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Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.","evidence":{"requires":["ppda","defensive_line_height"]},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.home","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"América Mineiro have scored 9 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":-0.73,"matches":12},"strength":0.25,"moves":[]},{"id":"style.finishing.away","section":"§2.1","tier":5,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Operário-PR are scoring about what their chances are worth.","evidence":{"goals_minus_xg_per_match":0.18,"matches":12},"strength":0.1,"moves":[]},{"id":"referee.tendency","section":"§13","tier":5,"state":"THIN","note":"100 yellow cards in this referee's last 23 games, where 97 would be usual in this league, and 3 reds. — though 23 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.","evidence":{"matches":23,"yellows_per_match":4.35,"reds_per_match":0.13,"league_yellows_per_match":4.21,"league_reds_per_match":0.239,"yellow_ratio":1.03,"red_ratio":0.55,"sample":23,"required":30},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"fatigue.travel","section":"§6.4","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No travel distance reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.weather","section":"§6.2","tier":6,"state":"COMPUTED","note":"Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.","evidence":{"rain_mm":null,"wind_kph":6.2,"temperature_c":21,"description":null},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.pitch","section":"§6.3","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"No pitch condition reported for this fixture.","evidence":{},"strength":0,"moves":[]},{"id":"environment.venue","section":"§6.1","tier":6,"state":"UNAVAILABLE","note":"Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.","evidence":{"home_adv":0.31275937190875447},"strength":0,"moves":[]}],"pass_reason":"call rule: short","preview":null,"external":{"bsd_prediction":{"id":5005,"created_at":"2026-10-11T02:15:30Z","event":{"id":10184,"event_date":"2026-10-17T21:30:00Z","status":"notstarted","home_team_id":838,"home_team":"América Mineiro","away_team_id":828,"away_team":"Operário-PR","league_id":34,"league_name":"Brasileirão Serie B"},"recommendations":{"favorite":"A","favorite_prob":48.7,"bet_favorite":false,"over_15":false,"over_25":false,"over_35":false,"btts":false,"winner":false},"model":{"confidence":0.4871,"version":"dc-blend-v1"}}},"computed_at":1792037598,"verdicts":[],"locked":false,"colors":{"home":"#157445","away":null},"venue":{"name":"Arena Independência","city":"Belo Horizonte","capacity":23000},"pulled":[],"published":[]}