"text":"Too close to call","side":null},"pass":"Nothing to take on Chongqing Tonglianglong FC against Shandong Taishan. There is a likely outcome here, but every bookmaker has it shorter than it deserves, so there is nothing to take.","flags":[{"id":"form.home","section":"§2.1","note":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC have taken 0.33 points a game from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7, and 0.00 a game at home."},{"id":"form.away","section":"§2.1","note":"Shandong Taishan have taken 2.17 points a game from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2, and 2.00 a game on the road."},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","note":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC are safely mid-table; Shandong Taishan are chasing European qualification, with 3 games remaining."},{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","note":"Liu Jianye is 0 games into the job at Chongqing Tonglianglong FC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six."}],"lambda_home":1.5033104269957485,"lambda_away":1.4294101398916825,"corner_rate":9.39,"card_rate":0.239,"lineups":{"status":"predicted","confidence":0.727,"home":{"formation":"5-4-1","players":[{"id":47181,"name":"Haoyang Yao","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.779},{"id":47184,"name":"Lucão","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.759},{"id":47186,"name":"Michael Ngadeu","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.643},{"id":47211,"name":"Ruijie Yue","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.578},{"id":47201,"name":"Mingshi Liu","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.776},{"id":11220,"name":"Alexandru Cîmpanu","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.627},{"id":47193,"name":"Ibrahim Amadou","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.513},{"id":47204,"name":"Zhixiong Zhang","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.611},{"id":47196,"name":"Zhenquan Li","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.543},{"id":47182,"name":"Qilong Ruan","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.294},{"id":3612,"name":"Nany Dimata","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.661},{"id":47198,"name":"Yuwang Xiang","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.509},{"id":47190,"name":"Xiaoqiang He","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.499},{"id":47188,"name":"Zhang Yingkai","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.497},{"id":47212,"name":"Wei Suowei","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.345},{"id":47208,"name":"Wu Zitong","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.319},{"id":47217,"name":"Yongqiang Wu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.296},{"id":47202,"name":"Yu-Hei Ng","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.266},{"id":48476,"name":"Jiale Liu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.259},{"id":47199,"name":"Du Yuezheng","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.248},{"id":47192,"name":"Chen Chunxin","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.238},{"id":47523,"name":"Weipeng Liang","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.23},{"id":47209,"name":"Pengxiang Jin","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.2}],"confidence":0.786},"away":{"formation":"4-4-2","players":[{"id":47293,"name":"Yu Jinyong","position":"G","starting":true,"ai_score":0.724},{"id":47284,"name":"Yang Liu","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.82},{"id":47527,"name":"Zhunyi Gao","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.673},{"id":11539,"name":"Pedro Álvaro","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.514},{"id":47289,"name":"Tong Wang","position":"D","starting":true,"ai_score":0.314},{"id":47285,"name":"Valeri Qazaishvili","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.811},{"id":47281,"name":"Guilherme Madruga","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.746},{"id":47278,"name":"Zhengyu Huang","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.543},{"id":47279,"name":"Wenneng Xie","position":"M","starting":true,"ai_score":0.546},{"id":47288,"name":"Cryzan","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.655},{"id":47286,"name":"Zeca","position":"F","starting":true,"ai_score":0.622},{"id":47287,"name":"Chen Pu","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.578},{"id":47606,"name":"Maiwulang Mijiti","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.568},{"id":47526,"name":"Dalei Wang","position":"G","starting":false,"ai_score":0.447},{"id":47294,"name":"Yang Ruiqi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.428},{"id":47277,"name":"Peng Xiao","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.373},{"id":47529,"name":"Raphaël Merkies","position":"F","starting":false,"ai_score":0.303},{"id":47295,"name":"Songchen Shi","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.29},{"id":47291,"name":"Jiaxi Yin","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.262},{"id":47632,"name":"Memet Imran","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.249},{"id":47296,"name":"Zheng Zheng","position":"D","starting":false,"ai_score":0.247},{"id":47280,"name":"Yuanyi Li","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.237},{"id":47282,"name":"Zeshi Chen","position":"M","starting":false,"ai_score":0.197}],"confidence":0.727},"unavailable":[]},"people":[{"id":47181,"name":"Haoyang Yao","side":"home"},{"id":47184,"name":"Lucão","side":"home"},{"id":47186,"name":"Michael Ngadeu","side":"home"},{"id":47211,"name":"Ruijie Yue","side":"home"},{"id":47201,"name":"Mingshi Liu","side":"home"},{"id":11220,"name":"Alexandru Cîmpanu","side":"home"},{"id":47193,"name":"Ibrahim Amadou","side":"home"},{"id":47204,"name":"Zhixiong Zhang","side":"home"},{"id":47196,"name":"Zhenquan Li","side":"home"},{"id":47182,"name":"Qilong Ruan","side":"home"},{"id":3612,"name":"Nany Dimata","side":"home"},{"id":47198,"name":"Yuwang Xiang","side":"home"},{"id":47190,"name":"Xiaoqiang He","side":"home"},{"id":47188,"name":"Zhang Yingkai","side":"home"},{"id":47212,"name":"Wei Suowei","side":"home"},{"id":47208,"name":"Wu Zitong","side":"home"},{"id":47217,"name":"Yongqiang Wu","side":"home"},{"id":47202,"name":"Yu-Hei Ng","side":"home"},{"id":48476,"name":"Jiale Liu","side":"home"},{"id":47199,"name":"Du Yuezheng","side":"home"},{"id":47192,"name":"Chen Chunxin","side":"home"},{"id":47523,"name":"Weipeng Liang","side":"home"},{"id":47209,"name":"Pengxiang Jin","side":"home"},{"id":53487,"name":"Yetong Cheng","side":"home"},{"id":59049,"name":"Shisen Li","side":"home"},{"id":59045,"name":"Jiwei Shi","side":"home"},{"id":59044,"name":"Dilxat Ablimit","side":"home"},{"id":53485,"name":"Hejing Zhao","side":"home"},{"id":59048,"name":"Zhicheng Tong","side":"home"},{"id":48030,"name":"Yeerzhati Yeerjieti","side":"home"},{"id":59050,"name":"Lin Lei","side":"home"},{"id":53484,"name":"Qing Wu","side":"home"},{"id":53483,"name":"Xiyang Huang","side":"home"},{"id":168664,"name":"Weicheng Wang","side":"home"},{"id":47220,"name":"Yutao Bai","side":"home"},{"id":59037,"name":"Yunyang Gong","side":"home"},{"id":59051,"name":"Huamao Li","side":"home"},{"id":47293,"name":"Yu Jinyong","side":"away"},{"id":47284,"name":"Yang Liu","side":"away"},{"id":47527,"name":"Zhunyi Gao","side":"away"},{"id":11539,"name":"Pedro Álvaro","side":"away"},{"id":47289,"name":"Tong Wang","side":"away"},{"id":47285,"name":"Valeri Qazaishvili","side":"away"},{"id":47281,"name":"Guilherme Madruga","side":"away"},{"id":47278,"name":"Zhengyu Huang","side":"away"},{"id":47279,"name":"Wenneng Xie","side":"away"},{"id":47288,"name":"Cryzan","side":"away"},{"id":47286,"name":"Zeca","side":"away"},{"id":47287,"name":"Chen Pu","side":"away"},{"id":47606,"name":"Maiwulang Mijiti","side":"away"},{"id":47526,"name":"Dalei Wang","side":"away"},{"id":47294,"name":"Yang Ruiqi","side":"away"},{"id":47277,"name":"Peng Xiao","side":"away"},{"id":47529,"name":"Raphaël Merkies","side":"away"},{"id":47295,"name":"Songchen Shi","side":"away"},{"id":47291,"name":"Jiaxi Yin","side":"away"},{"id":47632,"name":"Memet Imran","side":"away"},{"id":47296,"name":"Zheng Zheng","side":"away"},{"id":47280,"name":"Yuanyi Li","side":"away"},{"id":47282,"name":"Zeshi Chen","side":"away"},{"id":209573,"name":"Li Xiaoheng","side":"away"},{"id":53781,"name":"Yusupjan Shemshidin","side":"away"},{"id":47665,"name":"Qiancheng Qi","side":"away"},{"id":47531,"name":"Yixiang Peng","side":"away"},{"id":47292,"name":"Qihang Sun","side":"away"},{"id":47276,"name":"Qiwei Liu","side":"away"},{"id":47674,"name":"Zhang Chi","side":"away"}],"players":[{"id":3612,"name":"Nany Dimata","side":"home","team":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":23,"starts":16,"goals":7,"assists":2,"big_chances":0,"clean_sheets":5,"team_games":26,"tracked_apps":23,"tracked_starts":16},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":0,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Chengdu Rongcheng","kickoff":1774092900,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"3-3","won":false},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer"],"importance":0.305,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":47288,"name":"Cryzan","side":"away","team":"Shandong Taishan","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"ST","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":21,"starts":17,"goals":16,"assists":6,"big_chances":3,"clean_sheets":2,"team_games":26,"tracked_apps":21,"tracked_starts":17},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":4,"assists":1,"scoredIn":2,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Shanghai Shenhua","kickoff":1777980900,"goals":3,"assists":1,"score":"4-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_scorer","best_performer","chance_creator","in_form"],"importance":0.548,"country":null,"load":null},{"id":47285,"name":"Valeri Qazaishvili","side":"away","team":"Shandong Taishan","club":null,"role":"ATT","position":"AM","status":"fit","reason":null,"expected_return":null,"season":{"apps":26,"starts":24,"goals":5,"assists":8,"big_chances":5,"clean_sheets":4,"team_games":26,"tracked_apps":26,"tracked_starts":24},"recent":{"apps":5,"goals":0,"assists":3,"scoredIn":0,"country":0},"standout":{"opponent":"Liaoning Tieren FC","kickoff":1782558000,"goals":2,"assists":0,"score":"5-1","won":true},"strengths":[],"tags":["top_creator","ever_present","best_performer","chance_creator"],"importance":0.289,"country":null,"load":null}],"extras":null,"notable":[{"id":47331,"name":"Oscar Taty Maritu","goals":20,"rank":1},{"id":10034,"name":"Jhonder Cádiz","goals":18,"rank":2},{"id":47342,"name":"Felipe Silva","goals":17,"rank":3},{"id":47288,"name":"Cryzan","goals":16,"rank":4},{"id":46623,"name":"Rafael Ratão","goals":16,"rank":5},{"id":47429,"name":"Gustavo","goals":13,"rank":6},{"id":47330,"name":"Cléber","goals":12,"rank":7},{"id":47310,"name":"Zhang Yuning","goals":12,"rank":8},{"id":30542,"name":"Alberto Quiles","goals":10,"rank":9},{"id":47548,"name":"Alexandru Mitriță","goals":10,"rank":10},{"id":1168,"name":"Jeffinho","goals":10,"rank":11},{"id":47164,"name":"Wesley Moraes","goals":10,"rank":12},{"id":47237,"name":"Davidson","goals":9,"rank":13},{"id":47486,"name":"Fabio Abreu","goals":9,"rank":14},{"id":47214,"name":"Guy Mbenza","goals":9,"rank":15}],"round_label":"Regular season · Matchday 27","neutral":false,"h2h":{"total_matches":1,"home_wins":0,"draws":0,"away_wins":1,"home_goals":1,"away_goals":3,"avg_total_goals":4,"home_win_rate":0,"away_win_rate":1,"recent_matches":[{"away":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC","date":"2026-05-16T11:35:00+00:00","home":"Shandong Taishan","score":"3-1","event_id":205779,"away_score":1,"home_score":3,"away_team_id":2034,"home_team_id":2031}]},"standings":{"home":{"team_id":2034,"position":10,"played":26,"points":31,"goal_diff":-5,"team_name":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC","won":7,"drawn":10,"lost":9,"goals_for":27,"goals_against":32,"group":null},"away":{"team_id":2031,"position":6,"played":26,"points":37,"goal_diff":3,"team_name":"Shandong Taishan","won":13,"drawn":4,"lost":9,"goals_for":46,"goals_against":43,"group":null},"size":16},"form":{"home":{"matches":6,"ppg":0.33,"record":"0-2-4","goals_for":0.67,"goals_against":1.67,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"winless 6","sequence":"LLDLDL","venue_ppg":0},"away":{"matches":6,"ppg":2.17,"record":"4-1-1","goals_for":1.67,"goals_against":1.17,"clean_sheets":1,"streak":"none","sequence":"WWWLWD","venue_ppg":2}},"ledger":[{"id":"availability.home.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.away.full_strength","section":"§2.4","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Shandong Taishan report no absentees.","evidence":{"absences":0},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"availability.rotation_risk","section":"§3.1","tier":1,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.","evidence":{"lineup_status":"predicted","confidence":0.727,"cup_tie":false},"strength":0.273,"moves":[]},{"id":"stakes.season","section":"§5.1","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC are safely mid-table; Shandong Taishan are chasing European qualification, with 3 games remaining.","evidence":{"games_left":3,"home":{"state":"mid_table","position":10,"points":31,"games_left":3,"gap_to_leader":21,"gap_to_safety":6,"gap_to_europe":7},"away":{"state":"european_chase","position":6,"points":37,"games_left":3,"gap_to_leader":15,"gap_to_safety":12,"gap_to_europe":1},"six_pointer":false},"strength":0.8,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"away","pct":4.6}]},{"id":"fixture.derby","section":"§5.2","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Not a local derby.","evidence":{"derby":false},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fixture.revenge","section":"§5.3","tier":2,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"The reverse fixture finished 3-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.","evidence":{"reverse_margin":-2},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"manager.home.bounce","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Liu Jianye is 0 games into the job at Chongqing Tonglianglong FC. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.","evidence":{"manager":"Liu Jianye","matches_in_charge":0,"tenure_days":92,"ppm":null,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1,"after_ppm":0.44,"delta":null}},"strength":0.7,"moves":[{"channel":"goals","side":"home","pct":6.3}]},{"id":"manager.away.settling","section":"§1.1","tier":3,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Tian Tang is 6 games into the job at Shandong Taishan, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.","evidence":{"manager":"Tian Tang","matches_in_charge":6,"tenure_days":71,"ppm":2.17,"appointment_effect":{"before_ppm":1.3,"after_ppm":2.17,"delta":null}},"strength":0.3,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.home","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"THIN","note":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.","evidence":{"daysRest":null,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.away","section":"§2.8","tier":4,"state":"THIN","note":"Shandong Taishan have no prior fixture on record in the window, so days of rest cannot be computed.","evidence":{"daysRest":null,"matchesIn7":0,"matchesIn14":0},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.opponent_adjustment","section":"§4.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.","evidence":{"home":{"attack":-0.247,"defence":0.078,"effective_matches":12.3,"shrunk":0.39},"away":{"attack":0.108,"defence":-0.037,"effective_matches":14,"shrunk":0.36}},"strength":0.2,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC work noticeably more of their attacks into wide areas.","evidence":{"home":{"matches":12,"possession":48.3,"shots":10.7,"xg_per_shot":0.08,"corners":4,"corners_per_shot":0.375,"finishing_vs_xg":-0.02},"away":{"matches":12,"possession":46.7,"shots":13.3,"xg_per_shot":0.112,"corners":3.3,"corners_per_shot":0.252,"finishing_vs_xg":0.26},"possession_gap":1.6},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.press_matchup","section":"§4.2","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.02,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Shandong Taishan have scored 3 more than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.26,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No referee appointed or recorded for this fixture yet.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":6.5,"temperature_c":18,"description":"rain"},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.27506208000901766},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: value","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":4762,"created_at":"2026-10-05T02:15:29Z","event":{"id":205899,"event_date":"2026-10-11T11:35:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":2034,"home_team":"Chongqing Tonglianglong FC","away_team_id":2031,"away_team":"Shandong Taishan","league_id":52,"league_name":"Chinese Super League"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"H","favorite_prob":37,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.3703,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1791489872,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#e94d37","away":"#e44c28"},"venue":{"name":"Longxing Football Stadium","city":"Chongqing","capacity":60000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}