{"id":205169,"league_id":50,"league":"K League 1","kickoff":1789889400,"home":"Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors","away":"Gwangju FC","home_id":1954,"away_id":1957,"verdicts":[],"markets":[],"restored":true,"status":"finished","score":[2,2],"colors":{"home":null,"away":"#b80f2f"},"venue":null,"pulled":[],"published":[{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"1X","line":null,"odds":1.11,"bookmaker":"BetVictor","model_prob":0.861138861138861,"narrative":"Double chance 1X at 1.11. Expected goals split 1.75 to 0.76, 2.51 in the match. The shape of that total is what this call reads. Pulling the same way, the table puts Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors chasing Europe, which is the strongest single influence on how cautious this becomes. Everything above points the same way: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors avoiding defeat. We make it 86% at 1.11. Short, and short for a reason — the market has this one read the same way we do.","why":null,"result":"WON","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"landed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":4,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal in it. Right, but there was nothing spare."}},{"market":"double_chance","outcome":"12","line":null,"odds":1.18,"bookmaker":"William Hill","model_prob":0.800800800800801,"narrative":"Double chance 12 at 1.18. The model reads this as a 2.51-goal match, and the call follows from that number rather than from either side. Compounding it, what Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors are playing for — chasing Europe — tells you more about the shape of this than either side's rating does. Take the lot together and a winner rather than a draw is the read. Call it 80%. Nothing in the pricing disagrees, so take this as a read on the match rather than on the odds.","why":null,"result":"LOST","settled":true,"postmortem":{"landed":"missed","swing":1,"closeness":"knife-edge","shape":null,"expected_total":null,"actual_total":4,"market":null,"opening_odds":null,"closing_odds":null,"line":"One goal away from settling the other way."}}]}