{"id": 10159, "h2h": {"draws": 0, "away_wins": 1, "home_wins": 2, "away_goals": 2, "home_goals": 6, "away_win_rate": 0.3333333333333333, "home_win_rate": 0.6666666666666666, "total_matches": 3, "recent_matches": [{"away": "Fortaleza", "date": "2026-06-09T22:00:00+00:00", "home": "Náutico", "score": "0-1", "event_id": 9969, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 0, "away_team_id": 152, "home_team_id": 928}, {"away": "Fortaleza", "date": "2012-04-19T00:50:00+00:00", "home": "Náutico", "score": "2-1", "event_id": 422381, "away_score": 1, "home_score": 2, "away_team_id": 152, "home_team_id": 928}, {"away": "Náutico", "date": "2012-04-12T23:30:00+00:00", "home": "Fortaleza", "score": "4-0", "event_id": 422378, "away_score": 0, "home_score": 4, "away_team_id": 928, "home_team_id": 152}], "avg_total_goals": 2.6666666666666665}, "away": "Náutico", "form": {"away": {"ppg": 1.67, "record": "3-1-2", "streak": "none", "matches": 6, "sequence": "WWLDLW", "goals_for": 1.67, "venue_ppg": 0, "clean_sheets": 1, "goals_against": 1.67}, "home": {"ppg": 2, "record": "3-3-0", "streak": "unbeaten 6", "matches": 6, "sequence": "DWWDWD", "goals_for": 1.33, "venue_ppg": 1.5, "clean_sheets": 2, "goals_against": 0.83}}, "home": "Fortaleza", "pass": "No call on Fortaleza against Náutico. The bookmakers have this one about right, so there is nothing to take.", "rank": 5, "read": {"side": "home", "text": "Fortaleza to edge it"}, "flags": [{"id": "stakes.season", "note": "Fortaleza are in the title race; Náutico are safely mid-table, with 7 games remaining.", "section": "§5.1"}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Bruno Pivetti is 1 game into the job at Náutico. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "section": "§1.1"}], "score": null, "venue": {"city": "Fortaleza", "name": "Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo", "capacity": 63904}, "colors": {"away": "#ed242b", "home": "#235ca0"}, "extras": {"split": {"away": {"above": {"d": 3, "l": 1, "w": 2}, "below": {"d": 1, "l": 1, "w": 2}}, "home": {"above": {"d": 1, "l": 0, "w": 0}, "below": {"d": 5, "l": 0, "w": 4}}}, "teams": {"away": 928, "home": 152}, "best_xi": [{"id": 20643, "name": "Tomás Cardona", "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "matches": 10, "team_id": 152, "position": "D"}, {"id": 5059, "name": "Jean Carlos", "goals": 3, "assists": 4, "matches": 12, "team_id": 928, "position": "M"}], "players": {}, "referee": null, "managers": {"away": {"id": 4072, "vs": null, "name": "Bruno Pivetti"}, "home": {"id": 3088, "vs": null, "name": "Paulo Autuori"}}}, "lambda": [1.57, 0.97], "league": "Brasileirão Serie B", "ledger": [{"id": "availability.home.full_strength", "note": "Fortaleza report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.away.full_strength", "note": "Náutico report no absentees.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.4", "evidence": {"absences": 0}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "availability.rotation_risk", "note": "Nobody has named a side yet, so this eleven is a projection.", "tier": 1, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§3.1", "evidence": {"cup_tie": false, "confidence": 0.732, "lineup_status": "predicted"}, "strength": 0.268}, {"id": "stakes.season", "note": "Fortaleza are in the title race; Náutico are safely mid-table, with 7 games remaining.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.1", "evidence": {"away": {"state": "mid_table", "points": 41, "position": 14, "games_left": 7, "gap_to_europe": 8, "gap_to_leader": 13, "gap_to_safety": 11}, "home": {"state": "title_race", "points": 52, "position": 3, "games_left": 7, "gap_to_europe": -3, "gap_to_leader": 2, "gap_to_safety": 22}, "games_left": 7, "six_pointer": false}, "strength": 0.667}, {"id": "fixture.derby", "note": "Not a local derby.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.2", "evidence": {"derby": false}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fixture.revenge", "note": "The reverse fixture finished 0-1, too close to carry a revenge motive.", "tier": 2, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§5.3", "evidence": {"reverse_margin": 1}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "manager.home.settling", "note": "Paulo Autuori is 10 games into the job at Fortaleza, past the bounce window, where an early lift usually fades back toward the side's real level.", "tier": 3, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 1.8, "manager": "Paulo Autuori", "tenure_days": 55, "matches_in_charge": 10, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 1.8, "before_ppm": 1.6}}, "strength": 0.3}, {"id": "manager.away.bounce", "note": "Bruno Pivetti is 1 game into the job at Náutico. The new-manager bounce window is live but reverts by around game six.", "tier": 3, "moves": [{"pct": 3.5, "side": "away", "channel": "goals"}], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§1.1", "evidence": {"ppm": 3, "manager": "Bruno Pivetti", "tenure_days": 7, "matches_in_charge": 1, "appointment_effect": {"delta": null, "after_ppm": 3, "before_ppm": 1.4}}, "strength": 0.583}, {"id": "fatigue.home", "note": "Fortaleza come in on 5 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 5.128472222222222, "days_rest": 5.1, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "fatigue.away", "note": "Náutico come in on 6 days' rest, with nothing unusual in the schedule behind them.", "tier": 4, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.8", "evidence": {"daysRest": 6.211805555555555, "days_rest": 6.2, "matchesIn7": 1, "matchesIn14": 2}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.opponent_adjustment", "note": "Team strength is estimated against the actual quality of opponents faced, so a soft run of fixtures does not read as form.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.1", "evidence": {"away": {"attack": 0.102, "shrunk": 0.32, "defence": -0.131, "effective_matches": 17.4}, "home": {"attack": 0.031, "shrunk": 0.32, "defence": 0.115, "effective_matches": 17.4}}, "strength": 0.2}, {"id": "style.matchup", "note": "Neither side holds a clear possession edge on recent evidence.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"away": {"shots": 16.8, "corners": 6.4, "matches": 12, "possession": 53.6, "xg_per_shot": 0.097, "finishing_vs_xg": -0.29, "corners_per_shot": 0.383}, "home": {"shots": 14.1, "corners": 4.9, "matches": 12, "possession": 49, "xg_per_shot": 0.086, "finishing_vs_xg": 0.04, "corners_per_shot": 0.349}, "possession_gap": -4.6}, "strength": 0.183}, {"id": "style.press_matchup", "note": "Pressing intensity and defensive line height are not in the ingested stats, so the press matchup is not assessed. Possession is not a substitute for PPDA and is not used as one.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§4.2", "evidence": {"requires": ["ppda", "defensive_line_height"]}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "style.finishing.home", "note": "Fortaleza are scoring about what their chances are worth.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": 0.04}, "strength": 0.1}, {"id": "style.finishing.away", "note": "Náutico have scored 3 fewer than the chances they made over 12 games, a gap that usually closes rather than holds.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§2.1", "evidence": {"matches": 12, "goals_minus_xg_per_match": -0.29}, "strength": 0.25}, {"id": "referee.tendency", "note": "20 yellow cards in this referee's last 5 games, where 21 would be usual in this league, and 2 reds. — though 5 games is too few to read much into, so it is left out of the call.", "tier": 5, "moves": [], "state": "THIN", "section": "§13", "evidence": {"sample": 5, "matches": 5, "required": 30, "red_ratio": 1.89, "yellow_ratio": 0.96, "reds_per_match": 0.4, "yellows_per_match": 4, "league_reds_per_match": 0.211, "league_yellows_per_match": 4.18}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "fatigue.travel", "note": "No travel distance reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.4", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.weather", "note": "Nothing in the forecast worth mentioning.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "COMPUTED", "section": "§6.2", "evidence": {"rain_mm": null, "wind_kph": 13.4, "description": "cloudy", "temperature_c": 27}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.pitch", "note": "No pitch condition reported for this fixture.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.3", "evidence": {}, "strength": 0}, {"id": "environment.venue", "note": "Attendance is only published after kickoff, so crowd size cannot be assessed in advance. Home advantage is carried by the fitted rating rather than estimated here.", "tier": 6, "moves": [], "state": "UNAVAILABLE", "section": "§6.1", "evidence": {"home_adv": 0.337543291456758}, "strength": 0}], "locked": false, "people": [{"id": 4628, "name": "João Ricardo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 88662, "name": "Kaio Henrique", "side": "home"}, {"id": 250, "name": "Lucas Gazal", "side": "home"}, {"id": 20643, "name": "Tomás Cardona", "side": "home"}, {"id": 157, "name": "Maílton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 245, "name": "Pierre", "side": "home"}, {"id": 91, "name": "Rodriguinho", "side": "home"}, {"id": 235, "name": "Lucas Sasha", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3797, "name": "Pedro Henrique", "side": "home"}, {"id": 17529, "name": "Juan Miritello", "side": "home"}, {"id": 10302, "name": "Vitinho", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12339, "name": "Luiz Fernando", "side": "home"}, {"id": 18570, "name": "Maurício Lima", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4356, "name": "Rodrigo Santos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 78, "name": "Paulo Baya", "side": "home"}, {"id": 275, "name": "Ryan Gustavo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3872, "name": "Gabriel Fuentes", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12312, "name": "Nathan Fogaça", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4895, "name": "Ronald", "side": "home"}, {"id": 316, "name": "Neris", "side": "home"}, {"id": 17531, "name": "Welliton", "side": "home"}, {"id": 2029, "name": "Chico da Costa", "side": "home"}, {"id": 98339, "name": "Juan Cantillo", "side": "home"}, {"id": 185, "name": "Luan Freitas", "side": "home"}, {"id": 4589, "name": "Paulinho", "side": "home"}, {"id": 42223, "name": "Kauã Rocha", "side": "home"}, {"id": 12328, "name": "Bastos", "side": "home"}, {"id": 9324, "name": "Jailson", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5057, "name": "Lucas Emanoel", "side": "home"}, {"id": 5008, "name": "Magrão", "side": "home"}, {"id": 246, "name": "Vinicius Silvestre", "side": "home"}, {"id": 251, "name": "Lucas Crispim", "side": "home"}, {"id": 3965, "name": "Lucca Prior", "side": "home"}, {"id": 17398, "name": "Muriel", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17410, "name": "Igor Fernandes", "side": "away"}, {"id": 50565, "name": "Betão", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17413, "name": "Wanderson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 202, "name": "Reginaldo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17404, "name": "Wenderson", "side": "away"}, {"id": 18327, "name": "Léo Índio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 86426, "name": "Benjamín Borasi", "side": "away"}, {"id": 5059, "name": "Jean Carlos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36707, "name": "Todinho", "side": "away"}, {"id": 20936, "name": "Kaua Almeida da Costa", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17408, "name": "Vinícius", "side": "away"}, {"id": 18130, "name": "Derek Freitas", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17414, "name": "Arnaldo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 4543, "name": "Ryan", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36708, "name": "Samuel Felix Rodrigues", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17920, "name": "Gustavo Henrique", "side": "away"}, {"id": 52706, "name": "Luiz Claudio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 18370, "name": "Patricio Núñez", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17417, "name": "Auremir", "side": "away"}, {"id": 18700, "name": "Danielzinho", "side": "away"}, {"id": 122413, "name": "Caio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17412, "name": "Victor Andrade", "side": "away"}, {"id": 21350, "name": "Gabriel Índio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17399, "name": "Matheus Ribeiro", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36711, "name": "Felipe Santana", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17400, "name": "Mateus Silva", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36712, "name": "Luiz Paulo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 5125, "name": "Léo Jance", "side": "away"}, {"id": 122412, "name": "Hector Silva", "side": "away"}, {"id": 21349, "name": "Paulo Sérgio", "side": "away"}, {"id": 112946, "name": "Everson dos Santos", "side": "away"}, {"id": 209346, "name": "Marcos Gleidson dos Santos Rosa", "side": "away"}, {"id": 210551, "name": "Franklin Chukwuka Omah", "side": "away"}, {"id": 37101, "name": "Leandro Kaua", "side": "away"}, {"id": 20053, "name": "Leonardo Joventino Honório", "side": "away"}, {"id": 3826, "name": "Gastón Guruceaga", "side": "away"}, {"id": 36710, "name": "Felipe Redaelli", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17403, "name": "Luiz Felipe", "side": "away"}, {"id": 59232, "name": "Pedro Henrique", "side": "away"}, {"id": 205100, "name": "Wendell Miranda Azevedo", "side": "away"}, {"id": 17405, "name": "Dodô", "side": "away"}], "status": "notstarted", "away_id": 928, "home_id": 152, "kickoff": 1790987700, "lineups": {"away": {"players": [{"id": 17398, "name": "Muriel", "ai_score": 0.801, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 17410, "name": "Igor Fernandes", "ai_score": 0.764, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 50565, "name": "Betão", "ai_score": 0.573, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 17413, "name": "Wanderson", "ai_score": 0.364, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 202, "name": "Reginaldo", "ai_score": 0.446, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 17404, "name": "Wenderson", "ai_score": 0.767, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 18327, "name": "Léo Índio", "ai_score": 0.584, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 86426, "name": "Benjamín Borasi", "ai_score": 0.6, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 5059, "name": "Jean Carlos", "ai_score": 0.814, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 36707, "name": "Todinho", "ai_score": 0.301, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 20936, "name": "Kaua Almeida da Costa", "ai_score": 0.592, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 17408, "name": "Vinícius", "ai_score": 0.517, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 18130, "name": "Derek Freitas", "ai_score": 0.48, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 17414, "name": "Arnaldo", "ai_score": 0.412, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 4543, "name": "Ryan", "ai_score": 0.409, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 36708, "name": "Samuel Felix Rodrigues", "ai_score": 0.344, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 17920, "name": "Gustavo Henrique", "ai_score": 0.271, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 52706, "name": "Luiz Claudio", "ai_score": 0.267, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 18370, "name": "Patricio Núñez", "ai_score": 0.258, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 17417, "name": "Auremir", "ai_score": 0.254, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 18700, "name": "Danielzinho", "ai_score": 0.219, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 122413, "name": "Caio", "ai_score": 0.217, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 17412, "name": "Victor Andrade", "ai_score": 0.203, "position": "M", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-2-3-1", "confidence": 0.732}, "home": {"players": [{"id": 4628, "name": "João Ricardo", "ai_score": 0.876, "position": "G", "starting": true}, {"id": 88662, "name": "Kaio Henrique", "ai_score": 0.461, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 250, "name": "Lucas Gazal", "ai_score": 0.871, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 20643, "name": "Tomás Cardona", "ai_score": 0.827, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 157, "name": "Maílton", "ai_score": 0.887, "position": "D", "starting": true}, {"id": 245, "name": "Pierre", "ai_score": 0.695, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 91, "name": "Rodriguinho", "ai_score": 0.798, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 235, "name": "Lucas Sasha", "ai_score": 0.754, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 3797, "name": "Pedro Henrique", "ai_score": 0.589, "position": "M", "starting": true}, {"id": 17529, "name": "Juan Miritello", "ai_score": 0.544, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 10302, "name": "Vitinho", "ai_score": 0.63, "position": "F", "starting": true}, {"id": 12339, "name": "Luiz Fernando", "ai_score": 0.557, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 18570, "name": "Maurício Lima", "ai_score": 0.458, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 4356, "name": "Rodrigo Santos", "ai_score": 0.43, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 78, "name": "Paulo Baya", "ai_score": 0.304, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 275, "name": "Ryan Gustavo", "ai_score": 0.286, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 3872, "name": "Gabriel Fuentes", "ai_score": 0.265, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 12312, "name": "Nathan Fogaça", "ai_score": 0.257, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 4895, "name": "Ronald", "ai_score": 0.257, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 316, "name": "Neris", "ai_score": 0.251, "position": "D", "starting": false}, {"id": 17531, "name": "Welliton", "ai_score": 0.248, "position": "M", "starting": false}, {"id": 2029, "name": "Chico da Costa", "ai_score": 0.222, "position": "F", "starting": false}, {"id": 98339, "name": "Juan Cantillo", "ai_score": 0.215, "position": "F", "starting": false}], "formation": "4-3-3", "confidence": 0.818}, "status": "predicted", "confidence": 0.732, "unavailable": []}, "neutral": false, "notable": [{"id": 17321, "name": "Mikael", "rank": 1, "goals": 16}, {"id": 17574, "name": "Robson", "rank": 2, "goals": 15}, {"id": 17950, "name": "Gabriel Boschilia", "rank": 3, "goals": 13}, {"id": 18282, "name": "Gustavo Coutinho", "rank": 4, "goals": 13}, {"id": 17428, "name": "Bruno Santos", "rank": 5, "goals": 11}, {"id": 128, "name": "Chrystian Barletta", "rank": 6, "goals": 11}, {"id": 12336, "name": "Perotti", "rank": 7, "goals": 11}, {"id": 17453, "name": "Kadu", "rank": 8, "goals": 9}, {"id": 5016, "name": "Rômulo", "rank": 9, "goals": 9}, {"id": 17991, "name": "André Luís", "rank": 10, "goals": 8}, {"id": 17513, "name": "Everton Morelli", "rank": 11, "goals": 8}, {"id": 17381, "name": "Melk", "rank": 12, "goals": 8}, {"id": 17408, "name": "Vinícius", "rank": 13, "goals": 8}, {"id": 17517, "name": "Hygor", "rank": 14, "goals": 7}, {"id": 157, "name": "Maílton", "rank": 15, "goals": 7}], "players": [{"id": 157, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 0, "minutes": 194}, "name": "Maílton", "role": "DEF", "side": "home", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Fortaleza", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 32, "goals": 9, "starts": 26, "assists": 2, "team_games": 37, "big_chances": 3, "clean_sheets": 16, "tracked_apps": 32, "tracked_starts": 26}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "RB", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1788215400, "opponent": "Operário-PR"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.201, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 10302, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 0, "minutes": 179}, "name": "Vitinho", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Fortaleza", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 2, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 29, "goals": 7, "starts": 17, "assists": 0, "team_games": 37, "big_chances": 2, "clean_sheets": 8, "tracked_apps": 29, "tracked_starts": 17}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "RW", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "4-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1777764600, "opponent": "Goiás"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.152, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 17529, "club": null, "load": null, "name": "Juan Miritello", "role": "ATT", "side": "home", "tags": [], "team": "Fortaleza", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 0, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 28, "goals": 7, "starts": 20, "assists": 1, "team_games": 37, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 10, "tracked_apps": 28, "tracked_starts": 20}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "4-1", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1777764600, "opponent": "Goiás"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.146, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 17408, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 0, "minutes": 180}, "name": "Vinícius", "role": "MID", "side": "away", "tags": ["top_scorer"], "team": "Náutico", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 2, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 1}, "season": {"apps": 21, "goals": 8, "starts": 19, "assists": 3, "team_games": 30, "big_chances": 0, "clean_sheets": 8, "tracked_apps": 21, "tracked_starts": 19}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "LW", "standout": {"won": true, "goals": 2, "score": "4-0", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1778439600, "opponent": "América Mineiro"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.287, "expected_return": null}, {"id": 20936, "club": null, "load": {"games": 2, "country": 0, "minutes": 83}, "name": "Kaua Almeida da Costa", "role": "ATT", "side": "away", "tags": [], "team": "Náutico", "reason": null, "recent": {"apps": 5, "goals": 0, "assists": 1, "country": 0, "scoredIn": 0}, "season": {"apps": 13, "goals": 3, "starts": 8, "assists": 1, "team_games": 30, "big_chances": 1, "clean_sheets": 3, "tracked_apps": 13, "tracked_starts": 8}, "status": "fit", "country": null, "position": "ST", "standout": {"won": false, "goals": 1, "score": "1-2", "assists": 0, "kickoff": 1784242800, "opponent": "CRB"}, "strengths": [], "importance": 0.079, "expected_return": null}], "external": {"bsd_prediction": {"id": 4048, "event": {"id": 10159, "status": "notstarted", "away_team": "Náutico", "home_team": "Fortaleza", "league_id": 34, "event_date": "2026-10-03T00:35:00Z", "league_name": "Brasileirão Serie B", "away_team_id": 928, "home_team_id": 152}, "model": {"version": "dc-blend-v1", "confidence": 0.5219}, "created_at": "2026-09-26T02:15:25Z", "recommendations": {"btts": false, "winner": false, "over_15": false, "over_25": false, "over_35": false, "favorite": "H", "bet_favorite": false, "favorite_prob": 52.2}}}, "venue_id": 150, "verdicts": [], "card_rate": 0.253, "league_id": 34, "published": [], "standings": {"away": {"won": 11, "lost": 11, "drawn": 8, "group": null, "played": 30, "points": 41, "team_id": 928, "position": 14, "goal_diff": 1, "goals_for": 38, "team_name": "Náutico", "goals_against": 37}, "home": {"won": 14, "lost": 6, "drawn": 10, "group": null, "played": 30, "points": 52, "team_id": 152, "position": 3, "goal_diff": 9, "goals_for": 35, "team_name": "Fortaleza", "goals_against": 26}, "size": 20}, "confidence": 0.645, "live_score": null, "computed_at": 1790871211, "corner_rate": 10.33, "lambda_away": 0.973405734748057, "lambda_home": 1.57107946226195, "pass_reason": "Nothing is mispriced enough to call. The closest was over 11.5 corners at 2.75, where the edge of 2.1 points does not clear the 8.4 needed against a 9.9% margin.", "provisional": true, "round_label": "Regular season · Matchday 31", "lineup_status": "predicted"}